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Showing posts with label Delhi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Delhi. Show all posts

Friday, July 11, 2025

What Delhi Can Learn from Beijing About Cleaning Its Air


 


What Delhi Can Learn from Beijing About Cleaning Its Air 🌫️➡️🌤️

1. Political Will & Cross‑Regional Coordination

Beijing’s transformation didn’t happen by chance. In the lead-up to the 2008 Olympics—and again during the 2014 APEC summit—the Chinese central government and regional authorities enforced sweeping measures: halting construction, closing heavy industries, and enforcing odd-even driving regulations across Beijing and its neighboring provinces (Wikipedia, Wikipedia).
Lesson for Delhi: Clean air requires not just city-level actions, but coordinated regional strategies—especially with neighboring states in North India contributing significantly to pollution.


2. Strict Vehicle Controls & Clean‑Fuel Transitions

Beijing enforced permanent odd–even license plate restrictions, banned high-pollution vehicles, and phased in stringent emission standards (China’s Euro 4+ equivalent). They also replaced many diesel buses with CNG/Natural Gas vehicles (Wikipedia).
Lesson for Delhi: While Delhi has experimented with odd-even schemes and mandated cleaner buses, adopting permanent and stricter vehicle bans, tighter emissions norms, and incentivizing electrification could yield longer-term benefits.


3. Coal‑to‑Gas Shift in Industry & Heating

Around 40% of Beijing’s PM₂.₅ came from coal. Their phased shutdown of coal-fired plants and industrial boilers, replaced with natural gas, delivered a sustained 35 % drop in fine particulates by 2017 (Wikipedia).
Lesson for Delhi: A parallel transition away from coal in the Delhi–NCR—whether for power, heating, or industry—is essential. This means not just policy declarations, but actual shifts in energy infrastructure and supply.


4. Smog Alert System & Rapid Countdown Response

Beijing operates a “red alert” system: when AQI is forecast over 200 for 72 hours, they immediately impose driving bans and temporarily shut polluting sites—yielding ~30 % emission reductions within days (Wikipedia).
Lesson for Delhi: Delhi could move beyond voluntary advisories and N‑95 mask recommendations. Launching a legally enforced smog-alert regime—with clear, actionable steps at defined AQI thresholds—would mark a major leap.


5. Sustained Investment in Infrastructure & Enforcement

Beijing invested aggressively: nearly US $17 billion ahead of the Beijing Olympics for upgrading public transport, expanding metro transit, and enforcing compliance across industries (Wikipedia).
Lesson for Delhi: Air quality solutions demand sustained commitments—more metro lines, clean-fuel public transport, real-time emissions monitoring, supported by strong regulatory and public-private enforcement.


6. Data Transparency & Public Engagement

Beijing prioritized access to real-time AQI data and made it a centerpiece of media coverage during citywide campaigns. This helped the public understand pollution sources and see contract with outcomes .
Lesson for Delhi: Enhancing data transparency—with mobile apps, public dashboards, and community alert systems—can increase public buy-in and fuel grassroots pressure for action.


Which lessons can New Delhi learn from Beijing? (News9 Plus)

This video highlights Beijing’s rapid, coordinated interventions during crisis moments—a model Delhi can adapt.


Final Thoughts

Delhi could reshape its air with a Beijing-inspired roadmap:

Beijing Strategy Delhi Adaptation
Strong central leadership & multi-regional coordination Forge binding air pacts with neighboring states
Permanent vehicle restrictions + strict emissions standards Expand odd-even bans, green tags, and cleaner vehicle norms
Coal-to-gas/renewable energy transition Phase out coal-powered boilers and industrial units
Smog red-alert with legal enforceability Convert advisories into enforceable emergency lockdowns
Billions in clean infrastructure Invest more in metro, EV charging, clean buses
Transparency & public engagement Launch real-time AQI portals and health advisories

Delhi stands at a crossroads: it can continue with isolated, short-term fixes, or take a Beijing-inspired leap—committing to sustained, enforceable, and scientifically driven change. As the poet William Wordsworth wrote, “But though the radiance which was once so bright / Be now forever taken from my sight…,” our skies can regain their brightness—if collective action follows with the same resolve.


By learning from Beijing’s holistic approach—combining political muscle, regional cooperation, enforceable regulations, clean-energy shifts, data transparency, and sustained infrastructure investment—Delhi too can chart a path toward cleaner, healthier skies. Now is the time to act.





