A Concrete Five-Year Plan for Bihar

Prashant Kishor Must Be Jan Suraaj’s CM Candidate
Prashant Kishor: Bihar 2025

 

A Concrete Five-Year Plan for Bihar: Transforming the State into a Global Economic Hub by 2030

Prashant Kishor, with his proven track record as a political strategist, has launched Jan Suraaj to contest the 2025 Bihar Assembly elections, aiming to disrupt the state’s caste-driven political landscape. To sweep the elections and deliver transformative change, Kishor must present a detailed, realistic five-year plan that addresses Bihar’s dire economic conditions, leverages global best practices, and aligns with his past statements on development. This plan must prioritize infrastructure, education, health, irrigation, agriculture, and job creation, while embracing high-tech solutions and global market integration. It should also tackle corruption, ensure transparency, strengthen law and order, and foster a business-friendly environment to attract private sector investment and foreign direct investment (FDI). With a focus on double-digit growth, aiming for 15% by 2030, this plan draws on Kishor’s vision, Bihar’s state budget constraints, and successful models from India and abroad, while comparing Bihar’s economic conditions to sub-Saharan Africa for context.

Bihar’s Economic Context and Comparison to Sub-Saharan Africa

Bihar, with a population of over 130 million, is India’s poorest state, with a per capita income of approximately ₹57,000 (2023–24), or $700 USD, compared to India’s national average of $2,400. Its economy heavily relies on agriculture (22% of GSDP), with 80% of the population engaged in farming, yet it suffers from low productivity, poor infrastructure, and high migration rates. Unemployment is around 7%, and literacy is just 61.8% (2011 Census), with only 3% of Scheduled Caste (SC) students completing Class 12. Bihar’s Human Development Index (HDI) of 0.596 (2021) is comparable to sub-Saharan African countries like Kenya (0.575) or Uganda (0.525), where similar challenges—low income, weak education systems, and inadequate infrastructure—persist. However, Bihar benefits from India’s broader economic framework, including access to national markets and central government schemes, unlike many sub-Saharan nations reliant on foreign aid. While sub-Saharan Africa faces issues like political instability and resource curses, Bihar’s challenges stem from governance failures and caste politics, which Kishor aims to address by prioritizing development over identity politics.

Prashant Kishor’s Vision and Past Statements

Kishor’s Jan Suraaj campaign, launched after a 3,000-km padyatra starting October 2022, emphasizes governance, education, employment, and ending caste-based politics. His key promises include:

• Education Reform: Kishor has criticized Bihar’s “complete collapse” of the education system, noting schools without teachers and poor rural infrastructure. He proposes using ₹20,000 crore from ending the liquor ban to fund education.
• Employment: He advocates training village youth for digital self-employment, targeting ₹5,000–10,000 monthly earnings to reduce migration.
• Land Reforms: Kishor has promised land reforms to boost agricultural productivity, suggesting MGNREGS workers be engaged in farming.
• Anti-Corruption: His fast-unto-death protest in January 2025 against BPSC exam irregularities highlights his focus on curbing corruption.
• Development Focus: Kishor aims to shift Bihar from caste-based voting to class-based, development-oriented politics, criticizing the stagnation under Nitish Kumar and Lalu Prasad Yadav.

His past work, such as the 2015 Bihar campaign for Nitish Kumar, involved data-driven strategies like village surveys to address local issues (e.g., drainage). In other states, like West Bengal (2021), he used platforms like Didi ke Bolo for grievance redressal, a model for transparent governance. His national campaigns, like Modi’s 2014 Lok Sabha victory, leveraged technology (e.g., Chai Pe Charcha, 3D rallies) to connect with voters, suggesting a high-tech approach for Bihar.

