Showing posts with label india. Show all posts
Showing posts with label india. Show all posts

Thursday, February 09, 2023

9: Modi

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Saturday, November 26, 2022

This Man Jaishankar Could End The Ukraine War

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Thursday, November 17, 2022

Peace Moves Are Political Warfare

Affirm The Dignity Of Your Adversary “Keep strong, if possible. In any case, keep cool. Have unlimited patience. Never corner an opponent, and always assist him to save face. Put yourself in his shoes—so as to see things through his eyes. Avoid self-righteousness like the devil—nothing is so self-blinding.”



Maoists like to say, the party controls the gun. The political has to control the military.

The military-industrial complex in the United States can not be allowed to have the upper hand like in Afghanistan. We are on the brink of possible nuclear disaster. The world can not count on Putin being rational. The world can not count on Putin's orders for nuclear strike being disobeyed. The world should not have to count on a coup inside Russia.

I was glad when the HIMARS landed inside Ukraine and the tide turned.

But a war where the military-industrial complex is steering the wheel is a mercenary war. Follow the money. This has to be a war for liberty. This has to be primarily a political fight.

Peace efforts have to be made. The political players have to be primary. A peacemaker necessarily has to be a neutral player. Right now only India qualifies. I see a Nobel Peace Prize here for the Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar.

India is now president of the G20. By the end of the decade it will have become a larger economy than the United States. And it is the only big power that is equally close to both Russia and the United States.

I actually see Putin's point. When there are ethnic riots in Indonesia, or Malaysia, it is the ethnic Chinese that suffer. India blockaded Nepal for months several years ago when the ethnic Indians inside Nepal were short shifted in the country's new constitution that was drawn in smoky rooms instead of a constituent assembly. My guess is the ethnic Russians inside Ukraine are in some sort of a predicament. Jaishankar was the top bureaucrat in the Indian Foreign Ministry at the time and was specifically tasked to fly over to Kathmandu by Modi for some last minute messaging. He was rebuffed.

You can not make peace unless you really, really listen to both sides. A power that sides with the US in knee-jerk manners could not make peace. A power that might be the next Russia (read: Taiwan) can not make the peace moves. Only India can. And India should jump into the fray. You don't need permission. Whose permission?

A Russian missile did land in Poland. Lithuania is nervous. The world can not afford this game of Russian roulette.



What does Russia want? Russia wants the ethnic Russians inside Ukraine to have political equality. What does Ukraine want? Ukraine wants its 1991 borders. Russia promised to respect that. Is it possible Putin is not being straight? It is. But peace can only be made by the wise and the strong. Jaishankar is no bit player. This is the Indian diplomats' momement to shine. India wants veto power. It should earn it by forging this peace.

Russia has to be willing to withdraw its military completely. But that territory can not be handed over to Ukraine. UN peacekeeping forces should step in. Something like a year should be allowed. A referendum should be organized under global supervision. Ukraine will have the option to put forth power devolutions such that these regions where the ethnic Russians are in majority feel there is plenty of local autonomy. Ukraine can proactively offer that kind of federalism long before the votes are cast. I thik this much political work Ukraine has to be willing to do. The war can not be about land. The tussle has to be about people.

Politics inside Russia is a separate topic. That is not an agenda for the peace process. But a peace process that gets the Russian military to vacate all of Ukraine will also bring back all those Russians who have fled, including those who dodged the draft. There is high chance they might take to the streets in organized fashions. But that is domestic Russian politics. That is not something for the peace process.

As the peace process advances, other topics can also be tackled. Reconstruction and neutral war crime investigations can be carried out. Both leave room for some creativity. Maybe there are powers like Saudi Arabia that will be happy to chip in some. That can be allowed. Why not?

The political has to be above the military. A top US General just went on record to say he does not see how Ukraine can militarily push out Russia from all of Ukraine any time soon. So why not use the winter for peace efforts and political moves?

India does not need America's permission. Use the same oil and food logic you have been using to keep buying Russian oil. To that add nuclear radiation fears. You don't want nuclear radiation in New York and London. There is a very famous Indian in London these days. His name is Rishik Sunak.