दिल्ली बीजिंग से क्या सीख सकती है अपनी हवा को साफ करने के लिए? 🌫️➡️🌤️

1. राजनीतिक इच्छाशक्ति और क्षेत्रीय समन्वय

बीजिंग में बदलाव यूं ही नहीं हुआ। 2008 ओलंपिक और 2014 के APEC समिट से पहले, चीनी सरकार ने बड़े पैमाने पर निर्माण कार्य रोके, भारी उद्योगों को बंद किया, और वाहनों के लिए ऑड-ईवन जैसे कड़े नियम लागू किए।
दिल्ली के लिए सबक: साफ हवा के लिए सिर्फ नगर निगम नहीं, बल्कि पूरे क्षेत्रीय स्तर पर—हरियाणा, पंजाब, उत्तर प्रदेश, राजस्थान जैसे राज्यों के साथ समन्वय जरूरी है।


2. सख्त वाहन नियंत्रण और स्वच्छ ईंधन में बदलाव

बीजिंग में ऑड-ईवन व्यवस्था स्थायी है। उन्होंने हाई-पॉल्यूटिंग वाहनों पर प्रतिबंध लगाया, उत्सर्जन मानक कड़े किए और डीज़ल बसों को CNG या प्राकृतिक गैस में बदला।
दिल्ली के लिए सबक: दिल्ली ने इन उपायों की शुरुआत तो की है, पर इनका स्थायी और कड़ा क्रियान्वयन आवश्यक है। इलेक्ट्रिक वाहनों को तेजी से बढ़ावा देना होगा।


3. कोयले से गैस की ओर औद्योगिक बदलाव

बीजिंग की PM2.5 प्रदूषण का लगभग 40% कोयले से आता था। उन्होंने कोयला आधारित बिजली संयंत्रों और बॉयलरों को बंद कर गैस पर शिफ्ट किया, जिससे 2017 तक 35% तक प्रदूषण में गिरावट आई।
दिल्ली के लिए सबक: औद्योगिक और घरेलू ऊर्जा आपूर्ति में कोयले की जगह गैस और नवीकरणीय ऊर्जा लाना जरूरी है।


4. स्मॉग अलर्ट सिस्टम और त्वरित कार्रवाई

बीजिंग में ‘रेड अलर्ट’ सिस्टम है—जब AQI 200 के ऊपर तीन दिन तक रहने की संभावना हो, तो सरकार तत्काल गाड़ियों पर बैन, निर्माण कार्य पर रोक और फैक्ट्रियों को बंद करने जैसे कदम उठाती है।
दिल्ली के लिए सबक: सिर्फ सलाह देने से काम नहीं चलेगा। कानूनी रूप से बाध्य करने वाला स्मॉग अलर्ट सिस्टम जरूरी है।


5. बुनियादी ढांचे में निवेश और कठोर प्रवर्तन

बीजिंग ने ओलंपिक से पहले ही $17 अरब से ज्यादा निवेश किया—मेट्रो विस्तार, सार्वजनिक परिवहन का स्वच्छ ईंधन में रूपांतरण, और उद्योगों की निगरानी के लिए।
दिल्ली के लिए सबक: सिर्फ घोषणाएं नहीं, बल्कि लगातार निवेश और मजबूत प्रवर्तन चाहिए।


6. डेटा पारदर्शिता और जनभागीदारी

बीजिंग में हर नागरिक को रीयल-टाइम AQI डेटा मिलता है। मीडिया में इसे प्रमुखता दी जाती है। इससे जनता जागरूक होती है और सरकार पर दबाव भी बनता है।
दिल्ली के लिए सबक: AQI को मोबाइल ऐप, डिजिटल बोर्ड और मीडिया के माध्यम से आम जनता तक पहुंचाया जाए, ताकि लोग न सिर्फ सतर्क रहें बल्कि बदलाव की मांग भी करें।


🎥 संदर्भ वीडियो: Which lessons can New Delhi learn from Beijing? (News9 Plus)


निष्कर्ष:

दिल्ली बीजिंग से प्रेरित होकर एक स्पष्ट कार्य योजना बना सकती है:

बीजिंग की रणनीति दिल्ली की रूपरेखा
मजबूत केंद्रीय नेतृत्व और क्षेत्रीय समन्वय पड़ोसी राज्यों से वायु गुणवत्ता समझौते
स्थायी वाहन नियंत्रण और उत्सर्जन मानक इलेक्ट्रिक वाहनों को बढ़ावा, सख्त वाहन मानक
कोयले से नवीकरणीय ऊर्जा की ओर बदलाव कोयला आधारित उद्योगों को चरणबद्ध बंदी
कानूनी रूप से बाध्य स्मॉग अलर्ट सिस्टम AQI के आधार पर त्वरित और सख्त कार्रवाई
स्वच्छ परिवहन में भारी निवेश अधिक मेट्रो, CNG/EV बसें, सार्वजनिक परिवहन का विस्तार
डेटा पारदर्शिता और जनसहभागिता AQI ट्रैकर ऐप्स, डिजिटल डिस्प्ले, जनजागरूकता अभियान

बीजिंग ने दिखा दिया कि अगर राजनीतिक इच्छाशक्ति हो, वैज्ञानिक दृष्टिकोण अपनाया जाए और निवेश सही दिशा में हो—तो हवा साफ हो सकती है। दिल्ली के लिए भी समय आ गया है कि वह छोटे-छोटे प्रयोगों से आगे बढ़कर एक बड़ा, समन्वित और स्थायी प्रयास करे।

