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Friday, March 04, 2022

March 4: Ukraine

What Happened on Day 8 of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Across Ukraine, Russian forces were laying siege to cities and trying to control vital ports. ...... Footage shows the moment a Ukrainian residential area came under bombardment. ....... The strategy, my colleague Eric Schmitt said, is “to terrorize the population and force them to flee, or beg their government to surrender — and to pummel Ukrainian government buildings to disrupt their wartime operations.” ....... The humanitarian disaster is likely to increase in the coming days. “We cannot collect all the bodies,” the deputy mayor of Mariupol, a southern city, told CNN. The mayor said that the electricity was out and that Russia was blocking food from entering the city. ....... More than a million Ukrainians, out of a population of about 40 million, have fled. Many have headed west, away from the areas where Russia is advancing, in the hope of entering bordering countries like Poland or Romania. A million more people are internally displaced. ........ Lviv, the largest city in western Ukraine, is filled with people carrying suitcases ........ Valerie spoke with one 20-year-old woman traveling with her mother who had packed only three sweatshirts, a pair of socks and her dog. The two of them had left everything else behind. ........ Russia does not yet control the skies over Ukraine, and its military is struggling to make much progress in the north, near Kyiv. A miles-long convoy of hundreds of military vehicles has largely stalled, about 18 miles from Kyiv. It is facing fierce Ukrainian opposition, as well as shortages of fuel and spare parts, a reflection of the failure to conquer Kyiv immediately. ........ some Russian soldiers appeared not to have known that they would be invading Ukraine until the war began ........ a Russian soldier’s text to his mother, recovered from his phone after he died: “There is a real war raging here. I’m afraid. We are bombing all of the cities together, even targeting civilians.” ........ The U.S., E.U. and Britain are continuing to send arms to Ukraine’s military, over land routes. And the West has continued to impose sanctions, which seem to be inflicting significant damage on Russia’s economy. ........ the war, which already seems to be somewhat unpopular within Russia, will become even more so. ........ Putin is signaling that he will respond to setbacks with more destruction. He also seems willing to allow Russia to pay a high price, in both economic terms and soldiers’ lives. ........ During a 90-minute call yesterday with French President Emmanuel Macron, Putin said that Russia would achieve its goal in Ukraine “no matter what.” In a televised address yesterday, Putin told Russians that he was determined to fight the war. ........... Russian leaders have a long history of accepting large casualties among their own troops to win wars. ...... “It doesn’t matter about the morale, it doesn’t matter if the equipment breaks down. They’re just going to be able to overwhelm eventually the Ukrainians because they don’t expect direct military involvement by the West.” ......... The Ukrainian resistance could prove so stout that Russia finds itself in a yearslong quagmire. Or Western sanctions could create such instability in Russia that Putin loses support among the officials around him. ......... the coming weeks are likely to be filled with tragedy for Ukraine. ....... “Everything that’s not propaganda is being eliminated”: Putin is dismantling the last vestiges of a Russian free press. .

. Seth Meyers Roasts Ron DeSantis for Berating Teens Meyers said Florida’s governor was like “an old man who sees a bunch of innocent teens walking by and screams, ‘Hey, you kids get on my lawn!’” .

. The Week That Awoke the World . “The centre cannot hold,” William Butler Yeats wrote, before adding, “The best lack all conviction, while the worst / Are full of passionate intensity.” .......... The events in Ukraine have been a moral atrocity and a political tragedy, but for people around the world, a cultural revelation. It’s not that people around the world believe new things, but many of us have been reminded what we believe, and we believe them with more fervor, with more conviction. This has been a convicting week. .........

The Ukrainians have been our instructors and inspirers.

........ They’ve been the lady telling a Russian invader to put sunflower seeds in his pocket. They’ve been the thousands of Ukrainians who had been living comfortably abroad, who surged back into the country to risk death to defend their people and way of life. ............ how the setbacks and humiliations (Donald Trump, Afghanistan, racial injustice, political dysfunction) have caused us to doubt and be passive about