I was very actively involved with Nepal's peace process in 2005 and 2006. The American ambassador at the time kept arguing there was only a military solution. The Maoists must be defeated at the point of a gun. It was so obvious to me that was not an available path. In trying lied thousands of dead bodies and mayhem. Only the political path was possible. The political path was taken. Nepal saw rapid peace. The Moist supremo and his deputy both became Prime Minister. Both are still active politically. The supremo is right now campaigning in a national election. He is peacefully asking for votes and is pretty good at it.

American shine can mask a lot of uncivility and crude thinking. The gun speaks is one such thinking. It is bad thinking. Look at the gun deaths in America. There are people who worry the US might see a civil war in the future. There are 50,000 gun deaths every year in America. In any other country you would call that a civil war. It is not a very civil situation. Nepal's civil war lasted 10 years and cost 17,000 lives.

India must jump in and help make the peace. Peace necessarily involves give and take. The final outcome can not be fully foreseen. There will be twists and turns along the way. But right now there is zero effort. Stop asking for permission. Whose permission? New York City announced nuclear attack drills months ago.

Before the tactical nuclear strike, there can be electrical outages. That is plenty of bad news. If there is a nuclear strike, however small, the US has made explicit its intention to completely destroy the Russian military in all of Ukraine and the Black Sea. At that point Russia backs down or it launches the strategic nukes which is Mutually Assured Destruction, the so-called MAD situation. That will not spare any country, not China, not India. No territory, no ideology, no value is worth that destruction. So step in and help the two powers step back. De-escalate. Help de-escalate.

Ukraine has to be willing to forge a most cutting edge federalism for all of Ukraine. That is no price to pay to keep all of its territory.







Indonesia’s Widodo calls on G20 to work to ‘end the war’ Indonesian president appears to reference Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as he opens key global summit in Bali. .

Russia’s Road to Economic Ruin The Long-Term Costs of the Ukraine War Will Be Staggering ........ After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, the Russian economy seemed destined for a nosedive. International sanctions threatened to strangle the economy, leading to a plunge in the value of the ruble and Russian financial markets. Everyday Russians appeared poised for privation. ......... More than eight months into the war, this scenario has not come to pass. Indeed, some data suggest that the opposite is true, and the Russian economy is doing fine. The ruble has strengthened against the dollar, and although Russian GDP has shrunk, the contraction may well be limited to less than three percent in 2022.......... Look behind the moderate GDP contraction and inflation figures, however, and it becomes evident that the damage is in fact severe: the Russian economy is destined for a long period of stagnation. The state was already interfering in the private sector before the war. That tendency has become only more pronounced, and it threatens to further stifle innovation and market efficiency. The only way to preserve the viability of the Russian economy is through either major reforms—which are not in the offing—or an institutional disruption similar to the one that occurred with the fall of the Soviet Union. .......... unrealistic expectations of what economic measures can do ......... Economic sanctions did, of course, have other immediate effects. Curbing Russia’s access to microelectronics, chips, and semiconductors made production of cars and aircraft almost impossible. From March to August, Russian car manufacturing fell by an astonishing 90 percent, and the drop in aircraft production was similar. The same holds true for the production of weapons, which is understandably a top priority for the government. Expectations that new trade routes through China, Turkey, and other countries that are not part of the sanctions regime would compensate for the loss of Western imports have been proved wrong. The abnormally strong ruble is a signal that backdoor import channels are not working. If imports were flowing into Russia through hidden channels, importers would have been buying dollars, sending the ruble down. Without these critical imports, the long-term health of Russia’s high-tech industry is dire. ............ Even more consequential than Western technology sanctions is the fact that Russia is unmistakably entering a period in which political cronies are solidifying their hold on the private sector. This has been a long time in the making. After the 2008 global financial crisis hit Russia harder than any other G-20 country, Russian President Vladimir Putin essentially nationalized large enterprises. In some cases, he placed them under direct government control; in other cases, he placed them under the purview of state banks. To stay in the government’s good graces, these companies have been expected to maintain a surplus of workers on their payrolls. Even enterprises that remained private have in essence been prohibited from firing employees. This has provided the Russian people with economic security—at least for the time being—and that stability is a critical part of Putin’s compact with his constituents. .......... But an economy in which enterprises cannot modernize, restructure, and fire employees to boost profits will stagnate. Not surprisingly,

Russia’s GDP growth from 2009 to 2021 averaged 0.8 percent per year, lower than the period in the 1970s and 1980s that preceded the collapse of the Soviet Union.