Global and Indian Best Practices

To craft a transformative plan, Bihar can draw on successful models:

• India:
  • Gujarat’s Infrastructure Model: Gujarat’s focus on roads, ports, and industrial corridors attracted FDI, achieving 10–12% growth rates (2005–15). Bihar can replicate its ease of doing business reforms.
  • Kerala’s Education and Health: Kerala’s 94% literacy and robust public health system stem from sustained investment (15% of state budget for education). Bihar can adopt decentralized education and community health models.
  • Telangana’s IT Push: Hyderabad’s IT hubs, driven by T-Hub and tax incentives, made it a global tech destination. Bihar can develop smaller IT clusters.
• Global:
  • Rwanda’s Governance and Tech: Rwanda’s post-1994 focus on transparency, digital governance (e.g., Irembo platform), and FDI-friendly policies lifted its HDI from 0.250 to 0.534 (1990–2020). Bihar can emulate its anti-corruption and digital initiatives.
  • Vietnam’s Agro-Exports: Vietnam’s fruit and vegetable exports to Asia grew through cooperatives and cold-chain logistics, achieving 7% GDP growth. Bihar can target Gulf and East Asian markets.
  • Singapore’s Ease of Doing Business: Singapore’s top ranking in the World Bank’s Doing Business index comes from streamlined regulations and tax breaks. Bihar can simplify licensing and land acquisition.

Bihar’s State Budget Constraints

Bihar’s 2024–25 state budget is ₹2.79 lakh crore, with revenue expenditure at ₹2.44 lakh crore and capital expenditure at ₹35,000 crore. Key allocations include ₹48,000 crore for education, ₹15,000 crore for health, and ₹20,000 crore for agriculture and irrigation. The state’s fiscal deficit is 5.5% of GSDP, limiting borrowing. Central government transfers (40% of revenue) and schemes like PM-KISAN provide additional support. Kishor’s plan must optimize these resources, leverage private investment, and tap central funds to achieve 15% growth by 2030 (from 10.6% in 2023–24).

The Five-Year Plan (2026–2030)

1. Infrastructure: Building a Connected Bihar

• Objective: Develop world-class roads, digital infrastructure, and logistics to support economic growth.
• Actions:
  • Roads and Bridges: Invest ₹50,000 crore (₹10,000 crore annually) to construct 10,000 km of rural roads and 50 major bridges, connecting 8,500 panchayats. Model: Gujarat’s rural road network.
  • 5G as Infrastructure: Deploy 5G across 80% of Bihar by 2028, partnering with private telecoms (e.g., Reliance Jio). Treat 5G as critical as roads, enabling digital jobs and education. Cost: ₹5,000 crore via public-private partnerships (PPPs).
  • Refrigerated Rail Logistics: Build two refrigerated rail corridors (Patna–Kolkata, Muzaffarpur–Kolkata) to export vegetables to Gulf countries (UAE, Saudi Arabia) and East Asia (Singapore, Japan). Cost: ₹2,000 crore, with 50% FDI. Model: Vietnam’s cold-chain exports.
  • Ease of Doing Business: Streamline land acquisition and licensing via a single-window portal, aiming for a top-5 rank in India’s EoDB index by 2028. Model: Singapore.
• Funding: ₹30,000 crore from state budget, ₹20,000 crore from central schemes (PMGSY), ₹7,000 crore via PPPs/FDI.
• Impact: Reduce migration by 20%, boost agro-exports by 30%, and create 2 lakh construction jobs.

2. Education: Empowering a Knowledge Economy

• Objective: Achieve 80% literacy and train 10 lakh youth for global knowledge industries.
• Actions:
  • School Upgrades: Renovate 10,000 schools with digital classrooms and hire 50,000 teachers by 2028. Cost: ₹15,000 crore from liquor ban savings.
  • Global Tutoring Hub: Train 50,000 teachers to offer online tutoring in math, science, and English to students in the US, UK, and Gulf via platforms like Zoom. Pilot in Patna and Gaya, targeting ₹1,000 crore in exports by 2030. Model: Philippines’ BPO industry.
  • Vocational Training: Establish 100 skill centers to train 5 lakh youth in digital skills (coding, AI, data analysis) for global remote work. Partner with tech firms like Infosys. Cost: ₹2,000 crore (PPPs).
  • Higher Education: Set up two state universities with international tie-ups (e.g., Singapore’s NUS) for STEM and management. Cost: ₹3,000 crore.
• Funding: ₹20,000 crore from state budget, ₹5,000 crore from private sector/NGOs.
• Impact: Increase Class 12 completion among SCs to 10%, create 1 lakh digital jobs, and export $500 million in knowledge services.

