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Showing posts with label africa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label africa. Show all posts

Friday, June 13, 2025

The Untapped Power of South-South Trade: A New Road to Global Prosperity


The Untapped Power of South-South Trade: A New Road to Global Prosperity

For too long, global trade conversations have revolved around the traditional corridors of the Global North — between the U.S., Europe, China, and Japan. But beneath the radar, a different story is unfolding: the rise of South-South trade. This quiet revolution, fueled by shared experiences, complementary strengths, and rapidly evolving digital tools, could be the single greatest catalyst for shared prosperity in the 21st century.

Learning from Peers, Trading with Peers

In education, it's often said that students learn best from those who are just a step ahead — not from the world’s top experts. The same principle applies to trade. When countries at similar stages of development collaborate, they understand each other’s challenges better and can co-create more relevant solutions. Many Global South economies share similar development timelines, infrastructural needs, and demographic profiles. This common ground forms the perfect basis for mutual growth.

The Case for a Digital African Currency Zone

Africa, for instance, is primed to leap ahead. A continent-wide digital currency zone, powered by mobile money, blockchain, and AI, could overcome many of the problems that plagued earlier monetary unions like the Eurozone. The mistakes of the past don’t have to be repeated when today's tools allow real-time tracking, smart contracts, and decentralized risk-sharing mechanisms.

This could supercharge intra-African trade, reduce dependence on foreign currencies, and increase financial inclusion in ways that physical infrastructure never could.

India's Digital Blueprint: A Global Asset

India’s digital public infrastructure, led by Aadhaar (biometric ID) and UPI (real-time payment interface), may be one of the most exportable governance innovations of our time. Unlike China’s investment-heavy Belt and Road Initiative, India’s "code not concrete" model is lighter, faster, and cheaper to implement — especially across African and Southeast Asian nations that are eager to digitize without taking on unsustainable debt.

Much like how many nations skipped landline phones and jumped directly to mobile, developing economies can now bypass traditional financial infrastructure and leap into the digital future. Indian blockchain companies, working alongside local fintechs, could create an entirely new architecture for South-South payments and remittances.

Labor as Trade: A Forgotten Cornerstone

Trade isn’t just goods and capital — it’s also people. The Gulf-South Asia labor corridor offers a case study in how mobile labor has fueled development on both ends. South Asian workers helped build Gulf megacities; their remittances transformed villages back home. This "trade in labor" model could inspire better immigration reform in countries like the United States, where economic needs clash with nativist politics.

Rather than criminalize undocumented workers, the answer lies in documenting them. Managed migration, seasonal work visas, and bilateral agreements can formalize labor flows — respecting human dignity while boosting productivity.

Recognizing the Growth That’s Already Happened

It’s time we corrected a blind spot in the global narrative. The Global South has not merely waited for development; it has already grown — dramatically. The same three decades that saw China’s rise also witnessed explosive growth in parts of Latin America, Southeast Asia, and Africa. But because it was dispersed and less centralized, it often went unnoticed.

This overlooked momentum is not just real — it’s ripe for acceleration.


Conclusion: A South-South Century

We are standing at the threshold of a new economic age. The old north-south hierarchy is giving way to a horizontal network of collaboration among emerging powers. With digital tools, youthful populations, and a growing confidence in their own models, the Global South is poised not just to participate in globalization — but to redefine it.

Let us not waste this moment. The fastest path to mutual prosperity may well lie in the Global South trading with itself — building a world economy that is fairer, more human, and more in tune with the realities of the majority.

At the end of the classic 1972 film The Godfather, the new don of the family, Michael Corleone, attends a baptism while his men wipe out the heads of the other New York Mafia families—all of them Michael’s enemies, and all intending one day to do him harm. Rather than wait for their eventual attacks, Michael dispatches them himself. “Today, I settled all family business,” Michael says to his traitorous brother-in-law, before having him killed. ............. Tonight, the Israelis launched a broad, sweeping attack on Iran that seems like an attempt to settle, so to speak, all family business. The Israeli government has characterized this offensive as a “preemptive” strike on Iran: “We are now in a strategic window of opportunity and close to a point of no return, and we had no choice but to take action,” an Israeli military official told reporters. Israeli spokespeople suggest that these attacks, named Operation Rising Lion, could go on for weeks. ............ But calling this a “preemptive” strike is questionable. The Israelis, from what we know so far, are engaged in a preventive war: They are removing the source of a threat by surprise, on their own timetable and on terms they find favorable. They may be justified in doing so, but such actions carry great moral and practical risks. ........... Preemptive attacks, in both international law and the historical traditions of war, are spoiling attacks, meant to thwart an imminent attack. In both tradition and law, this form of self-defense is perfectly defensible, similar to the principle in domestic law that when a person cocks a fist or pulls a gun, the intended victim does not need to stand there and wait to get punched or shot.