........ government officials, military generals, and high-ranking bureaucrats—many of them Putin’s friends—became multimillionaires. The living standards of ordinary Russians, in contrast, have not improved in the past decade. ......... Since the beginning of the war, the government has tightened its grip on the private sector even further. Starting in March, the Kremlin rolled out laws and regulations that give the government the right to shut down businesses, dictate production decisions, and set prices for manufactured goods. The mass mobilization of military recruits that started in September is providing Putin with another cudgel to wield over Russian businesses because to preserve their workforces, company leaders will need to bargain with government officials to ensure that their employees are exempt from conscription. ......... To be sure, the Russian economy has long operated under a government stranglehold. But Putin’s most recent moves are taking this control to a new level. As the economists Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny have argued, the one thing worse than corruption is decentralized corruption. It’s bad enough when a corrupt central government demands bribes; it is even worse when several different government offices are competing for handouts. ....... That could create a dynamic reminiscent of the 1990s, when Russian business owners relied on private security, mafia ties, and corrupt officials to maintain control of newly privatized enterprises. Criminal gangs employing veterans of the Russian war in Afghanistan offered “protection” to the highest bidder or simply plundered profitable businesses. The mercenary groups that Putin created to fight in Ukraine will play the same role in the future. .......... Russia could lose the war, an outcome that would make it more likely that Putin would lose power. A new reformist government could take over and withdraw troops, consider reparations, and negotiate a lifting of trade sanctions. ......... Russia will emerge from the war with its government exercising authority over the private sector to an extent that is unprecedented anywhere in the world aside from Cuba and North Korea. ........ Particularly at first, they will target the most profitable enterprises, both at the national and local level. ......... The collapse of the Soviet state made institutions of that era irrelevant. A long and painful process of building new institutions, increasing state capacity, and reducing corruption followed—until Putin came to power and eventually dismantled market institutions and built his own system of patronage. The lesson is grim: even if Putin loses power and a successor ushers in significant reforms, it will take at least a decade for Russia to return to the levels of private-sector production and quality of life the country experienced just a year ago. Such are the consequences of a disastrous, misguided war. .

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Monday, November 07, 2022

7: India

Biden Just Clobbered China’s Chip Industry A typical chip might be designed with blueprints from the Japanese-owned, U.K.-based company called Arm, by a team of engineers in California and Israel, using design software from the United States. When a design is complete, it’s sent to a facility in Taiwan, which buys ultrapure silicon wafers and specialized gases from Japan. The design is carved into silicon using some of the world’s most precise machinery, which can etch, deposit and measure layers of materials a few atoms thick. These tools are produced primarily by five companies, one Dutch, one Japanese and three Californian, without which advanced chips are basically impossible to make. Then the chip is packaged and tested, often in Southeast Asia, before being sent to China for assembly into a phone or computer......... The fragility of this convoluted process became apparent in last year’s Covid-induced chip shortage, which the White House has estimated cost the United States a full percentage point of economic output, or hundreds of billions of dollars.

Remote Work Is Here to Stay. Lean In, Employers. “fully in-office workers are the least satisfied with their working arrangements: they report significantly worse employee experience scores compared to hybrid and full-time remote employees, most notably for work-life balance and work-related stress and anxiety.” ...... the all-day electronic communication that is the backdrop to our modern lives

Xi Jinping Expands His Power, Elevating Loyalists, Forcing Out Moderates
Not-So-Great Britain’s Conservative Crackup
Wonking Out: Facts, Feelings and Rural Politics
The Ruination of Britain Like the Republicans in the United States, the Conservatives are detached from reality. In a generation, they have become a party of monomaniacs, incompetents and ideologues. ...... After a decade or two in the wilderness, perhaps the party can recover — though let’s not rule out the possibility it is finished once and for all....... The party is so riven by internal feuds, personal hatred and ideological disagreements that it has become ungovernable.

