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Saturday, January 23, 2016

Trump Is Unscripted

Same Ol' Shit
Same Ol' Shit (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
That is his appeal. He talks shit half the time. But he is not rehearsed, he is not prepared, he is not coached. His shit is original. Not profound, not correct, just original. I mean, he has no political program, not yet, not that I know of.

He is also trying his best to stand in for The White Male. There are a whole lot of mediocre white guys who are having self-esteem issues after a black guy has been in there for eight years. Imagine how the rest of us have felt all along!

But the first few votes will change everything. People are still not tuned in. Trump has been riding name recognition (from his TV show) and shit, literally shit.

It's Just Snow

It's not like it's a hailstorm. It's not like it's monsoon. It's not like it's a cyclone.

A "Blizzard For The Ages" Is Stalking NYC This Weekend
It’s here! Winter Storm Jonas begins pummeling NYC

That Matt Damon Thing

English: Matt Damon at the 66th Venice Interna...
English: Matt Damon at the 66th Venice International Film Festival Nederlands: Matt Damon op het 66e Venice International Film Festival Français : 66ème Festival du Cinéma de Venise (Mostra), 6ème jour (07/09/2009) Photocall avec Matt Damon et Steven Soderbergh pour le film : The Informant (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
When I knocked on those doors, and made those phone calls, my pitch was, I believe this is the guy for the next eight years. And I meant it. And so I was not going to chicken out two years in.

Obama For America probably has software that can track all those people down. And they can track me down. I don't want those people to call me! As in, I thought, you said.

I believe I will support Barack Obama for one more year.

Maybe Matt never made those phone calls. He never knocked on those doors. He was in the celebrity wing of the party. And I don't mean political party.

"They don't do random, they don't make mistakes."

I Am So Glad Jon Stewart Retired

Finally Barack Obama is getting some limelight.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Trump: Nominee?

I did not think for one second Trump was going to end up the nominee. I did not think he thought. I did not think he was serious. I still have my doubts. But people are saying otherwise. One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump. ...... Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. ...... if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first .....

there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes.

...... Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him.
All I can see (and I have not been following closely at all) is that the race might get competitive.

When The Ocean Currents Of Global Finance Stop Moving

Money getting parked like this is a disservice. There is such need, in terms of Global South infrastructure, and clean energy. This is like the ocean currents stopped moving. Why will money not want to grow?

The missing $20 trillion
If you define a tax haven as a place that tries to attract non-resident funds by offering light regulation, low (or zero) taxation and secrecy, then the world has 50-60 such havens. These serve as domiciles for more than 2m companies and thousands of banks, funds and insurers. Nobody really knows how much money is stashed away: estimates vary from way below to way above $20 trillion. ..... Ugland House, a building in the Cayman Islands that is officially home to 18,000 companies ...... Delaware (population 917,092), which is home to 945,000 companies, many of which are dodgy shells. ..... Miami is a massive offshore banking centre, offering depositors from emerging markets the sort of protection from prying eyes that their home countries can no longer get away with. The City of London, which pioneered offshore currency trading in the 1950s, still specialises in helping non-residents get around the rules. British shell companies and limited-liability partnerships regularly crop up in criminal cases. London is no better than the Cayman Islands when it comes to controls against money laundering. Other European Union countries are global hubs for a different sort of tax avoidance: companies divert profits to brass-plate subsidiaries in low-tax Luxembourg, Ireland and the Netherlands. .......

America remains shamefully reluctant to share information with the Latin American countries whose citizens hold deposits in Miami.

....... Nor do corporate taxes raise much money: barely more than 2% of GDP (8.5% of tax revenue) in America and 2.7% in Britain. Abolishing corporate tax would create its own problems, as it would encourage rich people to turn themselves into companies. But a lower rate on a broader base, combined with vigilance by the tax authorities, would be more efficient and would probably raise more revenue: America, whose companies face one of the rich world’s highest corporate-tax rates on their worldwide income, also has some of the most energetic tax-avoiders. .....

