The US pulling the plug on all military aid could force Ukraine to accept the deal. As opposed to what? It might not be fair, but it might end the war, start work on reconstruction, and lead to a normalization of relations between Russia and the West. It might create an opening for Trump to try and drive a wedge between Russia and China. That might or might not happen. But peace would be a good thing.
Looks like the formula Trump has in mind is, Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk go to Russia, the rest go to Ukraine.
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