Taylor Swift, Caught Between Yesterday and Tomorrow on ‘Midnights’

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Thursday, October 06, 2022

American Racism And Visas For Indians

Just from anecdotal evidence I get the impression the United States has been "punishing" India for "siding" with Russia. India is not. A lot of people I know are having visa issues. Visas that used to get issued within a week or two now have yearlong waiting periods. This is asinine. This is racism. Racism is a variant of the fascism virus. Liberty is the opposite of fascism. Donald Trump is a fascist. His last antic has been to threaten violence upon the Republican Senate Leader. Republican! 

You can not house liberty and racism in the same framework. 

Did you ask? Before you threatened Russia, did you ask India? Did you consult? Before you sent in weapons, did you ask? Did you consult? Was it a mutual decision that you should expect blind support? 

The Russian attack on Ukraine was a surprise to India. India did not have any say in it. India has disapproved of it. India has sent a lot of humanitarian aid to Ukraine. 

India was buying oil in the world markets. India continues to buy oil in the world markets. If high oil prices are not a problem, why is California sending oil rebates to all its people? The Indian foreign minister has made the point that what India buys in a month Europe buys in one afternoon. China buys from Russia and sells to Europe. 

India is not a party to the war. India disapproves of the war. But it is also being realistic that it is not in a position to end the war. Russia is. Ukraine is. The US is. But India is not. 

Tiny bureaucrats who used to topple elected leaders in Latin America make these decisions. They be like, India! 

India is the CEO of Google! India is the CEO of Microsoft! India is the CEO of Twitter! India is Vice President of the United States. 

India is best positioned to engineer peace if peace is possible. So far it does not look possible. 

A peacemaker is not a yes man. A peacemaker without integrity will not succeed. 

Putin is not the only one who does not want peace. The military-industrial complex in America does not want peace. It is making big money right now. Don't turn off that tap. 








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Monday, October 03, 2022

3: India

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Sunday, July 31, 2022

Sanctions On Russia

The Russia sanctions bite Sanctions have been effective at crippling the Russian economy. That's the conclusion of a new 118-page paper from Yale's Jeffrey Sonnenfeld and 18 c0-authors. ....... "Russian imports have largely collapsed," the paper says — creating massive supply shortages and denying the country crucial parts and technologies. ....... "Russian domestic production has come to a complete standstill." ....... Foreign companies that have left Russia account for 40% of Russian GDP, the author wrote, almost none of which is going to come back any time soon. ......... "Looking ahead, there is no path out of economic oblivion for Russia as long as the allied countries remain unified in maintaining and increasing sanctions pressure." ....... Russia needs Europe to buy its natural gas more than Europe needs Russian natural gas to buy. ........ Because natural gas is "a highly non-fungible commodity," delivered through pipes that take decades to build, Russia has very few alternative export markets for its gas, and 83% of its natural gas exports go to Europe. ...... The economic repercussions of Russia's war of aggression in Ukraine are being felt in all countries. But they're particularly devastating in Russia — with little, if any, future upside so long as sanctions remain in place.

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Monday, July 11, 2022

Modi And Jaishankar Must Proactively Step In To Make Peace In Ukraine

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Saturday, June 25, 2022

25: Maharashtra

Yoga vs Gym: How to be super-fit and build muscles One aspect is that most of the vital organs of the body are in the chest and abdomen region. These organs are not rigid, they are not fixed with bolts and clamps. They are loose, hanging in nets. Only if you sit with your spine erect, your organs will be in the maximum possible comfort. Now, the modern idea of comfort is to lean backwards and slouch. If you sit in such a posture, your organs will never be comfortable. They will not function the way they need to. ............ Becoming healthy and peaceful will anyway happen but these are the side effects of Yoga, not the focus of Yoga. You don’t have to do Yoga to lose weight or to stay healthy. You just have to eat sensibly, play tennis or take a swim. The focus of Yoga is to set another dimension alive within you that is beyond the physical. Only when that is alive, slowly the existence opens up to you in a million different ways. Things that you never thought existed become a living reality for you, simply because a dimension beyond the physical has become alive.