आखिरकार, जो आसमान कभी नीला था, वो फिर से नीला हो सकता है—अगर हम मिलकर कार्रवाई करें।


लेखक:
परमेंद्र कुमार भगत
(हवा में बदलाव का सपना देखने वाला नागरिक)




Saturday, June 07, 2025

Why India Must Be the New Britain—But on Equal Terms

The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade

Kash Patel On The Fentanyl Crisis
Kash Patel's Agroterrorism Accusations Against The CCP



Why India Must Be the New Britain—But on Equal Terms

In the 20th century, Britain was America’s closest ally—a political, military, and economic partner bound by shared values and strategic interests. As we move deeper into the 21st century, the global power axis is shifting. And now, India is poised to take on the mantle of America’s most consequential ally. But this partnership must be forged not out of nostalgia or geopolitical convenience, but with a clear-eyed understanding of economics, equity, and long-term opportunity.

A Partnership of Equals, Not Echoes

The US-India relationship cannot mirror the transatlantic alliance of the past. Britain, at the time of its special relationship with the U.S., was a wealthy post-imperial power with a comparable per capita income and advanced infrastructure. India, while on a trajectory of unprecedented growth, still grapples with vast income disparity. Its per capita income remains far below that of the U.S., and acknowledging this is not an act of inferiority—it’s a call to action.

This new alliance must operate on the principle of mutual upliftment. India brings youth, scale, talent, and geopolitical weight. The U.S. brings capital, technology, and institutional strength. Together, they can build the most powerful democratic partnership of the 21st century—but only if it's not patronizing, extractive, or one-sided.

The Case for Strategic FDI

One of the most effective ways to bridge the per capita income gap is through focused, strategic foreign direct investment (FDI). The U.S. and its allies must see India not just as a market, but as a manufacturing powerhouse in the making—a future factory of the free world.

Industrial corridors such as the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) are already designed with this ambition. With advanced logistics, modern urban centers, and connectivity built for scale, these corridors are ideal sites for American and global capital to flow into. But they need a deliberate push—an FDI Marshall Plan for India, if you will.

This is not charity. It’s smart strategy. Diversifying supply chains out of China is a geopolitical imperative. India, with its democratic institutions, rule of law, and massive labor pool, is the only viable alternative at scale. American capital has a chance to get in early, build strong roots, and co-develop the next wave of global production.

Investing in Infrastructure, Skilling, and Innovation

To make this work, investment must go beyond factories. It must target digital infrastructure, skilling programs, AI and semiconductor research, and clean energy ecosystems. India’s tech-savvy youth are a latent superpower waiting to be activated. A dollar invested today in India’s human capital will yield strategic and economic dividends for decades.

A New Strategic Blueprint

This is more than just business—it’s about building a new world order rooted in shared democratic values and mutual economic gain. A stronger India makes for a stronger Indo-Pacific. A wealthier Indian middle class becomes a global consumer base. An India that builds alongside the U.S., not below it, is a stabilizing force in an increasingly fragmented world.

If India is to be the new Britain, it must be with full sovereignty of vision and dignity of partnership. For America, this is not just about containing rivals—it’s about choosing the right friends, and backing them with purpose.

Now is the moment to go big. The future of the global economy might just be written in the industrial corridors between Delhi and Mumbai.






Friday, February 28, 2020

The Pogrom In Delhi

The message from the BJP is clear: Elect whomever you like. We are still in power. Call the police; they work for us. Appeal to the courts; we’ll neutralize any judges who don’t toe our line. Continue to dissent, and we will set the mob on you.

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

आरक्षण या Job Creation?

भारत में जन हैं १२५ करोड़। सरकारी नौकरी १ करोड़ है भी कि नहीं। कितने हैं? तो १ करोड़ रोटी के लिए १२५ करोड़ लोग मारपीट करते रहोगे या १०० करोड़ नयी रोटी सेकने के तरिके सोचोगे? आरक्षण में दम नहीं। अब Job Creation का मन्त्र पढ़ो। Entrepreneurship का सोंचो। हाँ बल्कि क्रेडिट के लिए लड़ो। क्रेडिट यानि बिजनेस के लिए लोन। बगैर कोलैटरल के लोन मिलने चाहिए। जो वैसा कार्यक्रम लाए उसीको वोट दो। काम हो जाएगा। 


Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Free Speech And JNU's Kanhaiya Kumar

I don't have to agree or disagree with anything Kanhaiya Kumar said. He has a right to free speech. I am perplexed he was arrested. If the BJP keeps taking steps like this, regardless of the economic performance, it might lose in 2019. This is the first time I have felt that way.

The BJP/RSS is a large tent. But this arrest is official action. The government is responsible. This is a major self goal.

Testing the outer bounds of free speech is true patriotism in the largest democracy. Nobody is more patriotic than an Indian who relishes and practices and preaches and celebrates free speech. No free speech, no India.

What is ABVP, by the way? Pahli baar naam sun rahe hain.