3. Health: Universal Access and Preventive Care

• Objective: Reduce infant mortality to 20 per 1,000 and improve healthcare access.
• Actions:
  • Primary Health Centers (PHCs): Upgrade 2,000 PHCs with telemedicine and diagnostics, staffed by 10,000 doctors/nurses. Cost: ₹10,000 crore. Model: Kerala’s PHC network.
  • Mobile Health Units: Deploy 500 mobile clinics for rural areas, focusing on maternal and child health. Cost: ₹500 crore.
  • Yoga Teachers for Global Markets: Train 10,000 yoga instructors for online classes targeting the US, Europe, and Gulf, generating ₹500 crore in exports by 2030. Model: India’s Yogasana Bharat.
• Funding: ₹10,000 crore from state budget, ₹1,000 crore from central schemes (Ayushman Bharat).
• Impact: Reduce out-of-pocket health expenses by 30%, create 20,000 health-related jobs.

4. Irrigation and Agriculture: Powering a Green Revolution

• Objective: Double agricultural productivity and make Bihar a vegetable export hub.
• Actions:
  • Irrigation Expansion: Extend canal irrigation to 50% of farmland (from 30%) via 100 small-scale projects. Cost: ₹15,000 crore. Model: Israel’s drip irrigation.
  • Vegetable Farming: Promote high-yield crops (tomatoes, onions, potatoes) for export to Gulf countries and East Asia. Establish 50 farmer-producer organizations (FPOs) with cold storage. Cost: ₹2,000 crore (subsidies/PPPs). Model: Vietnam’s agro-exports.
  • Land Reforms: Digitize land records and redistribute surplus land to small farmers, increasing productivity by 20%. Cost: ₹1,000 crore.
  • Agro-Based Industries: Set up 10 food processing units (e.g., for litchi, makhana) to create 50,000 jobs. Cost: ₹3,000 crore (FDI/PPPs).
• Funding: ₹15,000 crore from state budget, ₹5,000 crore from central schemes (PM-KISAN), ₹3,000 crore FDI.
• Impact: Increase agricultural GSDP contribution to 30%, export $1 billion in vegetables, reduce migration by 15%.

5. Job Creation: A High-Tech, Global Workforce

• Objective: Create 20 lakh jobs, with 5 lakh in high-tech and knowledge industries.
• Actions:
  • IT and Knowledge Hubs: Develop two IT parks in Patna and Bhagalpur, targeting 1 lakh jobs in software, AI, and BPO. Cost: ₹5,000 crore (PPPs). Model: Telangana’s T-Hub.
  • Global Knowledge Workers: Train 2 lakh youth for remote work in data analytics, customer support, and content creation for global markets. Cost: ₹1,000 crore.
  • MSME Support: Provide ₹5,000 crore in low-interest loans to 50,000 MSMEs in agro-processing and textiles, creating 5 lakh jobs. Model: Karnataka’s MSME schemes.
• Funding: ₹7,000 crore from state budget, ₹4,000 crore from private sector/FDI.
• Impact: Reduce unemployment to 4%, generate $2 billion in knowledge exports.