Uddhav Thackeray’s episode is a reminder of what NTR faced in 1995 Uddhav Thackeray’s story is similar to what megastar NT Rama Rao faced in 1995. NTR went down badly and even died as a disillusioned leader in January 1996, allegedly for want of good medical care. .......... On August 26, 1995, nine months into his third term as chief minister of Andhra, his son-in-law and trusted lieutenant Chandrababu Naidu rebelled against him. Naidu defended his coup, saying he had been forced to act against his father-in-law because of NTR’s second wife Lakshmi Parvathi’s growing influence in party affairs and the state government. Lakshmi Parvathi was NTR’s biographer, and he had married her in 1993, much against his family’s wishes. ......... On that August day, Hyderabad saw the 72-year-old actor running amok on the city’s streets with a metaphoric dagger in his back to demonstrate that he had been betrayed and backstabbed. Suddenly, NTR was a nobody; his fall as dramatic as his spectacular rise. Virtually all members of his family and most of the Telugu Desam Party’s (TDP) 200 legislators deserted the chief minister.

Maharashtra political crisis: What to expect today in the Uddhav Thackeray-Eknath Shinde war Maharashtra’s political crisis is deepening by the hour with the Eknath Shinde camp swelling and Uddhav Thackeray floundering as his Shiv Sena MLAs desert him. ......... Shinde wrote to Zirwal asserting his appointment as the leader of the Shiv Sena Legislature Party. ......... Shinde, hinting at the BJP's support for him, also said: "One national party which is a superpower has told me that whatever decision you have taken is historic and ensured us [rebel MLAs] that whatever help is needed, will be given."

Maharashtra political row: What could Sena rebel Eknath Shinde’s next move be? Rebel Shiv Sena leader Eknath Shinde said that he has the support of 40 out of the 55 Sena MLAs. Uncertainty looms over the MVA govt in Maharashtra led by Uddhav Thackerary. But, what is expected to happen next? ......... rebel leader Eknath Shinde. He has claimed that he has been backed by 40 out of 55 Shiv Sena MLAs. All of them are lodged in the Radisson Blu hotel in Guwahati, Assam.

Maharashtra crisis: As Sainiks fight, will Sena survive? Whether or not the MVA government will survive is not the question. The question is whether Uddhav Thackeray can save his Shiv Sena. ........ On Wednesday, rebel Shiv Sena leader Eknath Shinde, with a group of party MLAs, moved from Gujarat to Assam, from one BJP-ruled state to another, as the Maharashtra government continued to battle for survival. ........ From being the Sena chief whip, who ensured MLAs voted in the Legislative Assembly as the leadership wished, to being a man who changed the game in Maharashtra’s politics, Shinde has claimed the support of 40 of the 55 Sena MLAs and six Independents. ......... Shinde has said he and the other rebel MLAs will carry Sena founder Balasaheb Thackeray's 'Hindutva' ideology forward. This is possible only when they go with the BJP and quit a coalition that also has the Congress, and its breakaway faction, the NCP, that the Sena founder fought tooth and nail. ....... The rebels have said they don’t have any issue with the Sena leadership but objected to the style of functioning of the NCP and the Congress.

Eknath Shinde, the man who changed the game in Maharashtra’s politics Eknath Shinde, an auto driver in Thane, lost two of his children in a tragic accident. His son and daughter drowned in Satara in front of his eyes. Shinde became reclusive and decided to stay away from politics. He was a Shiv Sena corporator back then. ........ After Raj Thackeray and Narayan Rane's revolt, it was Shinde who brought crowds to Sena rallies. During the 2019 political crisis, it was Shinde who wrestled back a few MLAs. ........ He was named Leader of the Opposition in 2014 after the Shiv Sena and the BJP fell out with each other....... He recently accompanied Maharashtra Minister Aaditya Thackeray on his trip to Ayodhya.

Uddhav Thackeray is to blame for Eknath Shinde rebellion Uddhav Thackeray felt that no one could challenge him as he was the party boss as well as the Chief Minister of the state and hence he was free to take decisions ignoring the wishes of lakhs of Shiv Sainiks who had toiled hard day and night to keep the saffron Sena flag flying. ....... Eknath Shinde is firm in his conviction that the Shiv Sena must ally with the BJP, return to Hindutva ideology and break all ties with the NCP-Congress. The fact that the vast majority of Shiv Sena MLAs, 40 out of a total 55, are currently with Shinde in Guwahati proves the wide resentment against Uddhav Thackeray, who ditched Hindutva ideology and broke the alliance with the BJP for the sake of power. Despite being CM, Thackeray could not inspire confidence nor keep his MLAs together. This proves he is an incapable leader and a poor administrator.



