Hillary's New Hampshire Firewall: She Plans On Losing Iowa
Helicopter + Walmart + Iowa
Who does the thinking in the Clinton marriage? That is not of concern to me. But who does the thinking in the Clinton campaign is of public concern. Bill Clinton is now mad at the media and up on all four cylinders like he were running for a third term. Do I begrudge him for that? No. He is entitled to love his wife. But this has started to color things up in a way that makes it less possible for voters to keep looking at Hillary Clinton instead of getting bombarded with Bill Clinton images.
First, I think it is a bad strategy. His lack of discipline shows. He hogs the spotlight. He almost always slips into thinking he is the candidate, and not his wife.
Second, he is the one who has started making the shots. All year Hillary let the Clinton '92 boy Mark Penn talk her into running on an aura of "inevitability," something very unsound as I said months and months back. Now she is letting Bill Clinton torpedo that into trying to now make Hillary act like she is the underdog. She probably is the underdog. Her leads are gone. The aura is burst, kind of like the dot com bubble.
But the Clintons don't get to spin their way out of it. There is general consensus now in the national and the global media that if Hillary loses both Iowa and New Hampshire, Hillary 2008 is effectively over. I disagree. I think if she so much as loses Iowa, it is over for her. A New Hampshire victory for Obama which now seems totally likely will be the icing on the cake for Obama 2008.
Why? It is because, how can you have been the top political brand name in the Democratic circles, a member of the most famous family on the planet, have raised so much money, had a brilliant strategist like Bill Clinton all along, your brains, and all that all year long, in every state for most of the year, and still fall so short?
A loss in Iowa, and what has happened to her leads in Iowa, then New Hampshire, then South Carolina, will happen to her already shrinking national lead. Mark my word. January 4 and Barack will be leading in the national polls. And Bill Clinton's spin efforts can not change that. The loss will be too fundamental, it will be immune to spin.
It is not Hillary's plan to spin her loss in Iowa. It is Bill Clinton's plan. But ask Mark Penn. He has thrown his hands in the air. Bill Clinton is fully in charge now. Someone should have made it possible for Bill Clinton to run in the primary himself.
I seriously think the beginning of the end for Hillary 2008 was when he went to Iowa and said he had been against the Iraq war from the very beginning. He talked like he was the candidate. Voters did not like that. It was too patronizing. Iowans are sensitive like that. That was kind of like this Dean moment in 2004 when he asked one person in the audience to "shut up and sit down. You had your say, and now I will have my say." That turned people off. Stories like that spread fast in Iowa, especially during a caucus winter and saturation news on everything else about the candidates.
I like Bill Clinton. Heck, I am practically a fan. He is very skillful. He was a good president. But he might be hurting his wife more than helping her. I guess there are several ways of dealing with an electoral defeat. Bill Clinton is dealing with it his own way.
One thing is for sure. Hillary 2008 will not get to spin its Iowa loss away. That is the end of the road right there you are staring at.
And Hillary is not that innocent about all the negative that has come out of Hillary 2008 these past few weeks. She can be said to have started it all by declaring "and now the fun part begins." I am not suggesting she gave direct orders for all the big blunders for which for example her top guy in New Hampshire was asked to leave, but she sure set the tone with remark on "the fun part."
I understand the desperation, but I disapprove of it. That's all.
For example, Bill Clinton called Charlie Rose a "TV commentator" on his show. He meant that as an insult.
From running as practically the incumbent to suddenly wanting to run as the change agent is too transparently, swiftly unreal. People can see through it. This is too late to repackage and market.
I think the fundamental thing is the Clintons just don't get "the new kind of politics, the politics of hope" as evidenced in Hillary's derisive comment about "hoping for change." I don't get all of it myself, I am a student of it. So I have some empathy for the Clintons.
Bill Clinton was for the inevitable incumbent strategy before he was against it.
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For the Obama campaign, the closer is in the family Chicago Tribune the fickle world of Iowa presidential politics, where many party activists prefer to remain neutral so they can continue to be courted ......... Michelle Obama is painstakingly campaigning at a much more retail level. ....... Of those who attend her events, aides say, routinely a third or more sign cards pledging to support her husband. ........ "I do best when I'm the most me that I can be" ....... so many voters tell her she should be the one running for office. ..... Her arguments are sharper—and shorter ....... When she talks about how fortunate she is to have her mother in Chicago to help with her children, the grandmothers in the audience, a group also highly likely to vote, often nod or smile. She mixes talks about the stresses of fixing a Thanksgiving dinner for 60, or the trials of Christmas shopping, with empathy for the challenges of average Americans. ......... Michelle Obama says that if she can shake enough hands—and give enough hugs—her husband will win the nomination. ....... "If I could talk to everyone in Iowa and this country, there'd be no competition" ......... "I'm still going to Target and filling up the gas tank," she said. ...... like calling her husband's best-selling autobiography and policy book "novels" .... four or five towns in a day, after rising as early as 4 a.m. to catch a chartered flight from Chicago. ....... "We need you praying for us, and calling and nagging," she said. "You've got to shake them up. We need you to be there." ........ There is bluntness. ..... "Stop deciding already." ....... "She's talking about the stuff I complain about all the time," Beisch said. "It made a big impact on me."
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Google Gets Ready to Rumble With Microsoft Sun Microsystems, where he was chief technology officer ....... “Ballmer and Butthead.” ..... During a four-year stint as chief executive of Novell, Mr. Schmidt routinely opined that it was folly for any Microsoft rival to “moon the giant,” as he put it; all that would do, he argued, was incite Microsoft’s wrath. ....... at the helm of one of computing’s most inventive and formidable players, the runaway leader in Internet search and online advertising ....... The growing confrontation between Google and Microsoft promises to be an epic business battle. ...... Google sees all of this happening on remote servers in faraway data centers, accessible over the Web by an array of wired and wireless devices — a setup known as cloud computing. Microsoft sees a Web future as well, but one whose center of gravity remains firmly tethered to its desktop PC software. Therein lies the conflict. ......... Google Apps aren’t anything other than a natural step in Google’s march to deliver more computing capability to users over the Internet, Mr. Schmidt says. ......... as Internet connection speeds become faster and Internet software improves ........ what can’t be done in the cloud, like high-end graphics processing. So, in Google’s thinking, will 90 percent of computing eventually reside in the cloud? ...... “It’s a 90-10 thing.” Inside the cloud resides “almost everything you do in a company, almost everything a knowledge worker does.” ....... the arcs of technology and history are in Google’s corner ...... the companies are also fighting it out in promising new fields as varied as Web maps, online video and cellphone software. ........ If Google succeeds, Mr. Yoffie says, “a lot of the value that Microsoft provides today is potentially obsolete.” .......... a long-term shift toward Web software, which operates with different principles and economics. ...... Google is a different competitor from others Microsoft has dispatched in recent years: it is bigger, faster-growing, loaded with cash and a magnet for talent. And the technology of the Google cloud opens doors. Its vast data centers are designed by Google engineers for efficiency, speed and low cost, giving the company an edge in computing firepower and allowing it to add offerings inexpensively. ........ They can be offered free or at minimal cost to users, he says, because they bring more traffic to Google, generating more search and ad revenue. ......... Will two of its formulas — its distinctive, hurry-up model of building products and services, and its rapid-fire approach to recruiting and innovation — succeed in new arenas? ............ 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