Middle East airspace shut after Israel strikes Iran, airlines cancel flights Airlines steered clear of much of the Middle East on Friday after Israeli attacks on Iranian sites forced carriers to cancel or divert thousands of flights in the latest upheaval to travel in the region. ......... Proliferating conflict zones around the world are becoming an increasing burden on airline operations and profitability, and more of a safety concern. Detours add to airlines' fuel costs and lengthen journey times. ........ Israel on Friday said it targeted Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders at the start of what it warned would be a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon. .......... FlightRadar data showed airspace over Iran, Iraq and Jordan was empty, with flights directed towards Saudi Arabia and Egypt instead. ....... With Russian and Ukrainian airspace closed due to war, the Middle East region has become an even more important route for international flights between Europe and Asia.

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The 20% Growth Revolution: Nepal’s Path to Prosperity Through Kalkiism
Rethinking Trade: A Blueprint for a Just and Thriving Global Economy
The $500 Billion Pivot: How the India-US Alliance Can Reshape Global Trade
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Peace For Taiwan Is Possible
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The Last Age of War, The First Age of Peace: Lord Kalki, Prophecies, and the Path to Global Redemption
AOC 2028: : The Future of American Progressivism

Sunday, June 01, 2025

The $50 Trillion Unlock: Why GovTech, Not the BRI, Will Transform the Global South



The $50 Trillion Unlock: Why GovTech, Not the BRI, Will Transform the Global South

In recent years, the world has watched China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) reshape infrastructure development across continents. Roads, railways, ports, and pipelines have sprung up across Asia, Africa, and Latin America—symbols of Beijing’s growing global influence. In response, the US and EU have tried to offer counter-narratives and limited investments. But none of these efforts, impressive as they may seem, have come close to truly meeting the infrastructure needs of the Global South.

That’s because they’re all still playing an old game.

The real revolution won’t be in who builds the most roads or who lends the most money—it will be in who unleashes the latent wealth already buried in the soil of the Global South. The key? GovTech-powered land digitization. The act of precisely mapping, recording, and registering land ownership for every plot of land in every village, town, and city. Not just on paper, but on secure digital platforms tied to national ID systems and satellite imagery.

Why This Changes Everything

The vast majority of land in the developing world today—rural and urban alike—is informally held. Families live on it. Farmers farm it. But they can’t leverage it. Without legal recognition or digitized proof of ownership, land can’t serve as collateral for loans. That locks out hundreds of millions from credit markets and entrepreneurship. It traps the economy in an informal loop of low productivity and high poverty.

Now imagine this:

  • Every parcel of land is satellite-mapped.

  • Ownership is clearly established through digital title deeds.

  • Disputes are resolved via mobile courts or blockchain-backed records.

  • This digitized land becomes bankable collateral.

Suddenly, we’re not talking about aid or debt diplomacy—we’re talking about unlocking $50 trillion in dead capital, as Hernando de Soto famously argued. That’s money that local people could borrow from local banks to build homes, start businesses, or invest in community infrastructure. It’s money that doesn’t need to come from Beijing, Washington, Brussels, or the IMF. It’s already there.

A GovTech Revolution in the Making

This is what GovTech—government technology—makes possible.

GovTech is more than digitizing services or putting tax forms online. It is about re-engineering the very operating system of a country. Think:

  • Satellite-based land mapping.

  • Mobile-first property registries.

  • Blockchain land ledgers.

  • Integration with digital ID systems like India’s Aadhaar.

  • Interoperable databases between banks, courts, and land records.

This isn’t hypothetical. India has begun this journey. Rwanda has made progress. Estonia is already operating like a fully digitized state. But these are early experiments. The massive rollout—across Africa, South Asia, Latin America, and small island nations—is still ahead.

Why the BRI and the West Can’t Compete

The BRI builds things for governments. GovTech builds capabilities within governments. The former creates dependence. The latter builds sovereignty.

Western infrastructure programs, when they do exist, tend to focus on financing mega-projects, which often take years to execute and don’t always address the foundational needs of rural populations.

By contrast, land digitization is scalable, inclusive, and locally empowering. You don’t need to borrow billions from a superpower to do it. You just need satellites, software, and political will. You can map a country in months, not decades.

The Multiplier Effect

Once land is digitized, its value is activated:

  • Credit expansion: Farmers and micro-entrepreneurs gain access to capital.

