Showing posts with label peace. Show all posts
Showing posts with label peace. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Engineering Lasting Peace Between India and Pakistan: The Path Through Democracy

 


Engineering Lasting Peace Between India and Pakistan: The Path Through Democracy

Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, a prominent Pakistani politician, recently stated that “Pakistan is one of the biggest victims of terrorism” while emphasizing the need for dialogue to resolve three critical issues—Kashmir, terrorism, and water—for sustainable peace in the region. While his call for dialogue is commendable, the root of the India-Pakistan conflict lies deeper than these issues alone. For lasting peace to take hold, Pakistan must transform into a full-fledged democracy where its military and Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) are unequivocally accountable to a democratically elected parliament, much like in India. Without this fundamental shift, discussions on Kashmir, water, or any other issue will remain superficial, unable to address the core obstacle: Pakistan’s state-sponsored terrorism.
The Crux of the Problem: Pakistan’s Military and ISI
At the heart of the India-Pakistan impasse is the uncomfortable reality that Pakistan’s military and ISI wield disproportionate power, often operating independently of—or even dictating to—the country’s elected government. Unlike India, where the armed forces and intelligence agencies function under civilian oversight, Pakistan’s democratic institutions are frequently undermined by its military establishment. The ISI’s documented history of aiding and abetting terrorist groups, particularly in the context of Kashmir, is a significant barrier to peace. From supporting militant outfits like Lashkar-e-Taiba to providing safe havens for insurgents, the Pakistani state’s complicity in terrorism is an open secret—one that democratically elected leaders are often powerless to confront.
This lack of accountability creates a vicious cycle. Terrorism, which Bilawal claims victimizes Pakistan, is in part a byproduct of the state’s own policies. The military and ISI’s unchecked influence prevents meaningful reforms, perpetuates regional instability, and fuels distrust with India. For dialogue to succeed, Pakistan must first establish a democratic framework where the military and ISI are answerable to elected representatives. Only then can the state credibly commit to dismantling terror networks and fostering peace.
Kashmir: A Divided Region, Not a Divided Destiny
Bilawal’s mention of Kashmir as a key issue is unsurprising, given its centrality to India-Pakistan tensions. However, the narrative around Kashmir often ignores a broader historical context: the partition of the Indian subcontinent created multiple divided regions, not just Kashmir. Punjab, Bengal, and even lesser-discussed regions like Mithila span both countries, yet they do not provoke the same level of conflict. The difference lies in the militarization of the Kashmir issue, driven largely by Pakistan’s support for cross-border insurgency.
A democratic Pakistan, with a military subordinate to civilian rule, could shift the paradigm. Instead of viewing Kashmir as a territorial dispute, both nations could prioritize robust trade and people-to-people connections across their shared borders. Punjab and Bengal demonstrate that divided regions can coexist peacefully when economic and cultural ties are strong. A democratic Pakistan would be better positioned to negotiate confidence-building measures, such as increased trade, visa relaxations, and cultural exchanges, which could de-escalate tensions in Kashmir. Without democratic accountability, however, Pakistan’s military establishment will continue to exploit Kashmir as a tool for domestic legitimacy and regional leverage, perpetuating the conflict.
Water: A Treaty in Place, Cooperation Needed
On the issue of water, Bilawal’s concerns are valid but overstated. The Indus Waters Treaty of 1960, brokered by the World Bank, remains one of the most successful bilateral agreements between India and Pakistan, governing the sharing of the Indus River system. Despite decades of hostility, the treaty has held firm, proving that cooperation is possible even in tense times. However, mistrust—fueled by Pakistan’s internal power dynamics—often leads to exaggerated fears about India’s upstream water management.
A democratic Pakistan, with transparent governance and a military accountable to civilian leadership, could engage in constructive dialogue to modernize the treaty’s implementation. Joint monitoring mechanisms, data-sharing agreements, and collaborative water conservation projects could address concerns while building trust. Such cooperation requires a Pakistani state that prioritizes diplomacy over posturing, which is only feasible under a robust democratic system.
The Path Forward: Democracy as the Foundation
Bilawal’s call for dialogue is a step in the right direction, but it cannot succeed without addressing the structural flaws in Pakistan’s governance. A full-fledged democracy, where the military and ISI are subordinate to elected officials, is the prerequisite for tackling terrorism, Kashmir, and water disputes. India’s own experience demonstrates the stabilizing power of democratic accountability: its military operates under civilian control, and its intelligence agencies do not dictate foreign policy. Pakistan must emulate this model to break the cycle of mistrust and violence.
To achieve this, Pakistan’s political leaders, including figures like Bilawal, must champion institutional reforms that curb the military’s influence. This includes strengthening parliamentary oversight, ensuring judicial independence, and fostering a free press to hold power accountable. International partners, including India, can support this process by engaging with Pakistan’s civilian leadership while maintaining pressure on its military to relinquish control over foreign and security policy.
Conclusion: Peace Through Democracy
Lasting peace between India and Pakistan is not a pipe dream, but it hinges on a fundamental transformation in Pakistan’s polity. A democratic Pakistan, where the military and ISI answer to elected representatives, can dismantle the infrastructure of terrorism, normalize relations over Kashmir through trade and dialogue, and strengthen cooperation on water management. Without this shift, talks on any issue will remain mired in suspicion and sabotage. Bilawal’s vision for peace is achievable, but it begins with Pakistan embracing true democracy—a step that would not only benefit the region but also liberate Pakistan from its own internal contradictions.



Saturday, May 10, 2025

India And Pakistan Now Must Move Towards Lasting Peace

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To move toward lasting peace after the May 10, 2025, ceasefire, India and Pakistan can take concrete steps to build trust, foster dialogue, and address structural issues, particularly Pakistan’s internal coordination challenges and support for terrorism. The following outlines actionable measures, focusing on neutral peace talks, international involvement, and mechanisms to ensure Pakistan’s state, military, and Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) align in renouncing terrorism, without referencing the specific regional dispute.