the gospel of democracy

. But despite all our failings the gospel is still glowingly true. ........... over the past week Volodymyr Zelensky emerged as the everyman leader — the guy in the T-shirt, the Jewish comedian, the guy who didn’t flee but knew what to say: “I need ammunition, not a ride.” ......... Across governments, businesses and the arts, we were well led this week. ......... the Ukrainians have shown us how the right kind of patriotism is ennobling, a source of meaning and a reason to risk life. They’ve shown us that the love of a particular place, their own land and people, warts and all, can be part and parcel of a love for universal ideals, like democracy, liberalism and freedom. ........... am cheered that Sweden is providing military aid to Ukraine, and I’m awed by what the German people now support. ...... at this point almost every member of Congress is united about our general cause. ........ The creed of liberalism is getting a second wind. ......... this week we saw that foreign affairs, like life, is a moral enterprise, and moral rightness is a source of social power and fighting morale. ......... Things will likely get even more brutal for the Ukrainians. But the moral flame they fueled this week may, in the end, still burn strong.
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. Fantasy Author Raises $15.4 Million in 24 Hours to Self-Publish Brandon Sanderson set out to raise $1 million on Kickstarter in 30 days to fund four new books. He blew past it in about 35 minutes. ......... The author Brandon Sanderson raised $15.4 million in 24 hours...... Brandon Sanderson, a prolific sci-fi and fantasy author, started an online fund-raising campaign this week to self-publish four of the novels he wrote during the pandemic. His goal: to raise $1 million in 30 days. ......... In 24 hours, he raised $15.4 million, which the fund-raising website Kickstarter said was the single most successful day of any of their campaigns. By Thursday, two days into it, he had raised more than $19 million. ....... Part of why this project has worked for Sanderson, McLean said, is his unique relationship with his fans. He has sold 20 million print, audio and e-books, Sanderson said, including titles such as “Rhythm of War,” an epic fantasy novel about a coalition of humans resisting an enemy invasion. Like many authors of science fiction and fantasy, he has spent a lot of time in conventions and interacting with his audience. In 2019, he said, he was on the road for 111 days. .......... Printing thousands of copies of physical books, then storing and distributing them, is expensive and onerous. To that end, Sanderson has built a company, Dragonsteel Entertainment, which employs 30 people including a marketing director, concept artist, continuity editor and human resources director. He also has a warehouse in Pleasant Grove, Utah, a short drive from his house. ...... Sanderson has been self-publishing e-books since the early 2010s ......... He also has no plans to use his company to publish other authors, he said. What makes him successful is his ability to appeal directly to his own fans, who may not necessarily want to buy work by somebody else. ....... First, he wanted to see what it might look like to poke a little hole in Amazon’s dominance. Amazon sells more than half the printed books in the United States, but it is even more powerful in e-books and audiobooks, which account for 80 percent of Sanderson’s sales .......... “I don’t want to present this as ‘Brandon versus Amazon.’ Amazon’s great. But I think that in the long run, Amazon being a monopoly is actually bad for Amazon. If they don’t have competition, they will stop innovating.” ......... He also wanted to play around with bundling and upselling. Traditional publishers, he said, offer few products and few options. The array of packages on Kickstarter range from $40 for four e-books to $500 for the four books in all formats, plus eight boxes of “swag.” ......... self-publishing e-books remains common for signed authors. ....... “There’s a lot of hybrid publishing out there that is just happening quietly in the background,” McLean said. “It’s just the way sophisticated authors in genres manage their business.” .

. Pankaj Mishra Says Faulkner’s Work Is ‘Atrociously Written,’ and Great . “July’s People,” by Nadine Gordimer. It imagines, with coruscating insight, middle-class white liberals at the mercy of their Black servant during an insurrection against a white supremacist regime. ........ I was enthralled by his vividly realized settings — from Parisian department stores to railway towns — and gaudy characters. I was particularly surprised by his fiction’s intense awareness of the brutal — and, it now seems, politically fateful — French imperial venture in North Africa. ......... many pages in Faulkner’s most celebrated novels are atrociously written. But this terrible and occasionally illegible prose never quite overcomes the reader’s trust in Faulkner’s profound creative power. ......... Mercè Rodoreda’s “In Diamond Square.” Gabriel García Márquez wrote admiringly about her novels, and claimed to have read this one several times. ..... The great realist writers of the 19th century — Stendhal, Balzac, Dickens, Maupassant, Zola and Dostoyevsky — made the subject central to modern literature. This preoccupation with inequality and its psychological damage lingered among American writers of the first half of the 20th century. ........ This preoccupation with inequality and its psychological damage lingered among American writers of the first half of the 20th century. Rereading recently the Snopes and Studs Lonigan trilogies, I was struck by their insight into the emotional debility and ruthlessness of socially mobile men . ......... The extreme class consciousness of characters in Proust or, for that matter, in Evelyn Waugh and Louis Auchincloss also tells us a great deal about the inner lives deformed by rigidly hierarchical societies. .......... Amitav Ghosh’s “The Nutmeg’s Curse” is an illuminating book by any measure on the historical roots of the climate emergency today. I was particularly struck by its account of the critique by Indigenous peoples of settler-colonialism. ............. I have not lost the unprovable conviction that only Chekhov somehow managed to describe life, as it really is, uncompromised by the artifices of literary creation. .

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A Man in a Cafe Asked Julie Otsuka What She Was Reading. They Dated for Two Years. Like many writers, I’m a very solitary person, but I love reading and working in public spaces....... alone but not alone ..... a farewell note from the author, who took his own life 10 days after turning in the manuscript ......... Through an accretion of small, obsessive details, “you” slowly comes into focus as a thoughtful, solitary, troubled man who can no longer bear to be in the world. The language is beautiful and spare, deceptively simple, exactingly precise. I’ve never read anything like it. It is, one could say, the ultimate work of autofiction. ......... Nobody describes the passionate bond between mothers and daughters more brutally, or with more honesty, intelligence and style, than Vivian Gornick in her memoir “Fierce Attachments.” ...... I could look at paintings all day long. That’s my true guilty pleasure....... Ogawa is a master of quiet dread and I am eager to read her latest book, set on an unnamed island where entire categories of objects are suddenly “disappeared” from both the physical world and the memories of its inhabitants, who are under constant surveillance by the government.

