Bihar: The NDA's Turn To Crack?

मोदी और नीतिश को एक दुसरे की जरुरत है
Bihar@2025 = $240 Billion
Nitish + Laloo In Bihar
India, Nowhere Close To An "Emergency"
लव वापसी, घर जिहाद और पहले आप पहले आप
गोरों का कॉपी ना करना क्यों कि दुर भविष्य दिखता नहीं
नरेन्द्र मोदी, बिहार और नीतिश कुमार
"They Don't Do Random"
अगर बिहार में बीजेपी हार जाती है
१५% और १०% में फर्क
नीतिश कुमार और नरेंद्र मोदी: दोनों के दोनों
आल इंडिया मजलिस मुसलमान
एकीकृत जनता पार्टी का नेत्तृत्व नीतिश को ही करना चाहिए
नरेंद्र मोदी, नीतिश कुमार, सुशील मोदी, अमिताभ बच्चन
Rohingya: India's Responsibility
All Of Bihar Is One Big City
Bihar@2025
India: A 15% Growth Rate Is Possible
The Tamils Of Sri Lanka And Me
Bihar Is Now 55-45
बिहार के उभरते चेहरे
Bihar: My Projections
बिहार में आम की राजनीति
सुशील मोदी क्या कह रहे हैं?
Advantage Sushil Modi
Sushil Modi In Janakpurdham
Hello
Janakpur Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor
Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor (PKIC)
Mamata's Impressive Move
पहली बार अखिलेश ने मेरे को Impress किया
The International Importance Of Owaisi
Owaisi, Like Atal, Is A Great Parliamentarian
मोदी के चाय दोकान पे चर्चा
ये राजा सिंह कौन?
बिहार के लिए फोर्मुला
World, India, Bihar
दलितों के पास दो रास्ता
The Next Chief Minister Of Bihar?
Nitish In Election Mode

From the Laloo-Nitish in-fighting showing signs of a 2/3rd sweep by the NDA, to a Laloo-Nitish patch-up but the NDA still holding a 55-45 edge, to a 55-45 edge for Nitish after the Bihar@2025 clarity, now looks like it is the NDA's turn to split and possibly make way for a 2/3rd sweep across the state by Nitish. This has been quite a turnaround. But this is Bihar, give it more time. The ground situation will stay colorful. Right now, as things stand, I think it is 65-35 in favor of Nitish.

Looks like Pappu has become persona non grata, with both camps thinking it best to keep away from him in fear he might spoil their good law and order image. And if Paswan and Jitan are going to clash like this, whatever little advantage Jitan brings along with him for the BJP will evaporate.

BJP's ally declares its chief Upendra Kushwaha as CM candidate in Bihar

In the caste-ridden politics of the state, there are over half a dozen BJP leaders from the upper castes and the backward castes who have staked their claim for being nominated as the chief ministerial candidate.

LJP to oppose 5 HAM candidates in Bihar Assembly polls

In a fissure within the NDA camp, the LJP on Sunday vowed to oppose five present and former MLAs associated with former Bihar CM Jitan Ram Manjhi's Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) in Assembly polls notwithstanding its decision to welcome Manjhi's outfit in the BJP-led coalition. ...... "We will put up our candidates against these five present and former MLAs as some of them had deserted the LJP in the past, while in case of others (rest) our candidates had lost by a narrow margin in the 2010 Assembly polls"

Bihar Polls: Cracks appear in NDA

Paras said that he had already apprised senior BJP leader Sushil Kumar Modi of its decision to oppose the five HAM (Secular) leaders in the coming election for backstabbing and deserting the LJP after February 2005, Assembly poll in Bihar.