An ominous operetta
The alarming, exponential reach of the ‘anti-national’ can find you out in the most unexpected places.
The design is pretty obvious. A flexible combination of street violence (the ABVP, Bajrang Dal, etc), certain provisions of the penal code (Sections 153, 295, etc), and a compliant police administration, is deployed in order to silence all expression of dissent, and to destroy the institutional locations where critical ideas may be aired — and maybe even shouted. Between easily hurt “sentiments” and the ever-present threat of public disorder, which can be produced on demand, and the ease with which all manifestations even of scepticism, let alone dissent, are being dubbed “anti-national” — still, was hanging Afzal Guru in order to satisfy the justifiably outraged collective consciousness really right, your honour? — the brief pre-election “debate” about imminent fascism appears, well, naïve. Somewhat surprisingly, the semi-literate but still honourable human resource development minister — how “semi-” is a matter of some uncertainty — has even yoked her Saraswati to the cause of her “nationalism”. (Mine is still playing the veena.) But perhaps it is time to reframe K.C. Bhattacharya’s famous question: “Is there an Indian way of fascism?” ....... It is time that the home ministry published a list of all the things that must not be said, or seen — or, apparently, even heard, like “anti-national” slogans. The most sacred is, of course, the sacred cow. But almost nearly as sacred is Prime Minister Narendra Modi — because, one gathers, that being critical of him was the “offence” of the boys of the Periyar Study Circle at IIT Madras. Rohith Vemula’s “offence” has been rather obscured by the pious platitudes prompted by his suicide, but it must have been pretty dire for a Union minister to have declared him “anti-national” and hounded him, via the compliant administration, to his heart-breaking end. ........ The alarming and exponential reach of the “anti-national” can find you out in the most unexpected places. ....... We can’t all only be doing “Saraswati Vandana” all the time — the goddess demands other, sterner forms of worship too: At the very least, a certain minimal commitment to ideas, rather than the pathological fear of ideas manifested by the “nationalists”.
Watch JNU Student Union VP Make A Powerful Speech Against The Arrest Of Their President





JNU row: BJP MLA caught on camera assaulting person; justifies it
BJP MLA O.P. Sharma who was at the Delhi's Patiala House Court on Monday to show his support to Finance Minister Arun Jaitley who had a court hearing in a defamation case. After Jaitley left the court, Sharma and his supporters took to violence, along with lawyers who launched a blatant attack on JNU students, teachers and journalists...... Sharma while talking to a TV channel justified assaulting a person, saying there is nothing wrong in “even killing those who raise pro-Pakistan slogans.” ...... On Monday, lawyers turned violent during the hearing of a bail plea of Kanhaiya Kumar, JNU students union president. Lawyers shouting anti-JNU slogans got into the fight with students, teachers and mediapersons present there...... According to the reports, police has been accused of inaction as lawyers went on a rampage.
‘Defending Bharat Mata’, With Kicks and Punches
The Patiala House court complex was the scene of chaos and violence Monday when a group of lawyers and BJP activists – including one party legislator – attacked and manhandled students and teachers from Jawaharlal Nehru University who had gathered to show solidarity with arrested student union president Kanhaiya Kumar. Even journalists were not spared, with at least five of them sustaining injuries after being set upon by right-wing activists. ....... The charge of being “anti-national” was flung inside and outside the courts at all those who had come from JNU.

In the court room itself, a group of 40 lawyers accompanied by the police tried evicting 10 JNU teachers from the premises, badly beating one academic.

Outside, the lead was taken by BJP MLA from Delhi OP Sharma. Captured on camera assaulting Ameeque Jamai, a leader of the Communist Party of India, he not only justified his action but said he was even prepared to murder someone if he thought they were pro-Pakistani : “If you ask me, there is nothing wrong in beating up or even killing someone shouting slogans in favour of Pakistan,” he said. ......

Asked by Zakka Jacob on CNN-IBN on the 9 pm news on Monday night whether he approved of Sharma saying it was alright to kill someone shouting pro-Pakistan slogans, Sudhanshu Trivedi, national spokesperson of the BJP said he did.

....... Inside the court, Kanhaiya Kumar, who is facing charges of sedition, had his judicial custody extended till February 17. Though Kumar, who is a member of the All India Student Federation – the student wing of the CPI – has flatly denied the police charges of sedition, Delhi Police Commissioner B.S. Bassi claimed there was “irrefutable proof” against him. So far, however, in all the video “evidence” circulating on television and social media, no footage of Kumar shouting “seditious” or “anti-national slogans” has emerged. ......... Legal experts say that

the Supreme Court has repeatedly ruled that the charge of sedition cannot apply to mere words

and that an accused person has to have sought to instigate violence in order for his speech to be criminalised. ....... “A group of these people in lawyers garb came into the court room shouting ‘Bharat mata ki jai’. They asked us to leave, and when we questioned this they caught hold of one of our male colleagues, Rohit, and slapped him”, Neera Kongari, professor of Japanese studies told The Wire. Ayesha Kidwai, professor of linguistics, added that several of the female professors present including her, Janaki Nair and Chitra Harshvardhan were molested and manhandled by these lawyers. All this time, police were present but did not take any action, and the professors had to specially request a police escort till the exit. The professors are exploring all legal options available to them. .........