Online Dating Can Kill You. Literally. the world of social media, big tech and internet connectivity provides fertile new ground for humans to deceive, defraud and possibly murder one another......... The question of whether the people we encounter online are who they say they are is a genuinely troubling one. Are they cheaters, frauds, psychos — or something even weirder and scarier? What if they are not people at all, but bots, or as Pek dubs them, “synths,” created to deceive and control us? Are we surrendering to algorithms that know us better than we know ourselves? Are we trading our freedom of choice, thought, even desire, for convenience and fantasy? Are we becoming unable to tell, or even care, what’s real? Exploring these issues, “The Verifiers” leads us deeper and deeper into a maze with no clear exit. Except of course to delete our apps and stop searching for truth and happiness online. But we won’t ever do that. Will we?

Why Olga Tokarczuk Likes to Read T.S. Eliot in Translation literature is its own republic where people can live and work together and, maybe more than anything, communicate perfectly — in depth, empathetically, morally, intellectually and in a revolutionary spirit ........ The constitution is made up of passages from great books, and the history of the republic is also the history of literature, all the classics and all the literary eras that preceded ours. .......... The strange thing is that fictional characters live alongside the citizens of this republic ....... I really think the best genre is just a good, solid novel. ........ I was a voracious reader. I taught myself to read quite early on, and from that point forward, I read everything that fell into my grasp. ........ I loved to read encyclopedias and dictionaries. Fairly quickly I started reading novels ........

Authors are generally less interesting than their books.

..... those who read are smarter, more aware, more capable of understanding complicated matters than those who don’t read

An Essayist Navigates the Labyrinth of American Health Care. Barely. . The illness narrative, ending in financial ruin and decreased quality of life, has become one of the classic 21st-century American stories. ...... For Maloney, the primary experience of receiving health care is not merely a bodily or spiritual event but always, also, a financial one. ........ The precipitating event in “Cost of Living” is the author’s psychiatric hospitalization at 19: “It wasn’t that I had wanted to die, exactly. It was more that I just couldn’t keep living.” Maloney’s choice of a nearby, independent hospital’s emergency room over the bigger university hospital “where the state might pick up your bill if you were declared indigent” leads to the crushing debt at the heart of the book. “Sitting on a cot in the emergency room, I filled out paperwork certifying myself as the responsible party for my own medical care — signed it without looking, anchoring myself to this debt, a stone dropped in the middle of a stream. This debt was the cost of living.” ........ As Maloney pries deeper into the machine of American health care, she finds no central mechanism other than that of the eternal money-go-round. By the time she gets to the conference at which doctors are painstakingly comped for their attendance at brunches with “soggy pastries” amid “transfer of value” concerns, I had lost all hope for a ready solution to the problem — which, Maloney implies, is inseparable from the very structures of capitalism. .......... In one, Maloney is prescribed 26 psychiatric medications for what turns out to be a vitamin D deficiency, hypothyroidism and a neurologically based developmental disorder. In another, as an E.R. tech she is trained to “bill up” — increasing charges if at all possible — but she secretly perfects the occult art of minimizing patient cost without tripping any corporate alarms. ........... “There’s a fine line between a pain patient and a drug addict,” she writes, “and sometimes patients go back and forth across it.” “Elizabeth … was what we called a frequent flier, someone who was unable to make sense of the world she lived in and so she came to us instead, a kind of tent revival in our suburban hospital, for healing.” ......... “Yes, the research everyone does is important. Yes, the work to take a drug from preclinical stages to the market is huge and hugely expensive. But the rest — the advertising, the television commercials, the hamburger sliders, the endless catered lunches, the agency money, the plane tickets to Europe — are all, directly or not, contributing to this enormous cost.” ..........

in this country, there is currently no tidy passage through the interconnected quagmires of illness, money and care.

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Ukraine Invasion Increases Friction Between Erdogan and Putin The Turkish and Russian leaders have found themselves on opposite sides of a host of armed conflicts. In Ukraine, the stakes may be higher than ever. ...... The stuck planes have now become Exhibit A of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s misreading of the Ukraine situation, opening him to criticism at home for not evacuating Turkish citizens in time, for misjudging President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia and for not taking American warnings of an invasion seriously enough. ........... Turkey is being squeezed from several sides by Russia. ........ Mr. Putin and Mr. Erdogan have in recent years found themselves on opposite sides of conflicts in Azerbaijan, Libya and Syria. .......... Russian troops in Syria have long threatened to press their offensive against the last rebel-held area in that country, which could force up to four million Syrians to flee into Turkey. ......... Mr. Erdogan and Mr. Putin spoke on the telephone on Feb. 23, hours before the start of the invasion. Mr. Erdogan repeated his offer of mediation between Russia and Ukraine and reiterated his invitation to Mr. Putin to visit Istanbul for a meeting with Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky. ......... there is a sense of anger in Mr. Erdogan’s presidential circle that Mr. Putin lied to them about his intentions in Ukraine ........ “I suspect Erdogan trusted his relationship with Putin and thought it would be a minor incursion,” she added. “Turkey also failed to evacuate its citizens based on that belief. That’s proving to be a huge miscalculation.” ......... Turkey oversees access to the Black Sea through the Montreux Convention, a 1936 international treaty that regulates sea vessels passing through the Bosporus. Defining the situation as war would allow Turkey to close the Bosporus to vessels of the countries involved. ....... the borders are clogged with tens of thousands of refugees and 20-mile tailbacks .



