Friday, April 25, 2025

25: Trade War

The ‘Never Surrender’ President Retreats Trump said he had “no intention” of seeking the ouster of the Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell—despite having called for his “termination” just a few days earlier. Hours later, he allowed that tariffs on China were “not going to be that high”—weeks after escalating them to 145%. ......... Having once pledged to broker peace in Ukraine immediately upon taking office, he now says the U.S. could walk away from the conflict entirely if the deal he’s put forward isn’t accepted. And having once boasted that DOGE would radically downsize the federal government, Elon Musk said this week he would step back from the effort, having reduced its top-line goal by 90%. “He was always going to ease out,” Trump told reporters Wednesday. .......... The threat to walk away from the Ukraine talks was clearly a negotiating tactic, the official said, while DOGE’s work has had a meaningful impact and will continue with or without Musk’s involvement. ......... “In his first 100 days, President Trump has delivered on hundreds of promises and already accomplished his two most important campaign goals—the border is secure and inflation is ending,” White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a statement. “The next 100 days will consist of trade deals, peace deals, and tax cuts. More American greatness is on the way.” ......... “He has a remarkable ability to pivot and present a new position as if it was always the old position. It’s one of his political talents,” Short said. “But he truly believes that we can bring a nostalgic manufacturing golden age back to America through tariffs, so that walkback is a little more stark.” ......... Trump insisted this week that negotiations are under way with China that could result in tariffs being reduced. But the Chinese government says that is not the case, and has taken to openly mocking Trump. Chinese state television has nicknamed him “10,000 tariff grandpa,” and the hashtag “Trump chickened out” was trending on the Weibo social media network Wednesday. ............ with fighting continuing between Russia and Ukraine and Trump’s ultimatum to both parties meeting a chilly reception, the president pleaded with his Russian counterpart on social media, “Vladimir, STOP!” ............. And Musk, once an omnipresent force rampaging across government departments, told investors he planned to spend more time with his businesses as the effort he once claimed would slash $2 trillion now looks like it will barely achieve one-tenth of that aim. Tesla profits have plummeted by 71%, and Musk’s high-profile attempt to swing a Wisconsin supreme court election earlier this month appeared to backfire: the liberal candidate who cast Musk as the race’s central villain won by 10 points. ............ In an interview with The Wall Street Journal’s editorial board last October, he said Chinese President Xi Jinping wouldn’t dare cross him, “because he respects me and he knows I’m f— crazy.” ........... Mexico never paid for the border wall that Trump only partially completed. The administration ended its practice of separating migrant children from their parents under public pressure in 2018. Trump publicly pledged to take action on gun control in the wake of mass shootings in 2019, then reversed himself after discussions with the National Rifle Association. He wound down his first-term China trade war with a 2020 deal touted as “historic,” but some analyses found that China never fulfilled its promised U.S. export purchases. Some observers expect the current trade war to end in similar fashion, with an agreement that amounts to little in practice but allows the president and his supporters to claim he’s won the standoff. .......... the walkbacks are evidence that Trump was never as resolute or as deft a dealmaker as he claimed. “He talks a big game, but he doesn’t have a coherent strategy, so he has to backtrack and then try to spin it into a win,” said Sarah Matthews, a former Trump White House aide who broke with Trump after Jan. 6, 2021. Matthews, who now views Trump as dangerous, said the dynamic was familiar from her days trying to portray his whims as masterfully intentional in his first term. “They’ll say this is the art of the deal, but how is it the art of the deal when he hasn’t actually negotiated anything?” ............ in a Fox News poll released this week, just 38% approved of his handling of economic matters, while 56% disapproved. ......... “The Trump chaos right now means higher prices, a struggling economy, dwindling retirements, and uncertainty about people’s economic well being,” he added. “For a long time, people could say, ‘You may not like him, but the economy is good.’ They’re now having doubts about the impact of his chaos on their daily lives.”

"Who Will Blink First" Is the Wrong Question in Global Trade

Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation


"Who Will Blink First" Is the Wrong Question in Global Trade

The current narrative surrounding the U.S.–China trade tensions often frames the situation in terms of a game of nerves: Who will blink first?

But this mindset is fundamentally flawed—and dangerously short-sighted.

Global trade is not meant to be a zero-sum contest where one side must win and the other must lose. At its core, trade is a mechanism for mutual benefit. Both parties specialize in what they do best, exchange goods and services, and both emerge better off. This is the foundational logic provided by centuries of economic theory and proven repeatedly across modern history.

Right now, however, China and the United States have locked themselves into unreasonable and untenable positions. Each escalation—tariffs, restrictions, retaliations—only deepens a lose-lose scenario. Neither country is truly gaining; both are bleeding economic potential. Worse still, the ripple effects of this confrontation have made the entire world uneasy, disrupting markets, supply chains, and investment confidence.

Climbing Down Is Not Weakness—It’s Wisdom

What the world desperately needs is not for one side to "blink" but for both sides to climb down together. A face-saving, rational de-escalation based on economic reasoning is urgently necessary.

By focusing on cooperation rather than confrontation, the U.S. and China can return to the essential truth: Trade is supposed to be win-win. It should be about expanding opportunities, improving standards of living, and fostering innovation through competition—not about scoring political points or proving who can endure the most pain.

The Stakes Are Far Bigger Than Trade

This isn’t just about economic growth. Larger, even existential challenges loom on the horizon:

  • Climate change demands unprecedented levels of global cooperation, technological sharing, and coordinated policy action.

  • AI safety—another emerging frontier—requires mutual trust, transparency, and collaborative governance frameworks.

If the two largest economies on earth cannot even resolve relatively straightforward issues like tariffs and market access, how can we expect them to work together on problems that threaten the future of humanity itself?

Trade Should Be the Easy Part

Compared to the complexity and urgency of climate policy or AI regulation, negotiating fair trade agreements should be simple. It is a matter of aligning on basic principles of fairness, openness, and mutual respect. There is no room—and no time—for prideful brinkmanship.

The Path Forward

  • Both countries must recenter the conversation around shared economic interests.

  • They should build mechanisms for ongoing dialogue, rather than reactive tit-for-tat measures.

  • They must publicly affirm the principle of trade as mutual benefit, setting a cooperative tone not just for themselves but for the entire global system.

In this critical moment, the real victory will not go to the side that "blinks" last.
It will go to both sides—if they have the courage to reason, collaborate, and lead together.


Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation

Trump’s Trade War
Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Quantum Computing: Applications And Implications
Challenges In AI Safety
AI-Era Social Network: Reimagined for Truth, Trust & Transformation