Pathaan: Shah Rukh Khan spills beans about action thriller’s sequel and trailer Shah Rukh Khan completed 30 years in the film industry today, June 25. On the occasion, the actor interacted with his fans and talked about his upcoming film, Pathaan. .......... Shah Rukh Khan completed 30 years in the Hindi film industry today, June 25. To mark the occasion and thank his fans for their love and support, the actor did an Instagram live session. He also talked about his upcoming film, Pathaan and spilt beans about its trailer and sequel. ......... Salman Khan will make a cameo appearance in the film.



'Have the will to fight back': Uddhav Thackeray amid rebellion by Eknath Shinde, Sena MLAs Maharashtra Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray said he has the will to fight back amid the political crisis in the state...... They will not survive without using Thackeray and Shiv Sena's name," Uddhav Thackeray said in an address to Sena Vibhag Pramukhs on Friday.

Nobody is leaving party, Eknath Shinde chosen leader by majority: Sena rebel Deepak Kesarkar Shiv Sena MLA Deepak Vasant Kesarkar on Saturday said that rebel MLAs will not quit Shiv Sena and they possess a two-thirds majority to follow the path they wanted. The rebel MLA also claimed that there is no need to merge with any other party. ......... MLA Kesarkar said, "We are still a part of Shiv Sena. But sometimes MLAs have expectations. We had told the party president that we had taken a decision to stay with the alliance we fought polls with. We still believe Uddhav Thackeray will listen to us.

Uddhav Thackeray won't resign, will unleash Sena on streets: Sanjay Raut amid Maha drama Senior Sena leader Sanjay Raut issued an open warning to the Eknath Shinde-led rebel camp of unleashing Shiv Sainiks on the streets, adding that Uddhav Thackeray would not resign amid the ongoing political crisis in the state. ........ Raut told India Today, “This is the anger of the Shiv Sainiks. Fire once lit will not be doused. Shiv Sena will fight till the end,” as reports of vandalism emerged from different parts of Maharashtra and the office of a rebel Sena MLA was vandalised. ....... Raut also challenged Eknath Shinde and his camp to come back and face the party in Mumbai.

Maharashtra, Bihar, Assam, Goa: How BJP cut bigger allies to size The political crisis in Maharashtra is far from over. With many Sena MLAs reposing faith in rebel Eknath Shinde, Shiv Sena is looking at an uncertain future. ....... The political crisis in Maharashtra is pushing the dominant party of the state, Shiv Sena, to the brink of division with many Sena MLAs reposing faith in rebel Eknath Shinde defying the might of their chief, Uddhav Thackeray. On Wednesday, hours after announcing that he was prepared to resign, Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray moved to his family home, Matoshree, leaving the ‘Varsha’ bungalow, which served as the CM’s official residence. ............ Eknath Shinde has claimed that 48 MLAs are with him out of which 42 belong to the Shiv Sena. If his claims are true, no one can do anything to stop the division of the party, which may be far bigger than the earlier ones. This is the largest internal uprising within the party, which has earlier seen blows by people, such as Chhagan Bhujbal, Narayan Rane, and Raj Thackeray. .......... The BJP claims that it is unrelated to the ongoing political unrest in Maharashtra. But we all know that the two BJP ruling states, Gujarat and Assam, were chosen to host the rebel Sena MLAs. ........ After the 2019 Maharashtra elections, the Shiv Sena broke with the BJP, and together with the NCP and the Congress, they formed the MVA government in the state. The Shiv Sena at that time cheated their pre-poll partner BJP, who were allies in Maharashtra since 1989. Now questions are being asked whether BJP is taking revenge for 2019 by assisting the splitting of the Shiv Sena. ........ There are instances that show that BJP tries to subdue their alliance partner. They manipulated the partnership to the saffron party's benefit. One of the biggest examples in recent times is that of CM Nitish Kumar's party, JD(U), which has been overtaken by the BJP in Bihar. ......... Now, after two-and-half years, the Shiv Sena is facing the biggest challenge to save their party from the biggest division due to the rebellion of Eknath Shinde, which claims the support of more than 40 Sena MLAs, which many political commentators rightly are pointing out is not possible without the assistance of BJP. ...... In the 2020 Assembly election in Bihar, both JD(U) and BJP fought the election together along with some smaller parties. JD(U) fought in 115 seats and BJP contested 110 seats. The BJP was able to win 74 seats, but the JD(U) won only 43 seats. Their alliance was able to form a government in the state under Nitish Kumar as the CM. Since November 2020, both parties have shared an anxious and edgy relationship. Nitish's views on population control, rewriting history books, the issue of prohibition, and caste censuses have made the BJP uncomfortable. In the protest over the Agnipath issue in Bihar, the state BJP leaders targeted CM Nitish Kumar. ......... The present position of JD(U) is the weakest since 2005. ......... Many doubt if the BJP will let Nitish Kumar serve out his current entire tenure or not. ....... The AGP's strength in the assembly decreased to 14 seats in 2016 from 67 seats in the assembly in 1985 and 59 seats in the 1996 elections. In the 2021 assembly elections, the BJP fought in 93 seats, winning 60 seats, and AFP contested in 29 seats and was able to win only 9 seats. It now seems that AGP is dependent on the BJP for its political survival. ............ Similar to the former Shiv Sena-BJP alliance in Maharashtra, the MGP, the oldest regional party in Goa, has had a tumultuous history with the BJP. The BJP under Pramod Sawant poached two of the MGP's three MLAs in 2019, while abruptly removing Dhavalikar from his position as deputy chief minister.