A War the Kremlin Tried to Disguise Becomes a Hard Reality for Russians Moscow posted a death toll from its attack on Ukraine for the first time, and Russians who long avoided politics are now grappling with the fact that their country is fighting a deadly conflict....... On Feb. 23, Razil Malikov, a tank driver in the Russian Army, called his family and said he would be home soon; his unit’s military drills in Crimea were just about wrapping up. The next morning, Russia invaded Ukraine, and Mr. Malikov hasn’t been heard from since. ........... “Everyone is in a state of shock.” The reality of war is dawning across Russia. ........ Russians who long avoided engaging with politics are now realizing that their country is fighting a deadly conflict, even as the Kremlin gets ever more aggressive in trying to shape the narrative. Its slow-motion crackdown on freedoms has become a whirlwind of repression of late, as the last vestiges of a free press faced extinction. ......... This week, lawmakers proposed a 15-year prison sentence for people who post “fakes” about the war, and rumors are swirling about soon-to-be-closed borders or martial law. The Education Ministry scheduled a video lesson to be shown in schools nationwide on Thursday that described the war against Ukraine as a “liberation mission.” ........ Ukrainian government agencies and volunteers have published videos of disoriented Russian prisoners of war saying they had no idea they were about to be part of an invasion until just before it began, and photographs and footage showed the bodies of Russian soldiers strewn on streets and fields. ......... at least 7,359 Russians detained during seven days of protests in scores of cities across the country. ........ “It’s the third decade of the 21st century, and we are watching news about people burning in tanks and bombed-out buildings,” Aleksei A. Navalny, the opposition leader, wrote in a social media post from prison on Wednesday, calling on Russians to continue to rally despite the withering police crackdown. “Let’s not ‘be against war.’ Let’s fight against war.” ....... dead Russian soldiers in Ukraine lay “unburied; wild, stray dogs gnawing on bodies that in some cases cannot be identified because they are burned.” ..... “I do not identify myself with those representatives of the state that speak out in favor of the war,” Ms. Narusova said. “I think they themselves do not know what they are doing. They are following orders without thinking.” ...... The Russian International Affairs Council, a government-funded think tank, published an article by a prominent expert describing the war as a strategic debacle. The expert, Ivan Timofeev, said Ukrainian society would now “see Russia as an enemy for several decades to come.” He added a veiled warning directed at government officials who were now cracking down on people speaking out against the war. ........ Some feared that Mr. Putin could go even further, repressing dissent to an extent unseen in Russia since Soviet times. Tatiana Stanovaya, a scholar who has long studied Mr. Putin, wrote it was “more than logical” to expect that lawmakers this week would approve the imposition of martial law in order to block the open internet, ban all protests and restrict Russians from being able to leave the country. ......... Echo of Moscow, Russia’s flagship liberal-leaning radio station, was taken off the air on Tuesday for the first time since the Soviet coup attempt of 1991. ....... “When there were analogous situations in other countries involving the United States, there were no such attacks, and they didn’t drive the country into crisis.” .



Last Vestiges of Russia’s Free Press Fall Under Kremlin Pressure “Everything that’s not propaganda is being eliminated,” a Nobel Prize winning editor said as Russian authorities moved to control the narrative in the Ukraine war. ........ As President Vladimir V. Putin wages war against Ukraine, he is fighting a parallel battle on the home front, dismantling the last vestiges of a Russian free press. ....... On Thursday, the pillars of Russia’s independent broadcast media collapsed under pressure from the state. Echo of Moscow, the freewheeling radio station founded by Soviet dissidents in 1990 and that symbolized Russia’s new freedoms, was “liquidated” by its board. TV Rain, the youthful independent television station that calls itself “the optimistic channel” said it would suspend operations indefinitely. And Dmitri A. Muratov, the journalist who shared the Nobel Peace Prize last year, said that his newspaper Novaya Gazeta, which survived the murders of six of its journalists, could be on the verge of shutting down as well.

“Everything that’s not propaganda is being eliminated,” Mr. Muratov said.

......... Mr. Putin appeared unbowed by the crisis and the Western furor. He told President Emmanuel Macron of France in a phone call that his aim of securing “the demilitarization and neutral status of Ukraine” would be “achieved no matter what,” according to the Kremlin. A second round of peace talks in Belarus yielded no breakthrough, though Ukraine said Russia had agreed to “humanitarian corridors” to allow civilians to leave areas of intense fighting. ........ Many Russians, however, have not bought into the narrative. Lukoil, Russia’s second-biggest oil producer, on Thursday became the biggest Russian company to publicly distance itself from the war, publishing a statement from its board of directors calling for its “soonest cessation.” .........