But Kidwai’s main fear was what would happen to Kanhaiya once he entered the room, as all the exits were blocked by BJP lawyers. Since he was their prime target, she was afraid he would receive much harsher treatment.

........ Students and media persons also received the same violent treatment at the hands of the protesting lawyers. Varun Chauhan, a close friend of Kumar’s, said he and his friends were called “Pakistanis”, and when they did not respond they were hit and pushed out of the court room. The All India Students’ Federation (AISF) general secretary Biswajit was also badly beaten, and his clothes were torn. “Look at what they are doing”, he told The Wire. “And they can still call Kanhaiya a terrorist?” .....

While the police told the journalists to leave in order to avoid getting hurt, they did not do anything to stop the lawyers and BJP members.

....... Rahila, a JNU student and friend of Kanhaiya’s who had also been pushed out of the court room, expressed her outrage at what was happening. “I am ashamed that these are the people who are supposed to uphold our constitution. They behave like this,

that too in a public court room

, yet you call JNU students anti-national? And the police are only bystanders, not intervening on our behalf. The entire country should be ashamed”. ....... More than 40 universities from all over the country have now expressed their support and solidarity with JNUSU and JNUTA. Public universities in Karnataka, Osmania University in Hyderabad and Calcutta University have planning action including strikes and public meetings to show their support. ....... In spite of the widespread support they have received from political, cultural and academic groups, the persecution and branding of JNU students continues. A website has created profiles of JNU students who are “anti-national”, in order to “know them and expose them”. In addition to names, the website also has links to their Facebook profiles, exposing these students to online threats and harassment.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Silicon Dhanush, Silicon Crescent




Silicon Crescent: Delhi - Ahmedabad - Mumbai - Bengaluru

Janakpur to Patna: 180 KM
Patna to Kolkata: 580 KM
Kolkata to Dhaka: 250 KM
Dhaka to Mandalay: 1100 KM
Mandalay to Kunming: 760 KM

2870 KM = 1780 miles

That's two and a half hours on a hyperloop.

The Janakpur to Dhaka stretch is barely 1000 km. That's an hour and a half on a hyperloop. That entire stretch could be one big city.


Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Silicon Boomerang? Silicon Crescent?

How Startup India will transform the country
The US and Israel have successfully played the role of catalyst to do this and the Rs 10,000 crore fund-offunds will do the same. It would not invest in ventures itself but contribute to, say, a fifth of the corpus of India-focused and professionally-managed venture funds. They will have to raise five times that amount from non-government sources, making Rs 50,000 crore available for startups and early-stage companies. As these companies grow, they will typically raise at least 10 times that amount from later-stage global investors before going public. Hence the government’s Rs 10,000 crore may result in attracting almost

Rs 500,000 crore

for innovative Indian companies, helping create possibly the next Google or Facebook. ..... Our information technology industry, driven predominantly by startups and first generation entrepreneurs was backed by the STPI scheme and tax-breaks that helped reinvest earnings for growth. The industry has grown from $50 million to $150 billion in 25 years, becoming the largest employer in the organised private sector and accounting for over a fifth of our forex earning!!


Silicon Boomerang: Delhi, Ahmedabad, Mumbai, Bangalore
Connected by Hyperloop 900 KM + 500 KM + 900 KM = 1400 miles. That is two hours on a hyperloop. That would make for just one big city. From Delhi to Bangalore. Call it the Silicon Boomerang, or the Silicon Crescent. ...... Crescent bol do Pakistan se dosti bhi ho jayegi.

Solar State: Rajasthan (10,000 GW of electricity, phase 1)



Waise main Bihari hoon. To bias to rahega hi. Jaise ki 2014 mein main Nitish ke liye rooting kar raha tha. Soncha, chalo koi Bihari bhai aa jayega to acchha hi rahega. To Modi ne Nitish ko Jharkhand Mukti Morcha bana ke rakh diya. Khair bit gayi so baat gayi.

Ek aur Crescent hai. Boomerang. Janakpur - Patna - Kolkata - Dhaka - Kunming. Industrial potential vast hai uska.


Janakpur Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor
Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor (PKIC)



The idea behind something like a Silicon Crescent is, this is where nanotechnology happens. The industries of tomorrow seem to want a geography.

Friday, January 01, 2016

केजरीवाल, मोदी और दिल्ली

केजरीवाल जब पहली बार दिल्ली का मुख्य मंत्री बने उससे पहले मेरे राडार पर वो नहीं थे। लेकिन जब वो आए, I have to admit, it was a breath of fresh air. ये जो दुसरी बार जिते हैं, तो क्लियर मैंडेट है। स्मार्ट हैं, मेहनती हैं, साधारण पृष्ठभूमि के हैं, एक क्लीन इमेज है। दिल्ली के लिए एजेंडा भी अच्छा है।

लेकिन वो बार बार शिकायत करते आए हैं कि मैंने चुनाव जिता लेकिन मोदी काम नहीं करने दे रहे हैं। तो I have taken that with a grain of salt. मोदी के rear view mirror में केजरीवाल दिखते होंगे ऐसा नहीं लगता। एक बात होता है कि बड़ा आदमी से लफड़ा लो और अपना कद बढ़ाओ। Which is cheap.