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नीतिश कुमार और नरेंद्र मोदी: दोनों के दोनों

The Bihari voters are smart. They can opt to get Nitish at the state level, and keep Modi at the center again in 2019. The Bihari voters know the difference between a central government and a state government. नीतिश कुमार और नरेंद्र मोदी: दोनों के दोनों। एक साथ।

Nitish could be brilliant in power in Patna, and brilliant in opposition at the national level, and Sushil Modi could be brilliant in opposition in Patna. लोकतंत्र में Opposition का भी बहुत बड़ा महत्त्व होता है। ये भारत है, चीन तो नहीं।

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Janakpur Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor

काठमाण्डु पर मधेसीयों का शासन स्थापित करो।

• नेपालका जल विद्युत (40,000 MW)
• झारखण्ड का Mineral Resources 
• गंगा का Waterway 
• कोलकता का विश्व बंदरगाह 

तब तो पुर्वी भारत भी पश्चिम भारत के मुकाबले आ गयी। 

Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor (PKIC)

Proposed.

Unlike the Delhi Mumbai Industrial Corridor (which is also a good idea), the Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor would have the huge advantages of (1) the waterway of the Ganga, (2) the rich mineral resources of Jharkhand, and (3) the cheap labor of Bihar/West Bengal/Nepal. 

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बिहार के लिए फोर्मुला

1. प्रत्येक खेत तक सिंचाई। 
2. प्रत्येक गाओं/बस्ती तक पक्की सड़क 
3. प्रत्येक शहर तक रेल 
4. प्रत्येक गाओं/बस्ती में ब्रॉडबैंड 
5. हवा में FM हाई स्कुल --- illiterate adults के लिए -- मैथिलि में -- 24/7
6. प्रत्येक स्कुल में लंच ---- fully balanced diet. 
7. गरीबी रेखा के नीचे प्रत्येक व्यक्ति को micro loan 
8. प्रत्येक गाओं/बस्ती में health clinic 
9. Patna में citywide WiFi. 
10. एक 911 जैसा कोइ नंबर ----- फ़ोन करने के ५ मिनट के भितर मोटरसाइकिल पर सवार पुलिस का आदमी सामने हाजिर --- दिन रात पुलिस वाले सब जगह घुम रहे हैं 
11. Simplified Land Acquisition. 
12. नालंदा को फिर से वर्ल्ड क्लास यूनिवर्सिटी बनाओ। Education goals for the state: 100% high school educated, 50% college educated. वहां पहुँच गए तो First World बन गए। 
13. Patna to Delhi, Patna to Mumbai, Patna to Calcutta, Patna to Chennai, Patna to Janakpur बुलेट ट्रेन। बिहार का दुसरा नाम मिथिला है और मिथिला का राजधानी तो जनकपुर में है। मत भुलो। नेपाल के मधेसी को जब तक अपना अधिकार नहीं मिलता, भारत विश्व शक्ति नहीं बन सकता। काठमाण्डु में मधेसीयों का राज स्थापित करने की ठान लो। …नेपाल भारत बोर्डर पर फोर लेन पक्की सड़क। 
14. College लेवल पर महिलाओं के लिए फुल स्कालरशिप। 
15. Set up a whole bunch of engineering and medical colleges across the state. Also other vocational  schools, teacher training centers. Bihari teachers should go teach all over the world. Education should become an export item for Bihar. Just focus on the 12 years of high school. Master that part and you are relevant in every corner of the world. दुनिया भर के लोगों को online tutoring करो। घर बैठे बैठे डॉलर की खेती करो। 
16. दो चार मुंबई पहुँचो --- हीरो हीरोइन बनो। राज ठाकरे की ऐसी की तैसी। 

Nitish Should Give 10 More Years To Bihar

English: Flag of Janata Dal (United) of India (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I think of Nitish Kumar as a Prime Minister in waiting, because he has been the top performing Chief Minister in India. I talked yesterday in terms of a JD(U), RJD, Congress alliance. But even that might not be necessary. Nitish could go solo and do well. He could earn a 60+% majority in the Bihar assembly next year.

The PM chair might have been taken by Modi. But the country does not have a clear Opposition Leader. There is only one person who can fill that void. And that person is Nitish. I am aware he is not a MP. He does not need to be. He can be Chief Minister and the top Opposition Leader at the same time.

The people of Bihar love him so much they snuffed out all possibilities of him moving from Patna to Delhi. That is why they gave him only two seats. They don't want to lose him. The people of Bihar have given him a clear mandate to continue in Patna, and he should respect that mandate, the janadesh.