“There’s a very broad antiwar mood in Russia

— I’d say it’s genetic,” Aleksei A. Venediktov, Echo of Moscow’s longtime editor in chief, said in an interview on Thursday, referring to the lingering scars of World War II. “War is not victory. War is horror, it is tragedy, it is loss in every family.” ........... For a few seconds, Tchaikovsky’s “Swan Lake” appeared. During the 1991 attempt to overthrow the Soviet Premier Mikhail S. Gorbachev, Soviet state television played “Swan Lake” on a loop. ....... It did the same as the country waited for the party leadership to select successors to Soviet premiers Leonid Brezhnev, Konstantin Chernenko and Yuri Andropov. It was a not so subtle hint: Even Mr. Putin is not forever. ....... in a “regular country,” Echo of Moscow would be considered banal. “We’ve held on to old-fashioned, traditional journalism where all points of view must be shared and where forbidden topics can be discussed, political and not” ........... “They want to give the population the impression that this is a short, effective, operation without a lot of victims,” said Andrei Kolesnikov, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center think tank. “The regime gives a lot of attention to words, or to the lack of words.” He drew the example of Mr. Navalny, an opposition figure in Russia whom Mr. Putin does not refer to by name.
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Twitter: March 2: Ukraine



Wednesday, March 02, 2022

Kharkiv

Tuesday, March 01, 2022

Putin Wants To Do A Syria In Ukraine And Can Not Be Allowed

Putin's delusion was that he was going to step into Ukraine and was going to be welcomed with open arms. Instead he has met with stiff resistance as he should. His new delusion might be to pull a Syria in Ukraine. That absolutely can not be allowed.

Syria is one place where I strongly disagreed with Barack Obama in real time. He needed to pull a Libya in Syria. Assad's palace needed to be bombed. The world still needs to drag Assad to The Hague for war crimes.

NATO can not send in troops to Ukraine. But that is about the only limitation. There is no limit to how much and how fast weapons can be sent into Ukraine. Neighboring countries to the west of Ukraine need to the west of Ukraine, namely Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Moldova, and Turkey to the South can do much in terms of organizing refugee camps and camps where Ukrainian fighters can come to regroup before going back in.



But the real fight is going to be in the large cities of Russia. It will only take half a million Russian to come out into the streets of Moscow and refuge to leave. If the Russians can take control of the streets, Putin is over. His game is up. And that is where the endgame is.



Why Putin Is So Committed to Keeping Assad in Power Putin's growing military support for the beleaguered Syrian leader is meant to send a clear message to other anxious despots about Russian loyalty to its friends...... OCTOBER 7, 2015 ........ For more than three years, Russia’s top diplomats have time and again assured American, Arab, and European policymakers that they are not wedded to President Bashar al-Assad. But with Russian airplanes escalating an air campaign against the groups trying to oust the beleaguered Syrian leader, Russian President Vladimir Putin is showing just how far he’ll go to keep Assad — Moscow’s key surviving Arab ally — in power. ......... Saving Assad from meeting the same fate as other regional despots like Libya’s Muammar al-Qaddafi and Egyptian leader Hosni Mubarak is emerging as a key facet of Russia’s Middle East strategy.Saving Assad from meeting the same fate as other regional despots like Libya’s Muammar al-Qaddafi and Egyptian leader Hosni Mubarak is emerging as a key facet of Russia’s Middle East strategy. By propping up one of the region’s most vilified leaders, Moscow is sending a powerful message about its willingness to act aggressively in a region where many of America’s closest allies are feeling insecure — and questioning Washington’s commitment to have their backs in the future. ......... Some 800 to more than 2,000 Russian jihadis have traveled to Syria to help fight in the country, as well as in Iraq, according to estimates from the Russian Foreign Ministry and independent experts. .......... Last month, Moscow intervened militarily at Assad’s invitation, launching airstrikes against what it said were targets linked to the Islamic State, but in actuality hammering the Syrian opposition forces seeking to bring down the regime. It is now considering the deployment of irregular Russian troops, or “volunteers,” to carry out ground operations. On Wednesday, Syrian forces began a ground offensive as Russian warplanes blasted targets throughout western Syria ......... “Saddam Hussein, hanged. Is Iraq a better place, a safer place?” Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov rhetorically asked reporters at U.N. headquarters last month. “Qaddafi murdered — you know in front of viewers. Is Libya a better place? Now we are demonizing Assad. Can we try to draw lessons?” .

. Russia’s Actions Fuel Calls for U.N. to Rein in Security Council Veto Power The U.N. Charter puts limits on the veto power permanent members enjoy. Now, some countries want that enforced. .

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Monday, February 28, 2022

YouTube: February 28

The End Of The Road For Putin

This is the end of the road for Putin. He will now lose power. The world has to prepare for a better transition than it did when the Soviet Union collapsed. The correct roadmap will be an interim government with the mandate to hold elections to a constituent assembly within a year of coming to power.