1. Peace Talks in Neutral Territory
  • Venue and Facilitation: Convene sustained peace talks in a neutral country, such as Switzerland, Singapore, or the United Arab Emirates, to ensure impartiality. These talks should be hosted by a mutually respected international body, like the United Nations or a coalition of neutral states (e.g., Norway, Sweden, or Oman), to provide logistical support and mediation expertise.
  • Structured Agenda: Establish a clear agenda prioritizing confidence-building measures (CBMs), such as trade normalization, cultural exchanges, and people-to-people initiatives. Regular dialogues at the foreign minister and bureaucratic levels should follow to maintain momentum.
  • Track-II Diplomacy: Encourage non-governmental dialogues involving academics, retired diplomats, and business leaders from both nations to generate ideas and reduce public hostility, feeding into official talks.
2. International Community Involvement
  • Multilateral Oversight: Engage a coalition of global and regional powers—such as the U.S., China, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and the European Union—to act as guarantors of the peace process. These stakeholders can provide diplomatic pressure, economic incentives, and technical expertise to ensure compliance.
  • Economic Incentives: Leverage international institutions like the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, or Asian Development Bank to offer economic aid or trade benefits tied to verifiable peace milestones. For instance, infrastructure projects or energy cooperation could be funded to benefit both nations.
  • Monitoring Mechanisms: Establish an international monitoring group, potentially under UN auspices, to oversee ceasefire adherence and progress on agreed CBMs. This group could include representatives from neutral countries and regional organizations like the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, of which both India and Pakistan are members.
3. Addressing Pakistan’s Internal Coordination and Terrorism
  • Unified Pakistani Commitment: Pakistan must demonstrate a cohesive policy across its government, military, and ISI to sever all ties with terrorist organizations. This requires:
    • Public Pledge: A formal, verifiable commitment from Pakistan’s civilian leadership, military, and ISI to dismantle support networks for terrorism, including funding, training, and safe havens.
    • Legislative Reforms: Enact domestic laws criminalizing any state or non-state support for terrorism, with transparent enforcement mechanisms.
    • Internal Coordination Body: Create a high-level Pakistani task force, comprising civilian, military, and ISI representatives, to align policies and actions. This body should report progress to both domestic and international stakeholders.
  • International Verification Mechanisms:
    • Independent Audits: Invite a UN-led or multilateral team to monitor Pakistan’s compliance in dismantling terrorist networks. This could involve regular inspections, financial tracking, and intelligence-sharing agreements.
    • Counter-Terrorism Cooperation: Establish a bilateral India-Pakistan counter-terrorism working group, supported by international experts, to share intelligence and coordinate actions against terrorist groups. This group could operate under the aegis of an international body to ensure neutrality.
    • Capacity Building: Seek technical assistance from countries with expertise in counter-terrorism (e.g., the U.S., UK, or Israel) to reform Pakistan’s security apparatus, ensuring the ISI and military align with civilian-led anti-terrorism policies.
  • Sanctions and Incentives: The international community should tie economic aid, debt relief, or military assistance to Pakistan’s verifiable progress in ending terrorism support. Conversely, targeted sanctions on individuals or entities undermining this commitment could be imposed by global powers.
4. Building Trust and Accountability
  • Transparency Measures: Both nations should agree to regular, public updates on ceasefire adherence and peace talk outcomes to build domestic and international confidence. Media access to neutral talk venues could counter misinformation.
  • Hotline Mechanisms: Strengthen existing military and diplomatic hotlines to prevent misunderstandings during crises. Regular flag meetings between border forces can reinforce local-level trust.
  • Civil Society Engagement: Promote joint initiatives, such as academic exchanges, sports events, or virtual dialogues, to reduce public animosity and create constituencies for peace in both countries.
5. Long-Term Institutional Frameworks
  • Regional Cooperation: Revitalize platforms like the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) to embed India-Pakistan peace efforts in a broader regional context, focusing on shared challenges like climate change or pandemics.
  • Bilateral Treaty: Work toward a formal peace agreement codifying commitments to non-aggression, counter-terrorism, and dispute resolution. International guarantors could endorse this treaty to ensure compliance.
  • Dispute Resolution Body: Establish a permanent bilateral commission, with international observers, to address future tensions through dialogue rather than escalation.
Role of the International Community
The international community’s involvement is critical to incentivize and enforce these steps. Major powers and institutions can:
  • Provide funding and expertise for counter-terrorism reforms in Pakistan.
  • Mediate disputes during peace talks to prevent breakdowns.
  • Offer economic rewards, such as trade access or infrastructure investment, to both nations for sustained progress.
  • Apply diplomatic pressure to ensure Pakistan’s state, military, and ISI act in unison against terrorism.
Challenges and Mitigation
  • Pakistan’s Internal Fragmentation: The lack of alignment between Pakistan’s civilian government, military, and ISI remains a hurdle. International oversight and domestic reforms, coupled with economic incentives, can pressure these entities to unify.
  • Domestic Political Resistance: Hardline factions in both countries may oppose peace efforts. Public diplomacy campaigns and civil society engagement can build broader support.
  • Trust Deficit: Decades of hostility necessitate small, verifiable steps to build confidence, with international guarantees to reassure both sides.
By pursuing neutral peace talks, leveraging international support, and establishing robust mechanisms to ensure Pakistan’s unified commitment against terrorism, India and Pakistan can transition from a fragile ceasefire to a durable peace. These steps require sustained political will, transparency, and global cooperation to succeed.



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