Monday, August 17, 2015

Advantage Nitish?

भारतका २४० ट्रिलियन डॉलर वाला अर्थतंत्र बनने का फोर्मुला इजराइल के पास है
18% Growth Rate For Bihar?



Modi deserves 20 years in Delhi. Nitish deserves 20 years in Patna. That is where I stand.

अंग्रेजी में कहा जाता है, I don't seem to be able to wrap my head around this. बिहार में जो १८% आर्थिक वृद्धि दर है उसके बारे में मुझे वही कहना है।

एक हैं बिल गेट्स, दुनिया का सबसे धनवान व्यक्ति। और वो जीजान से गरीबों  सेवा में लगे हुवे हैं। लेकिन दुनिया के गरीबों के लिए जितना नीतिश कुमार कर सकते हैं उतना बिल गेट्स नहीं। खुद तो कर रहे हैं, दुनिया को सिखाते भी तो अच्छा होता।

जिसको मैं Global South कहता हुँ, आप Third World बोलते होंगे ----- उस सारे के सारे Global South को नीतिश कृपया सिखावें। कैसे १८% पहुंचा जा सकता है? Nitishism आखिर है क्या?

If Bihar polls were held now, Nitish-Lalu would trump BJP: Survey
The grand alliance of the Rashtriya Janata Dal and Janata Dal-United, which has been wooing OBC and Muslim voters, would bag 129 seats with a vote share of 43%. ....... The BJP, allied with Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) of Ram Vilas Paswan, Former chief minister Jitan Ram Manjhi’s Hindustan Awami Morcha -Secular (HAM-Secular) and Rashtriya Loktantrik Samata Party (RLSP) of Upenndra Prasad Kushwaha, would get 112 seats with a 32% vote share...... If elections were to be held today, the BJP would win 87 seats, Jitan Ram Manjhi’s group 16, the JD-U 99, and the RJD 24. Seven seats would go to others...... around 54% respondents felt Kumar should be given another chance to be chief minister, with 42% rooting for former deputy chief minister Modi. ...... Sixty-two percent of the respondents felt the BJP-JD-U alliance’s government was better than the government run exclusively by the JD-U. Kumar was far ahead of Manjhi when it came to his performance as the chief minister........ According to the opinion poll, the NDA is expected to lead in Bhojpur and Magadh regions because of Manjhi’s appeal, while the RJD-JD-U alliance along with Congress is likely to dominate Seemanchal, east Bihar and Mithilanchal......The survey suggested that the JD-U and its allies would get 57% of the vote share and the BJP and its allies 41%.


Saturday, August 15, 2015

Dalit Liberation का उपाय

संविधान मा अहिले सम्म भएका समझौता सहमति कार्यान्वयन हुनै पर्छ। मधेसी जनजाति ३०० वर्ष को विभेद भन्छन। दलित ३००० वर्ष को।  महिला ले चाहिँ १०,००० वर्ष भन्नु पर्ला। एक पटक प्रत्येक दलित लाई खोजी खोजी जग्गा र नागरिकता दिनुपर्ने हुन्छ। आरक्षण ले मात्र पुग्दैन। Reparation पनि चाहियो। अझ क्षमायाचना। देश को नाम मा प्रधान मंत्री अथवा राष्ट्रपति ले क्षमायाचना गरे हुन्छ। समानुपातिक समावेशी बारे सहमति भएका छन। तिन लाई लागु गर्दिन भन्ने कुरा आउँदैन। पाकेटमार ले पुलिस प्रशासन म मान्दिन भन्ने कुरा आउँछ?

तर यति सब गरे पछि दलित समुदाय ले सामूहिक रुपमा अम्बेडकर जुन निष्कर्ष मा पुगे त्यहाँ पुग्नु पर्छ। दलित को हिन्दु धर्म भित्र मुक्ति संभव नै छैन भन्दै उनी बुद्धिस्ट बने। क्रिश्चियन बन, मुसलमान बन, धर्म जेसुकै होस् --- तर ४० लाख दलित समस्त  सामुहिक धर्म परिवर्तन र last name परिवर्तन गर। बाजे हरुको mindset change हुने संभावना छैन। आफैले जिम्मेवारिबोध गर्ने। दलित मुक्ति को जिम्मेवारी बाजे हरु को होइन दलित को हो भन्दै सामुहिक धर्म परिवर्तन र last name परिवर्तन गर्ने अभियान चलाउने। अर्को उपाय छैन। खुद अम्बेडकर ले भनेको। म कुन डयांग को मुला परें?