The problem is not that the Soviet Union broke up and lost territory. The problem remains that Russia did not lose enough territory. There are too many diverse nationalities still housed inside of Russia. I am not proposing a breakup of Russia. But I am proposing genuine federalism in a new Russian constitution. Russia is not Russia. It is a federation. There is an urgent need to devolve the power out of Moscow.

Russia deserves a genuine, full throttle, cacophonous democracy. Let the people vote. Let the people speak. Let the people organize. Let the people protest.

The genie is out of the bottle. I don't see how things can go back to where they were before Putin marched into Ukraine.

Now the only thing to do is to hasten the demise of the Putin regime. And the best positioned are the ordinary Russian citizens. They need to flood the streets. They need to do what the people of Ukraine did in 2014. Take over. Take Russia back from Putin.

February 28: Ukraine

Switzerland says it will freeze Russian assets, setting aside a tradition of neutrality. . Switzerland, a favorite destination for Russian oligarchs and their money ........ the country would immediately freeze the assets of Russia’s president, Vladimir V. Putin, Prime Minister Mikhail V. Mishustin and Foreign Minister Sergey V. Lavrov, as well as all 367 individuals sanctioned last week by the European Union. ....... Swiss national bank data showed that Russian companies and individuals held assets worth more than $11 billion in Swiss banks in 2020. As a hub for the global commodities trade, Switzerland also hosts numerous companies that trade Russian oil and other commodities. ........ Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which saw thousands of antiwar protesters march in Bern, Switzerland’s capital, over the weekend ........ Switzerland cherishes a reputation for neutrality that has established Geneva as a home to the United Nations and a host to peace talks in numerous conflicts, including the wars in Korea and Vietnam. Recently, Geneva was the venue for last year’s summit between President Biden and Mr. Putin. ......... Mr. Cassis told the United Nations Human Rights Council on Monday that Russia’s attack on Ukraine was a flagrant violation of international law. .

Putin’s Historic Miscalculation May Make Him a War Criminal The West condemns Russia’s aggression as “barbaric” and “horrific,” as Biden warns that conflict could drag on for weeks or months. ......... In the eyes of the world and almost certainly history, Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine on Thursday was an epic miscalculation, drawing comparisons to Adolf Hitler and Saddam Hussein for cold-blooded aggression ...... “Peace on our continent has been shattered,” the nato secretary-general Jens Stoltenberg told reporters.

“We now have war in Europe on a scale and of a type we thought belonged to history.”

.......... Putin “has much larger ambitions than Ukraine.” “He wants to, in fact, reëstablish the former Soviet Union,” Biden said. ........ Putin may now also qualify as a war criminal, according to the Geneva Conventions of 1949. War crimes include willful killing and extensive destruction of property “not justified by military necessity and carried out unlawfully and wantonly.” The term has been inconsistently interpreted and unevenly applied to leaders or countries—including to the U.S. and its officials—who have initiated aggression for reasons considered unjustified. In Ukraine, Putin’s “war of choice” has clearly violated international law through his invasion of a sovereign country and attempt to oust its government. ......... Putin has lied at every stage of the Ukraine crisis, insisting last year that he had no military ambitions in Ukraine even as he steadily amassed a force of nearly two hundred thousand troops on three fronts. ........ Putin’s invasion is based on wild accusations, including a claim that he needed to “denazify” Ukraine, a country led by President Volodymyr Zelensky, who is, in fact, Jewish. Putin vowed to end the “humiliation and genocide perpetrated by the Kiev regime,” when, in fact, separatists backed by Russia have for years waged a war in eastern Ukraine. Putin also claimed that the Kyiv government sought to acquire nuclear weapons when, in fact, Ukraine, once the third-largest nuclear power, denuclearized after the Soviet Union collapsed and it became an independent country again. He described the government in Kyiv as a “junta,” even though it was democratically elected in 2019. And Zelensky, in fact, won in a landslide with seventy-three per cent of the vote, defeating thirty-eight others who ran for President. ......... Russia experts and former U.S. officials increasingly question Putin’s stability, especially as he has surrounded himself with like-minded advisers and yes-men who encourage his ambitions to rewrite history. “Putin believes that in historical terms, as in Peter the Great and so on, blood will be forgotten and his legacy as the uniter of the ‘Russian lands,’ no matter the cost, will remain,” Nina Khrushcheva, an international-affairs professor at the New School in New York and the great-granddaughter of former Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev, told me. She said the Russian leader appears to “have lost all grip on reality, more so than I was willing to admit only yesterday.” She added, “I didn’t think he was suicidal, but he clearly is, and is taking the world and us with him.” She described Putin as a “ruthless megalomaniac with a giant imperialist agenda” akin to Stalin and Mao. ..........

