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Showing posts with label britain. Show all posts
Showing posts with label britain. Show all posts

Saturday, June 07, 2025

Why India Must Be the New Britain—But on Equal Terms

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Why India Must Be the New Britain—But on Equal Terms

In the 20th century, Britain was America’s closest ally—a political, military, and economic partner bound by shared values and strategic interests. As we move deeper into the 21st century, the global power axis is shifting. And now, India is poised to take on the mantle of America’s most consequential ally. But this partnership must be forged not out of nostalgia or geopolitical convenience, but with a clear-eyed understanding of economics, equity, and long-term opportunity.

A Partnership of Equals, Not Echoes

The US-India relationship cannot mirror the transatlantic alliance of the past. Britain, at the time of its special relationship with the U.S., was a wealthy post-imperial power with a comparable per capita income and advanced infrastructure. India, while on a trajectory of unprecedented growth, still grapples with vast income disparity. Its per capita income remains far below that of the U.S., and acknowledging this is not an act of inferiority—it’s a call to action.

This new alliance must operate on the principle of mutual upliftment. India brings youth, scale, talent, and geopolitical weight. The U.S. brings capital, technology, and institutional strength. Together, they can build the most powerful democratic partnership of the 21st century—but only if it's not patronizing, extractive, or one-sided.

The Case for Strategic FDI

One of the most effective ways to bridge the per capita income gap is through focused, strategic foreign direct investment (FDI). The U.S. and its allies must see India not just as a market, but as a manufacturing powerhouse in the making—a future factory of the free world.

Industrial corridors such as the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) are already designed with this ambition. With advanced logistics, modern urban centers, and connectivity built for scale, these corridors are ideal sites for American and global capital to flow into. But they need a deliberate push—an FDI Marshall Plan for India, if you will.

This is not charity. It’s smart strategy. Diversifying supply chains out of China is a geopolitical imperative. India, with its democratic institutions, rule of law, and massive labor pool, is the only viable alternative at scale. American capital has a chance to get in early, build strong roots, and co-develop the next wave of global production.

Investing in Infrastructure, Skilling, and Innovation

To make this work, investment must go beyond factories. It must target digital infrastructure, skilling programs, AI and semiconductor research, and clean energy ecosystems. India’s tech-savvy youth are a latent superpower waiting to be activated. A dollar invested today in India’s human capital will yield strategic and economic dividends for decades.

A New Strategic Blueprint

This is more than just business—it’s about building a new world order rooted in shared democratic values and mutual economic gain. A stronger India makes for a stronger Indo-Pacific. A wealthier Indian middle class becomes a global consumer base. An India that builds alongside the U.S., not below it, is a stabilizing force in an increasingly fragmented world.

If India is to be the new Britain, it must be with full sovereignty of vision and dignity of partnership. For America, this is not just about containing rivals—it’s about choosing the right friends, and backing them with purpose.

Now is the moment to go big. The future of the global economy might just be written in the industrial corridors between Delhi and Mumbai.






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Monday, June 02, 2025

Britain Stole 45T From India

 

The claim that Britain "stole" $45 trillion (often cited as $43–45 trillion) from India during colonial rule (1765–1938) stems primarily from the work of economist Utsa Patnaik, published by Columbia University Press in 2018. Her estimate, widely discussed in media and on platforms like X, is based on an analysis of trade and tax data over nearly two centuries, adjusted to present-day value. Below, we will explain the mechanisms behind this claim, how the figure was derived, and the broader context, while also addressing criticisms and alternative perspectives.