Financial centres and incorporation hubs, from the City of London to Delaware, will fight any attempt to tighten their rules. But if politicians really want to tax the missing $20 trillion, that’s where they should start.

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Close Circuit Television

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Taxation And Political Innovation To Less Inequality

If there is much inequality, and that is undesirable, what's the out? Should we tax more?

Seven ways Americans pay taxes
"Generally, three types of taxes will show up on a worker's pay stub: federal income taxes, payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare), and state income taxes" ....... State and local governments collect sales taxes on individual goods and services. Similarly, governments charge excise taxes on specific items, including gasoline and cigarettes. ..... Income taxes serve as the largest source of revenue for the federal government, accounting for over 40% of yearly tax revenue. ..... Counties, cities, and other local areas often levy taxes to raise money as well. Property taxes, Lundeen noted, "are generally charged at the local level in order to pay for services such as schools, police and fire departments, and parks." Similarly, localities often charge an additional sales tax. ...... The federal estate tax, often the subject of controversy, applies only after death and only if the estate is worth $5.34 million or more. Also, you may be able to avoid paying a number of excise taxes if you do not smoke, drink, or gamble. However, some excise taxes may be harder to avoid, including those levied on cell phone services, hotel stays, and gasoline purchases ...... the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) gives a tax credit to low and moderate earners. ..... Sales taxes are often considered to be regressive, meaning lower-income individuals and households spend a greater proportion of their earnings to pay the tax, compared to higher income residents. ...... Excise taxes are similar to broad sales taxes, except they are charged on specific goods. States typically tax certain purchases, including gas, cigarettes, beer and liquor. Excise taxes are frequently levied on so-called "sin products," and often are intended not only to help raise money, but also to deter unhealthy behaviors. ...... the Social Security tax, employees pay 6.2% of their wages, and employers match that for a total contribution of 12.4%. ..... Property taxes .... In many instances, these taxes are deductible. ..... Many homeowners also qualify for a mortgage interest deduction. ..... The highest estate tax rate charged at the federal level is 40%. ....... Some states have an inheritance tax, where the rate you pay depends on your relation to the deceased. ...... All gifts over $14,000 are taxable, with the tax to be paid by the recipient. The highest gift tax rate is 40% of the taxable gift amount. This tax applies not only to cash, but also to gifts like company shares or cars.
Taxation in the United States
taxes on income, payroll, property, sales, capital gains, dividends, imports, estates and gifts, as well as various fees. In 2010 taxes collected by federal, state and municipal governments amounted to 24.8% of GDP. In the OECD, only Chile and Mexico taxed less as a share of GDP. The United States also has one of the most progressive tax systems in the industrialized world. ......... Taxes are imposed on net income of individuals and corporations by the federal, most state, and some local governments. Citizens and residents are taxed on worldwide income and allowed a credit for foreign taxes. Income subject to tax is determined under tax accounting rules, not financial accounting principles, and includes almost all income from whatever source. Most business expenses reduce taxable income ..... certain nonbusiness expenses, including home mortgage interest, state and local taxes, charitable contributions, and medical and certain other expenses incurred above certain percentages of income ..... Federal tax rates vary from 10% to 39.6% of taxable income.
47 Different Taxes We Pay: Can You Think of More?
A List Of 97 Taxes Americans Pay Every Year

The tax structure seems to be A-Okay to me, for the most part. There will be the usual pendulum swings. They will go up a little, or down a little, so politicians stay employed. So how do we tackle inequality?

How the taxed money gets used is a big one. The country spends too much on defense, and too little on education. But those who might vote for larger expenditures on education are too carried away by the hot social issues. Hot to them. Taking money out of politics, a work in progress, sometimes reverse progress, would help.

Financial sector reform. Or where big money goes to die.