He has a comfortable majority in the Bihar assembly right now. His party will get a 60+% majority on its own next year. In 2018 his party will get 20+ MPs. In 2019 his strength in the Bihar assembly will only get better. Then in 2022 the people of Bihar will give him 40 MPs so he can lay a claim to the throne in Delhi.

Until then he gets to act the Opposition Leader to Modi in Delhi. Modi has been good for business, and that is also important, but the same Modi has been rather weak on the human development index, and there Nitish is strong.

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Modi’s Victory

Modi has emerged the clear winner at the end of the most interesting Indian election of my lifetime. I did not follow his leadership of Gujrat as it happened although I have read a ton about it, and have watched many relevant videos on YouTube, many at his official channel itself, but I did follow his election campaign, and I must say I was captivated. He ran an excellent campaign. If he is going to be as efficient and effective as Prime Minister as he has been as campaigner, he will give India double digit growth rates, and give himself 10 years as Prime Minister. He will turn the BJP into the new Congress. He might even get the BJP past the majority mark all on its own the next time around.

2014 is that watershed year when India embarks on its journey to catch up with China and possibly even surpass it. The surpassing might not happen on Modi’s watch, but he is in a good position to prepare grounds for it, just like Deng Xiaoping put China on a certain path of economic growth.

Modi’s humble origins both in terms of class and caste are no small detail. That someone of his background can get the top job makes India look good.

What was amazing to me while I watched the election campaign was that no one else was even running for the top job, not Rahul, not Nitish. It is as if Modi had the entire runway all on his own. He had a free hand. One lesson of this election season is, you can not win if you are not even running.

To me Nitish is as big a story as Modi himself. Modi won, Nitish lost, but remember that Nitish started opposing Laloo when Laloo was at his peak, and Nitish eventually snatched the top job in Bihar from Laloo and performed way better than the Yadav. I still see Nitish as a future Prime Minister. But that involves Nitish hanging on to his chair now, and performing well in the Bihar state elections slated for next year. He should be able to get something like a 60% majority next year. He gets a third term and keeps being the top performing Chief Minister, and his time will come. Maybe it will be Nitish who will succeed Modi, if not in five, then perhaps in 10 years.

With a weakened Congress, the country stands a strong chance of going bipolar in that the Congress will have no choice but to become a junior member of a Nitish led front down the line. The Congress might become weaker still.

The people of Bihar did not want to lose Nitish. They routinely told pollsters they will vote for Nitish next year.

I see a scenario where Modi is the Prime Minister, and Nitish is the Opposition Leader, even though he is in Patna and not in Delhi. The Opposition Leader eventually grabs the top job. The dog finally catches up with the car.

Nitish could do two more terms and a Bihar model could be one where once agriculture and infrastructure are in good shape, the total focus is on the knowledge and service economies. After taking care of roads and bridges and electricity, Nitish next focuses on broadband and takes it to all cities, towns, and villages. And there is a major focus on knowledge entrepreneurs who are based in Bihar but who serve the global economy.

What you have to know about Gujrat is that it is already better than most economies in Europe in every way. Gujrat competes with the likes of Britain, France and Germany. Gujrat is India’s California.

There is no personal animosity between Modi and Nitish, never has been. There is political competition. And that competition is good for Indian politics, and the Indian economy. Those who wish Modi and Nitish were on the same side don’t realize that the competition is a good thing. Nitish did not make the mistake of parting ways with Modi. Parting ways was the only way he could some day become Prime Minister.

India is already the number three economy in the world. China is about to become number one. America is going to be sandwiched between China and India. At some point India is going to take over America, and then eventually it is going to take over China. Modi is going to put India on that journey. That is why the country is so excited about him.

Modi is seen by many as right of center along the lines of Reagan and Thatcher. I am not sure that is a good comparison. I think the better comparison is with Deng Xiaoping. Deng was pragmatic to a fault. It does not matter if the cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice, Deng liked to say. (written on 5/14)

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