6. Anti-Corruption and Transparency

• Objective: Eliminate corruption in public services and ensure 100% transparency in expenditures.
• Actions:
  • Digital Procurement Platform: Implement a GeM-like portal for all state contracts, with real-time expenditure tracking. Cost: ₹500 crore. Model: India’s GeM platform.
  • BPSC Reforms: Introduce AI-based exam systems to prevent leaks, with public audits of recruitment. Cost: ₹100 crore.
  • Citizen Grievance Portal: Launch a Bihar ke Bolo platform for real-time complaint resolution, modeled on West Bengal’s Didi ke Bolo.
• Funding: ₹600 crore from state budget.
• Impact: Improve Bihar’s Corruption Perception Index ranking by 50%, increase public trust.

7. Law and Order: Ensuring Safety and Stability

• Objective: Reduce crime rates by 30% and ensure a secure business environment.
• Actions:
  • Police Modernization: Equip 500 police stations with CCTV, drones, and cybercrime units. Cost: ₹2,000 crore.
  • Fast-Track Courts: Establish 50 courts for economic crimes, ensuring convictions within six months. Cost: ₹500 crore. Model: Rwanda’s judicial reforms.
  • Community Policing: Train 10,000 youth as community officers to bridge police-public gaps. Cost: ₹200 crore.
• Funding: ₹2,700 crore from state budget.
• Impact: Attract 20% more FDI by ensuring investor safety.

8. Business-Friendly Environment and FDI

• Objective: Attract ₹1 lakh crore in FDI and private investment by 2030.
• Actions:
  • Single-Window Clearance: Implement a digital platform for business approvals within 15 days. Cost: ₹200 crore. Model: Singapore’s EoDB framework.
  • Tax Incentives: Offer 5-year tax holidays for agro-based and IT industries. Cost: ₹5,000 crore in foregone revenue.
  • Industrial Parks: Develop five parks for food processing and textiles, with 100% power and water supply. Cost: ₹10,000 crore (PPPs/FDI).
• Funding: ₹5,000 crore from state budget, ₹10,000 crore from private sector/FDI.
• Impact: Create 5 lakh jobs, boost GSDP by 20%.

Economic Projections

• Current GSDP: ₹8.6 lakh crore (2023–24), growing at 10.6%.
• Target: 15% growth by 2030, reaching ₹17 lakh crore.
• Breakdown:
  • 2026–27: 11% growth (₹9.5 lakh crore) via infrastructure and agriculture.
  • 2027–28: 12% growth (₹10.6 lakh crore) with education and IT gains.
  • 2028–29: 13% growth (₹12 lakh crore) as exports rise.
  • 2029–30: 15% growth (₹17 lakh crore) with FDI and knowledge industries.
• Drivers: Agriculture (30% of GSDP), services (40%), and industry (20%). Exports ($3.5 billion) and FDI (₹1 lakh crore) will fuel growth.

Feasibility and Realism

The plan aligns with Bihar’s ₹2.79 lakh crore budget, leveraging ₹1.5 lakh crore in state funds, ₹50,000 crore from central schemes, and ₹50,000 crore from PPPs/FDI over five years. It prioritizes high-impact sectors (agriculture, IT, education) while addressing Bihar’s low fiscal capacity through private investment. Kishor’s anti-corruption focus and past data-driven strategies ensure efficient implementation. Global models like Vietnam and Rwanda show that poor regions can achieve rapid growth with governance reforms and market integration.

Conclusion

Prashant Kishor’s five-year plan for Bihar must transform the state from India’s poorest to a global hub for vegetables, knowledge work, and yoga instruction. By investing in infrastructure (including 5G), education, health, irrigation, and agro-industries, while ensuring transparency and law and order, Bihar can achieve 15% growth by 2030. Drawing on Kishor’s vision, India’s successes (Gujarat, Telangana), and global best practices (Rwanda, Vietnam), this plan is both ambitious and realistic, leveraging Bihar’s human capital and strategic location to feed Gulf and East Asian markets while building a high-tech economy. By leading with this plan, Kishor can position Jan Suraaj to sweep the 2025 elections, delivering a Bihar that rivals emerging economies worldwide.

Prashant Kishor: Bihar 2025 🧵👇

— Paramendra Kumar Bhagat (@paramendra) June 4, 2025