तथ्य आखिर है क्या? मोदी तंग कर रहे हैं। ये बात मेरे को मानने को मन नहीं कर रहा था। या तो मोदी का मेरा जो इमेज है गलत है या वो केजरी को तंग नहीं कर रहे। तो बात क्या है आखिर?

तो आज मेरे को जवाब मिल गया। नया साल मुबारक। मोदी को भी केजरी को भी।


मेरे समझ में यहाँ क्या हो रहा है कि मोदी केजरी को तंग नहीं कर रहे। हो ये रहा है कि केजरी ये नहीं समझ रहे कि दिल्ली के पास statehood नहीं है। दिल्ली तो केंद्र शासित क्षेत्र है। तो केंद्र सरकार का मैंडेट तो मोदी को मिला हुवा है। पटना में नीतिश जो हैं या लखनऊ में अखिलेश दिल्ली में केजरी वो नहीं हैं।

दिल्ली को राज्य का दर्जा मिलना चाहिए कि नहीं? मिलना चाहिए तो रोडमैप क्या है?  वो तो बाद की बात है। या तो केजरी को एक रोडमैप प्रस्तुत करना होगा। कि मैं मानता हुँ दिल्ली को राज्य का दर्जा मिलना चाहिए और उसका नेतृत्व मैं करूँगा। तो वो एक रास्ता हुवा। दिल्ली के राज्य के दर्जा के बारे में मेरे को मालुम नहीं। मैंने अध्ययन नहीं किया है।  तो मैं मुद्दे पर न्यूट्रल भी हुँ और अगर केजरी ये बीड़ा उठाना चाहें तो रोडमैप क्या हो सकता है उस पर मैं आर्यभट का शुन्य हुँ। I don't know.

लेकिन अभी तक जो हल्ला करते आए हैं केजरी ये मोदी के प्रति unfair है और केजरी को अपरिपक्व दिखाता है। मोदी का केजरी के साथ न कोई पर्सनालिटी क्लैश है न कोई प्रतिस्प्रधा है। And it would be out of character for Modi to harass Kejri. मेरे समझ में हो क्या रहा है कि केजरी ये नहीं समझ रहे हैं कि दिल्ली केजरी शासित क्षेत्र नहीं है, संविधान जैसा बतला रहा है। दिल्ली केंद्र शासित क्षेत्र है। तो अपना jurisdiction समझने का प्रयास करें। मोदी ट्विटर पर जा के रोना धोना करें कि देखो इतना बड़ा मैंडेट ले के आया मैं लेकिन सी जिनपिंग मेरे को चिनिया सेना का बागडोर सम्हालने नहीं दे रहा है तो कैसा लगेगा? अरे यार चीन आप का jurisdiction नहीं।

कुछ होता है ग्रे जोन। ये केजरी के क्षेत्राधिकार में है कि केंद्र के स्पष्ट नहीं होता। तो वहाँ दोनों प्रतिस्प्रधा करेंगे कि मेरा है मेरा है, वो तो स्वाभाविक है।

केजरी को एक प्रॉपर चीफ मिनिस्टर बनना है तो जाओ पंजाब जाओ। सुनते हैं वहां भी आप का अच्छा है। या दिल्ली को राज्य का दर्जा दिलाने का रोडमैप लाओ और जनता के पास जाओ। बीजेपी ने तो स्पष्ट कह ही दिया नहीं। कि हम नहीं चाहते दिल्ली अलग राज्य हो।

सबसे प्रमुख बात है मोदी पर बार बार जो घटिया और बहुत ही पर्सनल किस्म के अटैक जो हो रहे हैं उससे भारत के छवि पर असर पर रहा है। मैंने हाल ही में वाशिंगटन पोस्ट में एक आर्टिकल पढ़ा जिसमें केजरी को क्वोट किया गया है, कि मोदी psychopath हैं। ये तो लोकतंत्र की भाषा नहीं। भारत के छवि पर असर पड़ता है। और वैसे भी मोदी की कोई गलती मैं देख नहीं रहा। CBI ने खुद एक्शन लिया। गलत लिया तो वकील हायर करो। राजनीतिक मुद्दा है तो राजनीतिक भाषा बोलो।

Kejriwal is promising, but he should not punch above his weight, especially in unfair ways. और वैसे भी economic growth के मुद्दे पर केजरी कुछ नहीं मोदी के सामने। न विज़न देख रहा हुँ न एक्शन।


Friday, December 25, 2015

India: Holding Two Elections Every Five Years

Indian general election, 2009
Indian general election, 2009 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
I think that would be a great idea. The entire country has only two election dates every five years. The national elections and half the state elections are held on one day. State elections for the rest of the states are held on the other day. And all local elections are also held on one of the two days.