  • Tax efficiency: Governments can collect more accurate property taxes to fund local projects.

  • Corruption reduction: Transparent ownership records end elite land grabs.

  • Urban development: Slums can be upgraded with real titles and services.

  • Foreign investment: Investors trust a land market that’s digitally verifiable.

This is the most inclusive form of economic stimulus the world has never tried.

The Call to Action

If you want to help the Global South rise, don’t build another port. Build digital infrastructure for governance. Build systems that turn land into leverage. Build GovTech.

With the right vision and partnerships, a coalition of tech firms, philanthropists, and forward-thinking governments could roll out a global LandTech initiative in the next five years. The returns would dwarf the BRI. They would permanently alter the economic trajectory of billions.

Infrastructure starts beneath your feet. It’s time we recognized that the most valuable resource in the Global South isn’t foreign capital. It’s local land, waiting to be unlocked.

Let’s do it—with satellites, software, and sovereignty.



Thursday, June 22, 2023

22: Africa



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Friday, July 24, 2020

Coronavirus News (191)



Curtis Waters, TikTok king: 'There are no gatekeepers to the industry anymore'  TikTok is fast becoming the new grassroots centre of the music industry, the YouTube generation a relic of the past.  

Uganda - where security forces may be more deadly than coronavirus In Uganda, at least 12 people have allegedly been killed by security officers enforcing measures to restrict the spread of coronavirus, while the country has only just confirmed its first death from Covid-19. .............    The 30-year-old headteacher was one of those allegedly killed by security forces enforcing a coronavirus lockdown. ........  Critics say the force puts guns in the hands of young, poorly trained people who are unable to reduce the tension in a confrontation. .......... "We've found that security forces have been using Covid-19 and the measures put in place to prevent its spread as an excuse to violate human rights"   

Joyce Namugalu Mutasiga making pancakes



Coronavirus in South Africa: Inside Port Elizabeth's 'hospitals of horrors'  exhausted doctors and nurses are overwhelmed with Covid-19 patients and a health service near collapse. ..........  With key staff on strike or sick with coronavirus in the Eastern Cape province, nurses are forced to act as cleaners, surgeons are washing their own hospital laundry and there are alarming reports of unborn babies dying in overcrowded and understaffed maternity wards. .............. South Africa - which held the coronavirus back for months with an early, tough, and economically devastating lockdown - now sees infection rates soar nationwide, prompting President Cyril Ramaphosa to warn that "the storm is upon us". ...........  raises fundamental questions about how those extra months were used, or wasted, by officials. .............   Covid has opened up all the chronic cracks in the system. It's creating a lot of conflict ...............  has seen departments turning on each other, and using Covid-19 as an "opportunity to air every grievance that ever happened" ................. "We have seen unions shut down hospital after hospital. Each time one staff member or patient tests positive, all staff down tools. While all these union demands are being met, nothing happens… for up to two weeks," one doctor complained. ................. Health services were circling the drain for 10 years. Now they've collapsed ..............  staff were "anxious, fearful… and overwhelmed." ............ the provincial health department was generally seen as so inept and dysfunctional that private donors, businesses and charitable funds anxious to help in the fight against Covid-19 were refusing to deal directly with it. ...........  One doctor cited a "culture of not wanting to discomfort your superiors which means people don't often tell it like it really is. ........  a desire by government "to be seen to be doing the right thing", rather than making tough decisions, citing the recent decision to resume community testing for Covid-19, despite the fact that it immediately pushed the entire testing system - including, crucially at hospitals - into a week-long backlog that rendered it almost useless. ...............  But the clearest lesson from Port Elizabeth may well prove to be about human nature, and how we respond under extreme pressure. ................  And then there is a third group. "The plain obstructive - a huge element, passive or overtly aggressive," said another source. For them, any sense "of altruism, or duty, has gone. It went a long time ago".

Rats in Livingstone Hospital

Why US-China relations are at their lowest point in decades  The message is that China is responsible for the Covid mess in the country, not him. ............  China has added to the recent run-up in tensions with its harsh national security law in Hong Kong and its repression of Muslim minority Uighurs, which triggered several rounds of US sanctions. ............  a speech about China delivered by Mr Pompeo this week. In rhetoric reminiscent of the Cold War, he accused Chinese leaders of being tyrants on a quest for global domination, and framed America's competition with Beijing as an existential struggle between freedom and oppression. ..............  The Chinese do not appear to be looking for escalation, and analysts agree that President Trump does not want a serious confrontation, certainly not a military one ............... unintended conflict. "The buffer that has historically insulated the US-China relationship, the presumption that the goal is to de-escalate and solve problems… has been stripped away" ..................   William Cohen, a Republican politician who served as defence secretary under the Democratic President Bill Clinton, thinks it's dangerous that China is being seen as an adversary across the political spectrum.

