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Showing posts with label Texas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Texas. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Trump vs. Newsom: The 2028 Showdown Begins in the Shadows



Trump vs. Newsom: The 2028 Showdown Begins in the Shadows

The 2028 presidential race may still be years away, but in American politics, the future has a habit of arriving early—and loud. As of mid-2025, the stage is already being set for a showdown that is equal parts symbolic and seismic: Trump vs. Newsom. Only, in a twist worthy of modern political theater, Donald Trump may not even be eligible to run.

And yet, his shadow looms large. So large, in fact, that it seems to have summoned his opposite number into the ring before any formal declarations have been made. Gavin Newsom, the high-profile, camera-comfortable governor of California, appears poised to inherit a strange role: the protagonist in a race that Trump himself may legally be excluded from—but still dominates in spirit.

A Vacuum of Opposition

What’s striking is not just the early start to the political maneuvering but the strange nature of it. Trump has always thrived on opposition—he is at his strongest when fighting someone, or something. But in a Democratic Party that’s still recalibrating itself post-Biden, there hasn’t been a clear foil. That vacuum may have tempted Trump to all but conjure his next opponent into being.

By stepping into policy battles—on immigration, on crime, on state rights—Newsom hasn’t just defended California’s values; he’s stepped into a national spotlight where contrast is the currency. With sharp words, televised debates, and state-level policies that defy Trumpian logic, Newsom has become the natural, if unofficial, rival. If this were a comic book, the villain has chosen his hero.

10th Amendment Politics: The States Strike Back

What’s unfolding isn’t just a clash of personalities. It’s a structural tension baked into the very DNA of American governance. The 10th Amendment—the one that reserves powers not delegated to the federal government for the states—has become the quiet battlefield for this emerging contest.

Law and order? That’s a state and local matter. But Trump and his ideological allies have increasingly leaned into federal overreach to impose their vision. Just like his past forays into trade policy and tariffs—also outside clear-cut federal authority—Trump's allies now find themselves in court, defending actions that blur constitutional lines. The irony is thick: a movement that claims to revere the Constitution seems endlessly eager to test its limits.

And it’s happening again. Legal scholars, state attorneys general, and constitutional watchdogs are preparing for a storm of litigation. These cases aren’t about policy in the abstract—they’re about who gets to wield power and how. The very mechanics of the union are on the table.

A Legal Grey Zone with Political Red Lines

What’s most telling is that the legal grey zone Trump often inhabits is now becoming a litmus test for political legitimacy. An administration or faction that frames itself as “law and order” may increasingly find that it is the law—and the courts—that check its ambitions.

These are not isolated skirmishes. They are the prelude to a broader ideological war: authoritarian impulse versus decentralized democracy. In that narrative, Newsom becomes more than a governor. He becomes a stand-in for a vision of America where local governance, civil liberties, and constitutional balance still matter.

The Real Contest Has Begun

So, is this the beginning of Trump vs. Newsom? In a sense, yes. Even if Trump’s name never appears on a ballot again, his ideas, followers, and legal entanglements will define the political arena. And in stepping into this storm, Newsom is doing more than positioning himself for a presidential run—he’s answering a summons from history.

Call it pre-election jockeying. Call it constitutional chess. But don’t mistake the quiet months of 2025 for peace. The next great battle for the American soul is already underway—and the protagonists are beginning to take the stage.

Whether it's fought in courtrooms, campaign stops, or state capitols, one thing is clear: Trump vs. Newsom is less about two men and more about two futures. And the first shots have already been fired.




Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Beto, Your Courage Is In Running



Beto O'Rourke presidential campaign staff, 2020
Beto O'Rourke names Texas staff for presidential campaign
Beto for America
O’Rourke bolsters senior staff with 5 hires

5 factors that could determine the strength of Beto O’Rourke’s campaign for governor The former congressman must keep elements of his 2018 campaign against Sen. Ted Cruz, while fixing mess made in 2020 presidential effort.



Beto O’Rourke hires 4 for national communications team

https://betoorourke.com/

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Texas Blues

Texas Republicans are slowly coming to grips with the unthinkable: Hillary Clinton has a shot at winning the nation’s most iconic red state.

Texas is the beating heart of the modern Republican Party, and the cornerstone of any GOP nominee’s electoral strategy. It’s also home to the most recent Republican president, George W. Bush, and to two serious recent GOP contenders for the White House, Sen. Ted Cruz and former Gov. Rick Perry.

And Texas is where the party’s most prominent donor base is clustered.

Friday, October 21, 2016

Kentucky? Never Thought I Would See This Day


The Kentucky poll is a good reminder that Trump’s slide isn’t only occurring in national polls. Donald Trump is in decline in solid Republican territory....... there are serious questions about whether Donald Trump will win deep red states like Arizona, Utah, Kentucky, and Texas. ..... What is unfolding is nothing less than the destruction of the far-right led Republican Party.

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Target Texas


Trump leads only by 6 points in Texas

 In a head to head contest Trump leads Clinton 50-44 in the state, which Mitt Romney won by 16 points in 2012..... Trump's lead is based entirely on his holding a 63-33 advantage among seniors. ..... Trump has a 69/25 lead with white voters but the reason the state's so competitive overall is that among non-white voters Clinton has a 73-21 lead, including a 68-27 edge with the state's booming Hispanic population......  'just' 35% of Trump supporters think Barack Obama founded ISIS....... Finally we polled on Texas secession. Overall 26% of voters would support leaving the United States to 59% who want to stay, and 15% who aren't sure either way. Among Trump voters support for secession goes up to 37%, with only 49% opposed to exiting. If you look at the Presidential race in Texas only among voters who are opposed to seceding from the United State, Clinton leads Trump 54/41. But that's offset by Trump's 72/20 advantage with the secession crowd. If Clinton is elected President this fall, the Trump voters really want out- in that case 61% say they'd support seceding from the United States, to only 29% who would stick around.

Hillary Clinton, Tim Kaine, Bill Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Barack Obama, Michelle Obama, Joe Biden, everybody should go spend a few weeks in Texas. Texas is the big prize. Texas can be had. The entire South can be had if Hillary is willing to play the abortion card.