For the state elections it would be a good idea to get half the country (by population) vote on one day, and the other half on the other day. If you put together the North-East, West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, and Uttar Pradesh in one basket, would that be half the country? If not add a few more adjacent states. 

Basically you get rid of the idea of mid-term elections. Parliaments do full terms. Why not? 

With the current system, you can get a decisive mandate for the Lok Sabha and still feel like you never really got a mandate. Elections are never over. There's always a major election just round the corner. Bihar is over, Uttar Pradesh is on. That is democratic chaos. 

This would also boost local bodies. You can't have a robust democracy if you don't have robust local bodies. The local bodies are the most exciting part of the democracy. The people get to actively participate. 

Because local elections can be held on either of the two days, both dates will feel like national election days. Maybe the rule should be you can't hold the state and the local election on the same day. That way states will use one date for the state level and the other for the local level election.

And the two dates should be a Sunday. 

Abhi to jo hai chaos hai. 


Tuesday, December 22, 2015

The Pendulum Of Democracy, Modi, And India

I feel like people are making too much out of the Bihar election. Chief Minister ka chunav tha, and the best candidate won. The only candidate won. Noone else was even running. The Bihari voter knows the difference between a national election and a state election. The media doesn't know, doesn't care.

In a democracy, the people want to feel like they are boss. And so they balance it out. US mein hi dekh lo, jis party ko White House dete hain, Congress usko nahin dete. If you have the White House, chances are you will not hold the majority of the state houses. It is because the voters are smart. They wish to balance it out.

Precisely because Modi got such a decisive mandate in 2014, he should lose all state elections to 2019. That would not mean he is not performing. I think he has been doing great work. That just means the voters are smart. They want to keep the power and balance it out.

Each state has its own dynamic. One can only hope the best candidate for Chief Minister wins. That is what is good for the country. And the 2014 mandate is supposed to last for five years.

If the Opposition is to keep the Upper House, the only choice is to elevate the debate and discussion in both houses and seek creative solutions and middle grounds. Have robust debates that go beyond posturing and position taking. Debate ke baad fusion karo.

What if the BJP were to lose Uttar Pradesh in 2017? What if Akhilesh wins another term? As long as Modi can give India a robust growth rate, he should do just fine for 2019. But that's a long way away.



Kejriwal And Modi: Not On The Same Plank

I was unhappy when Kejriwal tweeted his attack on Modi calling him names. It was not only not the language of a mature democracy, it also sounded inaccurate. He made it sound like Modi had personally directed the raid. I have not read up on the raid, it's not worth my time. If you feel the CBI has wronged you, go get a lawyer. Manmohan Singh did after he got out of office and was subjected to some kind of inquiry. He asked the court to dismiss it, and the court did. Not that Kejriwal is Manmohan Singh.

Such a comment mars India's image that Modi has worked so hard to cultivate ever since he got into office. He had a purpose. India has beat both China and the United States on FDI this year. Is that something, or is that something? Itna bejod kaam ho raha hai. Thos kaam ho raha hai. 

Kejriwal likes to imagine there is some kind of a personality clash going on between Modi and him: not true. There is no evidence. Yaar, size to dekho. Delhi ka size kya hai?

Kejriwal has a mandate. The mandate is to govern. To govern karo. Kaam karo. Apna political height badhane ke prayas mein desh ke PM ko gaali mat bolo.

Agar Modi mein rajnitik sujhbujh hai to wo aisa raid nahin karvayenge. That is yet another reason to believe he was not personally behind it. Because, it doesn't make any political sense. Bahut ghaate ki baat hai. 

Within minutes of the CBI raid on the Delhi secretariat on 15 December, top government functionaries — those sitting in North Block and South Block — spoke with one another to find out whether the raid had the prior approval of any of them. None of them had any inkling....... Prime Minister Narendra Modi displayed ignorance while Home Minister Rajnath Singh was not in the loop either. The Ministry of Home Affairs asked CBI director Anil Sinha and he justified the raids on procedural and legal grounds.......The collateral damage from the raids was colossal in political terms........ The carefully cultivated image of Modi as a leader who believes in the consensual approach lay shattered as the Opposition attacked his government for being “vindictive” against rivals. As expected, Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal used this opportunity to launch one of the worst vituperative attacks on the prime minister and subsequently on Finance Minister Arun Jaitley.