Tax havens. Where money gets parked. This is money that could be making serious differences in building infrastructure in the Global South to bring it on par with the rest of the world, so there are more people to buy the goods and services. Instead trillions are put aside. They just sit there. How would you feel if the ocean currents stopped? You would get very cold very fast. Trillions sitting in tax havens are like stopped ocean currents. Money needs to move. Money needs to be put to use. America built infrastructure in Europe, and then it stopped. That was racism.

The biggest one though is massive rises in productivity and political innovation that will spread the goods. If 100 times more food is grown, does that mean food is 100 times as cheap? Should be. Right? At what point does it not make sense to ask people to buy food? There has got to be a price point. Internet access already qualifies. NYC stands to make 500 million bucks a year because it is going to offer free gigabit WiFi from its unused phone booths. Private companies are doing all the work. Why could that not go national? There is zero cost to the taxpayers. Better than zero. Negative cost.

Food and internet access are just two obvious examples. We are at the cusp of massive rises in productivity on many fronts. Food, shelter and internet access are top basics. Nanotech advances in material design should allow us to buy houses like we buy computers today. It is one simple business transaction, not a 30 year plan.

Answers to inequality: (1) Fourth industrial revolution (2) Political innovation on par with technological innovation -- we can now actually let everyone be heard, quite literally, thank you tech (3) Move the stopped ocean currents of global finance (4) World government and new institutions for the global economy (5) 100 to 200 billion less on defense and 100 billion more on education, pre-K, child care, public transportation.

One idea I have been toying with is this: what if the American people, through their government owned somewhere between 1 to 5% of every company in America? So when you incorporate a company, 1-5% is gone. So when Google hits a market cap of 500 billion, 300 million Americans collectively own 25 billion of it. Would that be a problem to Google? Probably not. Companies pay taxes. What if they also shared some ownership? 300 million Americans make the dollar valuable, for example. If 250 million were to withdraw their trust in the dollar, the dollar would fall. So, what is 1 to 5% for that trust? What do you think, Bernie?

2016 And Gender

The real gender issue this election cycle is that the fourth industrial revolution is going to balance it out for women in the workforce.
  • Universal pre-K education everywhere in the country. 
  • Universal child care, many at the workplace itself or very near it. Self driving cars will mean less space needed for parking. 
  • Paid maternity and family leave. 
  • Universal public transportation everywhere in the country. It should no longer be a NYC or big city thing. 
This will also mean more women entrepreneurs will take the plunge. Capitalism moves fast when new companies get formed fast and furious. 

And there is a global dimension that is by now so in your face, thanks to social media. Gender empowerment is not a national issue. 
If anything technology makes gender more of an issue. You can ignore it less and less. Sexist jokes and sexist comments should be offensive. 


The Law Of Political Entropy: Lesser Implications

Iran (Persia) with Black, Caspian and Arabian ...
Iran (Persia) with Black, Caspian and Arabian seas around (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The big bang way is to beam unfettered internet from the sky and flood the zone with millions of cheap, solar powered smartphones. But until that happens, it is a great idea to do as much trade as possible, to bring about as much people to people contact as possible. It is that or war (W style) or cold peace. I much prefer engagement. And so Iran opening up is great news. If you think about it, Iran is one step further in political evolution compared to some of its suspicious neighbors. It did ditch a monarchy. There is a conservative and liberal tug of war in Iran. And it is for the outside world to help tilt the game in the liberals' favor. Even the conservatives in DC are liberal in Iran! Talk about finding some common ground in the gridlock capital of the world.

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Bloomberg 2016?

“If I was a billionaire, if I was a Ross Perot type, absolutely, I’d run as an independent. Because there is now profound anger at both political parties. But it takes a huge amount of money and organizational time to even get on the ballot in fifty states.”

--- Bernie Sanders

I Wish The 2016 Race Were Laser Focused On The Fourth Industrial Revolution
An Opening For Bloomberg?
What Is This Talk Of Bloomberg 2016?