Coronavirus: South Africans divided over second alcohol ban  When it comes to coronavirus, South Africa is the hardest-hit country in Africa with more than 275,000 cases. ........... President Ramaphosa also announced a night-time curfew and said the wearing of masks outdoors was now compulsory

Covid-19 in Africa: Fighting fake news about coronavirus  what the WHO has called an "infodemic" around Covid-19  



Monday, January 13, 2020

Africa's Moment To Shine



A united Africa may give China its moment to shine "The launch of the AfCFTA breaks new grounds for China-Africa cooperation,'' said Geng Shuang, a spokesperson for the Chinese minister of foreign affairs. Beijing, he said, will continue investing in "infrastructure connectivity, trade facilities and industrial promotion" under the country's Belt and Road Initiative. ........ In 2018, US-Africa trade shrank to $61bn, barely 45 percent of its 2008 value. During the same period, the value of trade between China and Africa exceeded $200bn, and projections suggest it is still growing. ........ On July 1, 2020, most AfCFTA-ratifying countries will start removing customs tariffs on 90 percent of imported goods that were made in Africa, with the aim of removing them completely before 2035. ..... Kituyi worries that

a recent move by the administration of US President Donald Trump to restart "bilateral agreements with African countries" works against African's effort to build a common market

. If the US would "change their position and embrace negotiating with the continent as a whole, we'll have grounds to celebrate", the UN official said. ........ Rwanda's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Richard Sezibera, said he would also welcome "negotiated agreements with the US, such as those we're conducting with Europe". ....... ....2016, when Rwandan President Paul Kagame raised taxes on Western-imported second-hand clothes, prompting the US to raise its tariffs on Rwandan imports. .......

Rwanda, Sezibera stressed, "is the second-best place to do business in Africa and the 29th in the world according to the World Bank".

...... But the free trade zone, she said, "motivates us to strengthen the peace process, so that we might regain control over all our territory and trigger our full economic potential, especially in agriculture, which employs 75 percent of our labour force and needs to become more productive".


Tuesday, November 05, 2019

Thoughts On The Middle East

I have had a chance to think a lot about the Middle East in recent weeks.

The first thing I see is, the region has a 10-year window in which to diversify their economies or face decline. The city of Dubai has already done what the region at large needs to do. I believe that realization is there. And countries across the region are scrambling to move. Major moves are being plotted and made.

Two, where does Dubai go from here? Dubai has to move up the economic food chain. And that is mostly to do with technology. If diversification is achieved, money becomes the new oil, the gift that keeps giving.

Three, politics. First of all, I have to admit I don't know much. I have not had the chance to study in-depth. At some point, I'd like to. A few weeks ago I came across this nugget of information, that the United Arab Emirates has a federal parliament that has a roadmap to universal franchise. Not knowing that was not stupid. It was not even ignorant. Hey, you don't know what you don't know. But it sure was uninformed. Second, I have to be open-minded about possibilities. Let's just take that UAE example. Finally, when there is a universal franchise, that still would not make the monarch of the UAE someone like Queen Elizabeth. Let's face it, Queen Elizabeth rubber stamps whatever the British parliament comes up with. And recently it has come up with much nonsense. The monarch of the UAE does not even hold that title. He calls himself president. I see that as an evolving situation. Three, Iran. I think we from afar underestimate how much distrust Iran arouses among the Gulf countries. Whereas Iran thinks of itself as a country on a mission.

I would like to read up and learn and become rehearsed on the nuances of the domestic politics of many of these countries in the Gulf. For one, it is of interest to me.

Four, Africa, South Asia, and the Middle East. I see Africa and South Asia as the next two Chinas. When the politics part is tidied up a little, Africa and South Asia could grow faster than China did. And I see the possibility of Dubai playing the role Hong Kong played in the economic rise of China. China needed FDI. And the world only trusted Hong Kong with it. 

Five, culture and religion. I find the music and the language fascinating. I was looking at some rudimentary videos on YouTube with thoughts of teaching myself some Arabic recently. When I visit Dubai, there is a list of mosques I'd like to visit. I definitely would want to visit that mosque in Abu Dhabi. And I read about a mosque in Dubai where the sermon on Friday is delivered in English. I would like to attend that service. And yes, you can't visit Dubai and not watch a Bollywood movie.