Maharashtra political row: What could Sena rebel Eknath Shinde’s next move be? He has claimed that he has been backed by 40 out of 55 Shiv Sena MLAs. All of them are lodged in the Radisson Blu hotel in Guwahati, Assam. ......... Eknath Shinde is likely to be elected as leader of the Shiv Sena rebels. They have claimed that they are the original Shiv Sena as they have more than two-thirds of MLAs in their camp. ........ Shinde might also approach Deputy Assembly Speaker Narhari Jhirwal with a request to recognise his group as the original Shiv Sena in the Assembly.

How successful has 'Operation Lotus' been in Modi era 'Operation Lotus' refers to the BJP's alleged strategy for gaining power in states where it lacked enough seats to form a government on its own. ......... While in power, the Congress lost Arunachal Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Karnataka to the BJP, which was able to wrest a number of its MLAs and form governments there. ........ Kamal Nath’s government was plunged into crisis when 22 Congress legislators, including six ministers, tendered their resignations. The development came after veteran Congress politician Jyotiraditya Scindia announced his resignation. A day after quitting Scindia joined BJP. .......... He further said, “three times, my government was able to demonstrate its majority in the house. It was intolerable to the BJP. Consequently, it intended to overthrow my government with the help of a maharaj (Jyotiraditya Scindia) and 22 opportunistic MLAs”. ............ With 17 seats, the Congress was the single-largest party after the elections, while the BJP got 13. The 'magic figure' that had to be achieved was 21. Despite falling short of this goal on its own, the BJP was able to gain power thanks to the Goa Forward Party, which switched sides after campaigning alongside the Congress throughout the elections. ......... In the year 2016, the BJP was successful in forming government in Arunachal Pradesh, even when in 60 members assembly, it had only '11' MLAs. A BJP government was installed after 33, out of 43 Peoples' Party of Arunachal (PPA) MLAs led by Chief Minister Pema Khandu, joined the saffron party. With majority of 44 MLAs BJP formed its own government in the state.

As Sena rebels float new group, Uddhav moves EC against misuse of Balasaheb’s name Shinde, who claims to have the support of over 40 MLAs, met BJP's Devendra Fadnavis in Gujarat's Vadodara last night to discuss possible government formation in Maharashtra. Home Minister Amit Shah was also in Vadodara last night ......... Amid all this, Sanjay Raut said that the party will "unleash Sena on streets" and will fight till the end. Raut also challenged Eknath Shinde and his camp to come back and face the party in Mumbai. Uddhav Thackeray's son and minister Aaditya Thackeray said this was a battle between truth and lies and the Sena would win.

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