How the Wealth Was Extracted
Patnaik’s research argues that Britain systematically drained wealth from India through exploitative economic mechanisms during two main phases of colonial rule: the East India Company period (1765–1858) and the British Raj (1858–1947). The key methods included:
  1. Tax-and-Trade Manipulation:
    • After the East India Company gained control of Bengal in 1765, it established a monopoly over Indian trade. Instead of paying for Indian goods (like textiles and rice) with silver or gold, as was common before, the Company used taxes collected from Indian farmers and producers to "purchase" these goods. Essentially, Indian producers were paid with their own tax money, meaning they received no real payment for their goods.
    • This system ensured Britain acquired Indian goods essentially for free, which were then consumed domestically or re-exported to Europe and elsewhere at a markup, generating significant profits.
  2. Council Bills System:
    • After the British Raj took over in 1858, the system evolved. Indian producers could export goods directly to other countries, but payments were funneled through London via "Council Bills." Foreign buyers purchased these bills in London with gold or silver, which Indian producers then redeemed in rupees from colonial offices—rupees funded by Indian tax revenues. This meant the real value (gold/silver) stayed in London, while India was "paid" with its own money.
    • This created a fictional trade "deficit" in India’s accounts, despite India running a trade surplus with the world, as the actual wealth was siphoned to Britain.
  3. Financing Imperial Ambitions:
    • The wealth extracted from India was used to fund Britain’s industrialization, including the Industrial Revolution, by financing imports of strategic materials like iron, tar, and timber. It also supported British wars (e.g., the invasion of China in the 1840s and suppression of the 1857 Indian Rebellion) and colonial expansion in places like Canada and Australia.
    • Indian revenues were often used to cover the costs of British military campaigns, with Patnaik noting that "the cost of all Britain’s wars of conquest outside Indian borders were charged wholly or mainly to Indian revenues."
  4. Economic Stagnation in India:
    • India’s export surplus earnings, which could have been invested in local development (as Japan did in the 19th century), were instead diverted to Britain. This prevented India from modernizing its economy, leading to stagnant per capita income, widespread poverty, and famines. For example, during the Bengal famine of 1943, British policies like food grain exports exacerbated the crisis, contributing to millions of deaths.
How the $45 Trillion Figure Was Calculated
Patnaik’s estimate is based on detailed tax and trade data from 1765 to 1938, divided into four economic periods. She calculated the "drain" as India’s export surplus earnings that were appropriated by Britain. To convert this to present-day value, she applied a conservative 5% compound interest rate (lower than market rates) from the midpoint of each period to the present. The total comes to approximately £9.2 trillion, or $44.6 trillion at the historical exchange rate of $4.8 per pound.
  • Context of the Figure: The $45 trillion is about 17 times the UK’s current annual GDP (around $2.7–3 trillion). It reflects not just the direct extraction but also the compounded opportunity cost of wealth India could have invested in its own development.
  • Conservative Estimate: Patnaik notes this figure excludes additional costs, such as debts imposed on India by Britain and the human toll of famines and exploitation.
Broader Impacts on India
The economic drain had profound consequences:
  • Economic Decline: Before British rule, India was a major global economy, contributing an estimated 24% of world GDP in the 17th century. By 1947, it was impoverished, with negligible per capita income growth and a life expectancy drop of about 20% during British rule.
  • Human Cost: Policies like food exports during famines (e.g., the Bengal famine) and the use of Indian soldiers in British wars (54,000 died in WWI alone) added to the suffering.
  • Missed Opportunities: Had India retained its wealth, it could have invested in infrastructure, education, and industry, potentially becoming an economic powerhouse like Japan.
Criticisms and Counterarguments
While Patnaik’s work has gained traction, it has faced scrutiny, particularly from historians and economists who argue the figure is exaggerated or methodologically flawed:
  • Overreliance on Compound Interest: Critics argue that applying a 5% compound interest rate over centuries inflates the figure dramatically, with over 99% of the $45 trillion coming from interest rather than direct extraction. Using inflation adjustment instead would yield a much lower number, potentially in the billions.
  • Definition of "Theft": Some, like economic historian Tirthankar Roy, argue that not all trade revenue should be considered "stolen," as much of it funded an Indian army and administration, even if under British control. They also note that precolonial Indian rulers (e.g., the Mughals) similarly extracted wealth, and princely states under British rule did not necessarily invest more dynamically.
  • Historical Context: Critics like those at Quadrant argue the figure is a "pernicious myth" popularized for political reasons, noting that the East India Company’s profits were often limited by wars and administration costs, and only a fraction of revenues funded trade. They claim the $45 trillion assumes an unrealistic per capita extraction rate (e.g., $2,500/year per person in today’s terms, implausible for an economy with an average income of INR 135,000 in 2020).
  • Complexity of Colonial Economics: Huw Bowen’s work suggests that after 1765, the Company’s revenue surplus was smaller than expected, with much of it consumed by military and administrative costs rather than direct profit.
Sentiment on X and Public Discourse
Posts on X reflect polarized views. Some users, like
@Taj_Ali1
and
@SpiritofLenin
, echo Patnaik’s findings, emphasizing the scale of exploitation and its lasting impact on India’s poverty. Others, like
@Henbroonthereal
, frame it as a deliberate scam obscured by British narratives. However, skepticism exists, with some users questioning the figure’s validity or arguing it’s used for nationalist or anti-colonial rhetoric without sufficient scrutiny.
Critical Perspective

While Patnaik’s estimate highlights undeniable economic exploitation, the $45 trillion figure should be approached cautiously. The use of compound interest amplifies the number, and the assumption that all export surplus was "stolen" oversimplifies complex economic realities. For example, some revenue funded local infrastructure (e.g., railways), though often for British benefit. Conversely, defenders of British rule, like historian Niall Ferguson, who argue it "developed" India, are challenged by evidence of stagnation and suffering. The truth likely lies in a nuanced middle: Britain extracted immense wealth, but quantifying it precisely is fraught, and the $45 trillion figure serves as much as a rhetorical tool as an economic estimate.
Conclusion
Britain’s colonial rule in India involved systemic economic exploitation through trade manipulation, tax policies, and financial mechanisms like Council Bills, draining significant wealth that fueled British industrialization and global dominance. Patnaik’s $45 trillion estimate, while rooted in data, relies heavily on compound interest and has sparked debate over its methodology. The extraction undeniably hindered India’s development, contributing to poverty and famines, but the exact amount "stolen" remains contested. For further details, Patnaik’s work or critiques like Tirthankar Roy’s analyses are worth exploring.

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