“There are many parallels between Hitler’s invasion of Poland in 1939 and Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022”

............. Putin no longer appears to be a rational actor on the international stage ...... “I hate comparing people to Hitler, but Putin’s crazy talk is making it hard to avoid,” Stephen Sestanovich, a Russia expert at Columbia University, told me. “Did he think forcing all of his advisers to stand up on television and say, in such obvious discomfort, that they agreed with him would make the decision for war look careful and deliberate? My Russian friends suggest something different—is this guy losing it?” .......... The Ukrainian government has called up reservists and promised weapons to civilians to form a public resistance force. ......... “But history has shown time and again how swift gains in territory eventually give way to grinding occupations, acts of massive mass civil disobedience, and strategic dead ends.”
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How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine hit the global economy? Soaring energy prices alone could tip the world into a second recession in three years ......... A conflict that could develop into Europe’s biggest since the second world war has shattered hopes of a strong global economic recovery from coronavirus at least in the short term. ........ Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Thursday shook financial markets and the increased geopolitical tensions are set to exacerbate high inflation and supply chain bottlenecks. ........ If energy prices continued to soar, for example, it could easily tip the global economy into a second recession in three years. ........ Putin’s desired endgame is unclear. Analysts are considering several scenarios that range from a change of government in Kyiv to a Moscow-friendly regime to a wholesale attempt to redraw the international boundaries of Europe and beyond. ........... China, which has signalled its willingness to help Russia manage the financial fallout from its military actions. ...... the market reaction was orderly and not indicative yet of expectations of a wider war across Europe. ........ The country supplies about 40 per cent of the world’s palladium, a key component of catalytic converters in petrol-powered vehicles as well as electronic devices. ...... Europe is highly dependent on gas from Russia and cannot quickly find alternative supplies if pipelines are cut. ....... “Our modelling suggests that in a worst-case scenario oil prices could rise to $120-140 a barrel,” said Capital Economics’ Shearing. “If sustained through the rest of this year, and we see a corresponding increase in European natural gas prices, that would add about 2 percentage points to advanced economy inflation — more in Europe, less in the US. So that’s an additional squeeze on real incomes.” .



US governors order state-run liquor stores to stop selling Russian vodka Governors of Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Utah say symbolic move shows support for Ukraine .



Would Vladimir Putin actually use nuclear weapons? Russian president has ordered nuclear deterrence forces on high alert. We look at what that means ....... the threat, though it had gone up a notch, remained at a low level. ....... this was, in a way, “analogous to the British system”, where the commanders of Trident nuclear submarines are given letters of last resort, signed by the prime minister, of instructions on how to act if it is believed that the UK has been destroyed by an all-out nuclear attack. ........ Putin’s phrasing was deliberately ambiguous. ...... The move was, he said, designed to scare the west and “remind the world he’s got a deterrent” and that it was a distraction designed to ensure that the west was “talking about it rather than the lack of success they are having in Ukraine”. ......... There was a signal, from the Kremlin itself, on Monday that its statement was primarily a form of high stakes diplomacy. The Kremlin spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, said the decision came in response to various western warnings there could be “collisions and clashes between Nato and Russia”. He added: “I would not call the authors of these statements by name, although it was the British foreign minister.” ....... simple intimidation – “we can hurt you, and fighting us is dangerous” – and a reminder to the west, which is increasingly arming the Ukrainians, not to go too far. “It could be Russia is planning a brutal escalation in Ukraine and this is a ‘keep out’ warning to the west” .

Stocks fall, ruble dives as Russia sanctions hit world markets . The Russian ruble fell to fresh record lows on Monday while world stocks slid and oil prices jumped, as the West ramped up sanctions against Russia over its Ukraine invasion, with steps including blocking banks from the SWIFT global payments system. .

Russia faces financial meltdown as sanctions slam its economy . President Vladimir Putin was due to hold crisis talks with his top advisers after the ruble crashed to a record low against the US dollar, the Russian central bank more than doubled interest rates to 20%, and the Moscow stock exchange was shuttered for the day. ......... The European subsidiary of Russia's biggest bank was on the brink of collapse as savers rushed to withdraw their deposits. Economists warned that

the Russian economy could shrink by 5%.

........ The ruble lost about 20% of its value to trade at 100 to the dollar ....... The latest barrage of sanctions came Saturday, when the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom and Canada said they would expel some Russian banks from SWIFT, a global financial messaging service, and "paralyze" the assets of Russia's central bank. ........... "The ratcheting up of Western sanctions over the weekend has left Russian banks on the edge of crisis" ...... Putin's government has spent the past eight years preparing Russia for tough sanctions by building up a war chest of $630 billion in international reserves including currencies and gold, but at least some of that financial firepower is now frozen and his "fortress" economy is under unprecedented assault. ........... "Our strategy, to put it simply, is to make sure that the Russian economy goes backward as long as President Putin decides to go forward with his invasion of Ukraine" ....... about 40% of Russia's reserves are now off limits to Moscow. ........ "External conditions for the Russian economy have drastically changed," the Russian central bank said. "This is needed to support financial and price stability and protect the savings of citizens from depreciation," the bank added. .......... Russia is a leading exporter of oil and gas but many other sectors of its economy rely on imports. As the value of the ruble falls, they will become much more expensive to buy, pushing up inflation. ......... Putin was due to meet his prime minister, finance minister, the head of the Russian central bank and the head of Russia's top lender Sberbank to discuss "economic matters" ........ "For a long time, Russia has been methodically preparing for the event of possible sanctions, including the most severe sanctions we are currently facing," Peskov said. "So there are response plans, and they are being implemented now as problems arise." ....... the turmoil could lead to a run on Russian banks, as savers try to secure their deposits and hoard cash. ......... no G7 banks will be able to buy Russian rubles, sending the currency into free-fall, with the end result