DDCA row: Narendra Modi gets furious when he hears my name, says Arvind Kejriwal
During the session, Kejriwal accused the PM of “unleashing” the CBI on the government and said the recent raid on his principal secretary’s office was an “attack on the federal structure of democracy”.
The PM ordered this raid to protect Jaitley,” alleged Kejriwal ..... Questioning the independence of the CBI as an investigative body, Kejriwal said, “The day CBI becomes independent, it will send a notice to Shivraj Chouhan. It will send a notice to Modi to ask him about the money he got for his coat. Sushma and Vasundhara Raje will get notices, not Rajendra Kumar…” ...... Defending Kumar, Kejriwal said, “Hamare afsar ke locker khali mile aur 12 daaru ki bottles mili. Is world ki sabse badi democracy ke PM raid karwaye aur 12 bottles liquor mile to sharm ki baat hai…(The head of the world’s biggest democracy ordered a raid and only found 12 liquor bottles. This is shameful).” ..... Kejriwal also took a dig at the PM’s foreign trips. “He has nothing to do with the country. He has a big plane with all facilities and stays in five-star hotels… Everything runs smoothly when he is out of the country. The day he returns, the CBI is unleashed on the opposition…,” he said. ..... He also welcomed the defamation case filed by Jaitley against him and his partymen. “We will go to Patiala House on February 5… We will give our explanation and the trial will begin. Jaitley will stand in the witness box and our advocate will cross-examine him. This will go on for a year. They have harmed themselves,” said Kejriwal. ..... The DDCA… deals with sports which is under us,” said Kejriwal.
Target 2019: Kejriwal’s anti-Modi moves are rooted in his ambition
the Delhi chief minister has realised that the space for an anti-establishment leader has started growing again in India. And he is making fast and furious moves to occupy the slot before anyone else becomes the pivot of the anti-BJP politics that could become a rewarding pursuit by 2019. ..... The economy has come to a standstill. Growth forecasts have become sobre and sombre: the latest estimate has been revised downwards to 7-7.5 percent from the previous 8.1-8.5 percent. Reforms are stuck, legislative bills are caught in politics of hostility, jobs are not rising, prices — not the ones reflected on indices of data crunchers but on grocery lists of real people — are going through the roof. There is a general atmosphere of hostility and distrust. Promises of achche din have become a painful memory ..... within a year, unless something dramatic happens, a string of electoral results could change the mood on the ground dramatically. .... The party never had a realistic chance in Tamil Nadu and Kerala, where elections are due next .... In Punjab, the Akali Dal-BJP alliance is facing stiff challenge after ten years of incumbency. ....... the ruling alliance is staring at a drubbing in Punjab that could be more severe than the beating in Delhi. ..... Where is the party winning next? Perhaps Assam, but every other state election appears a tough challenge. ..... For the past few days, Kejriwal has been relentlessly attacking the PM and his finance minister with the hope of becoming the leading anti-Modi voice in the country. By punching well above his weight, just like Modi did as chief minister of Gujarat, he is hoping to become the symbol of anti-establishment by the time the next election is around. ...... Kejriwal can progress in politics only if he wins Punjab, or at least puts up a strong show. It doesn't look easy. ..... In Punjab, Kejriwal is facing the challenge of warding off the might of former chief minister and Congress leader Captain Amarinder Singh. The mood on the ground suggests voters are torn between AAP and a resurgent Congress under Singh. Both have equal chances of replacing the SAD-BJP government. ..... Aware of the challenge and the opportunity, Kejriwal is planning to camp in Punjab for almost six months before the elections, leaving Delhi to his deputy Manish Sisodia. If he wins Punjab, demolishes the Badals and pins down Singh, Kejriwal will immediately fancy himself as a challenger to Modi...... Kejriwal's rise, if it happens, won't be a tragic development for the BJP. It will immediately bring his ambition into conflict with that of Rahul Gandhi, Mulayam Singh,

Nitish Kumar — the current frontrunner —

and other regional aspirants, immediately putting under strain the current index of opposition unity, the biggest threat to Modi after anti-incumbency......

Does this explain the BJP's current eagerness to provoke Kejriwal?

Whenever My Name Is Taken, PM Modi's Blood Boils: Arvind Kejriwal
Speaking at the Delhi assembly as his battle with the Centre reaches a new low, Mr Kejriwal added, "BJP leaders have told me in private, whenever my name is taken, (PM Narendra) Modi's blood boils." ..... Calling the raids a "flop", Mr Kejriwal today said the CBI questioned his principal secretary Rajender Kumar for over 50 hours after 14-hour long raids. "But they have found nothing... The raid was aimed only at helping Arun Jaitley," he said. "What the PM did is quite shameful," he said. ..... Taking the charges head-on, Mr Kejriwal said, "What remains to be seen is that whether the inquiry commission will be annulled by the L-G, who Jaitley says is 'our man'... I appeal to Jaitleyji to cooperate with the inquiry commission."


Friday, June 26, 2015

डिग्री ना होना बुरी बात नहीं

It is not about what degree you have or do not have, it is what you accomplish or do not accomplish. Judge Smriti Irani on her work since she took office. भाड़ में जाए डिग्री ---- वो तो मोदी के पास भी नहीं ---- अमीर खान भी बगैर डिग्री के ही घुम रहे हैं। बिल गेट्स भी तो। लेकिन PK को देखो, दुनिया भर में वर्ल्ड रिकॉर्ड कायम किया।



Trouble for HRD Minister Smriti Irani: Delhi court to hear complaint over her degrees on 28 August
Smriti Irani's degrees should be probed: PM Modi's brother