we could see a huge inflationary shock unfold inside Russia

....... Sberbank (SBRCY) shares listed in London fell by nearly 70%. Other Russian companies with foreign listings were also hammered. Gas giant Gazprom (GZPFY) dropped 37% in London trading, while shares in internet service provider Yandex (YNDX) were poised to open down 20% in New York. ....... "The [Russian central bank] has this morning raised interest rates to 20% but other measures (e.g. limits on deposit withdrawals) are possible later today. All of this will accelerate Russia's economic downturn — a fall in GDP of [about] 5% now looks likely."
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Western companies head for the exit in Russia as sanctions tighten . BP to exit Rosneft stake worth $25 billion ...... Europe, Canada close airspace, Russia retaliates ........ Energy giant BP, global bank HSBC and the world's biggest aircraft leasing firm AerCap joined a growing list of companies looking to exit Russia on Monday, as Western sanctions tightened the screws on Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine. ...... and restricting Moscow's ability to use its $630 billion foreign reserves. ........ The rouble plunged as much as 30% to an all-time low, while the central bank doubled its key interest rate to 20%, kept stock markets and derivative markets closed and temporarily banned brokers from selling securities held by foreigners. ....... BP , Russia's biggest foreign investor, abruptly announced at the weekend it was abandoning its 20% stake in state-controlled Rosneft (ROSN.MM) at a cost of up to $25 billion, cutting the British firm's oil and gas reserves in half and production by a third. ........ Large parts of the Russian economy will be a no-go zone for Western banks and financial firms after the decision to cut off some of its banks from SWIFT, a secure messaging system used for trillions of dollars' worth of transactions around the world. ....... Shipping group Maersk (MAERSKb.CO) said it was considering suspending all container bookings in and out of Russia. ........ Russia said it was barring airlines from 36 countries from its airspace, including European nations and Canada which had earlier shut their airspace to Russian aircraft. U.S. officials said Washington was considering a similar move. ......... Leasing firms said they would terminate hundreds of aircraft leases with Russian airlines because of sanctions. Russia has 980 passenger jets in service, with 777 leased and 515 rented from foreign firms .

Legitimate Russian Grievances

There are legitimate Russian grievances. 

It was Boris Yeltsin who ended communist rule in the former Soviet Union and made Russia an independent country, not the United States or the West. The US takes too much credit. Yeltsin did right. But he disappointed in the subsequent years in power. 

Democracy did not deliver. But it was Putin who did not let the democracy delivery happen. Democracy was not allowed to take root. Putin is an autocrat by instinct. Putin is the reason there is no democracy in Russia. 

A country the size of Russia is and will continue to be a world power. That Russia will have a sphere of influence just makes sense. But that "influence" needs to respect the sovereignty of other countries, especially the small countries in the neighborhood. 

The Cold War ended and Russia lost. It is unrealistic for Putin to expect Russia to have the same stature as the former Soviet Union. Ends up even that stature was hollow. 

The logical thing to do was to accept the new reality and build the Russian economy. Putin instead is going in the other direction. He is hurting the Russian economy left and right. Italy is a bigger economy than Russia and Italy is not even that big. 

Russia's return to greatness will be through democracy, rule of law, and a free-market economy, and Putin stands in the way. 








I Am No American Mouthpiece On Ukraine

I am no American stooge. I am not in contact with anybody officially in power in the US. I am on US soil, but that only gives me perspectives that make me no fan of the American political system as it stands today. I think America teeters on the brink of both fascism and apartheid if that is possible, but one misguided hateful fool can turn an applecart upside down, and I will let Robert DeNiro take it from here.



Liberty asks for eternal vigilance. As in, you don't get it in inheritance. You could easily lose it from one generation to the next. And right now, America is busy losing it.

I don't think Ukraine or Russia should learn from the United States. I think the United States should see this as an opportunity to rejuvenate democracy inside America. This is your chance. Take it. Seize the moment. Support Ukraine in every way you can. Support the Russians in their streets. 

There is so much the US and the West and the rest of the world could do. Beam unfettered Internet down satellites all across the former Soviet Union. Get the Russian diaspora hyper-organized. Freeze the Kremlin criminal syndicate's assets everywhere. Organize a truckers' strike in Poland if necessary. 

Anything to get the Russians to come out into the streets in the hundreds of thousands. What Russia needs is a color revolution. There is a point at which Putin gives up. I think that is 500,000 people out in the streets of Moscow refusing to vacate. 

Find him a safe way to get to Belarus. 

America got rid of Trump. Russia's turn to get rid of Putin. 

Russia deserves to become a $5 trillion economy. I think a free trade area encompassing the former Soviet Union would be a great idea. A democratic Russia robustly trading with all its neighbors would make NATO irrelevant. I think Germany will enjoy spending less on defense. 

Russia will continue to be a global power.