मुसलमान बन्ने भए सलमान खान, शाहरुख़ खान, अमीर खान जस्ता नाम रोजी रोजी राख्न पाइयो। अझ इरफ़ान खान। युसुफ खान। दलित सलित गोली मार।



पाँचै माओवादी एकै ठाउँ हुँदै
कार्यक्रममा एमाओवादी अध्यक्ष प्रचण्ड, नेताहरु डा. बाबुराम भट्टराई, नारायणकाजी श्रेष्ठ ‘प्रकाश’, ड्यास माओवादी अध्यक्ष मोहन वैद्य र महासचिव रामबहादुर थापा ‘बादल’, नेकपा (माओवादी) अध्यक्ष मातृका यादव, नेकपा माओवादी महासचिव नेत्रविक्रम चन्द ‘विप्लव’ र क्रान्तिकारी कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी नेपालका महासचिव मणि थापा लगायतका नेताहरुको विशेष उपस्थिति र सहभागिता रहनेछ ।
चार दलका शीर्ष नेताहरु शितल निवासमा
रात्रि खाना सहितको राष्ट्रपतिको निम्तोमा प्रधानमन्त्री सुशील कोइराला, एमाले अध्यक्ष केपी शर्मा ओली, एमाओवादी अध्यक्ष पुष्पकमल दाहाल, संवाद समितिका सभापति बाबुराम भट्टराई र फोरम लोतान्त्रिकका अध्यक्ष विजय गच्छदार शितल निवास पुगेका हुन् ।


राजेश हमाल भन्छन्,‘...उसो भए हामी सबै दलित’
‘मलाई स्टार बनाउने काम मजदुर र गरिब कमजोर वर्गले गरेको हो ।’ ..... ‘त्यहाँ दलितमाथि मात्रै विभेद भएको थिएन, विभेद गर्नेहरु पनि कुसंस्कारबाट पीडित थिए,’ उनले भने ‘संकृण मानसिकताबाट समाज नै सिकार भएको छ ।’ .......

दलित हुनुको कारणका रुपमा प्राय: गरिबी, अशिक्ष र अज्ञानलाई देखाइन्छ । यी तीन पक्षलाई दलित हुनुको कारण मान्ने हो भने सबै नेपाली दलित भएको धारणा उनी राख्छन् ।

‘देश गरिब छ, मागेर पालिनु परेको छ, पहिचान गुमेको छ, पार्सपोर्ट पाउनुमा विभेद छ, शिक्षा, रोजगार सबैमा हाम्रो देश पछि छ,’ राजेशले हाँस्दै भने, ‘उसो भए हामी सबै दलित ।’ ...... राजेशको कुनै फिल्मको दलितको घरमा सुटिङ भइरहेको थियो । मानिसबाट टाढैबाट सुटिङ हेरिरहेका थिए, फोटो खिचिरहेका थिए । घरसम्म कोही आएका थिएनन् । अर्को दृश्य घरभित्रको थियो । राजेशसहित पूरै युनिट घरभित्र छिर्‍यो । त्यसपछि विस्तारै सुटिङ हेर्ने र फोटो खिच्नेहरु पनि घरभित्रै आए । ‘फोटो खिच्ने धुनमा दलितको घर भनि उनीहरुले बिर्सिए,’ राजेशले भने, ‘त्यो स्वार्थ होइन त ?’
दलित दृष्टिमा पुनःनिर्माण “प्रोजेक्ट” : न अधिकार, नत पहुँच नै !

Bihar Numbers






Friday, August 14, 2015

On Terrorism And Riots And Maoists And India

English: A police officer in riot gear at the ...
English: A police officer in riot gear at the London student protests, 9 December 2010 License on Flickr (2011-02-03): CC-BY-2.0 Flickr tags: riot, police, london, oxford street, protests, topshop (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Neither terrorism nor riots are strictly law and order problems. There are deep political, social, economic, religious, ideological undercurrents. But let's for one moment think of them as pure law and order problems.

You can't send an army battalion to go counter terrorists. Terrorists fight an asymmetrical war. Intelligence is way more important than weapons. Nabbing a terrorist and collecting information is valuable. Information sharing across agencies and across countries is valuable. But once in a while, you do have to physically fight them. And there you need a few super well trained soldiers. It is a war of asymmetry. Many rules get broken.

Riots are at the other end. They happen out in the open. They are large scale. They are mob behavior. It is true nefarious characters can incite them and get mileage out of them. But it is possible to contain them. There ought be a national alert system. If certain preconditions are met, the alarm should go off, like a fire alarm. As in, we think this situation is fast developing and could become a riot. Sending in especially trained riot police on the ground as fast as possible might be a big help. Tear gas and curfews could be useful. A rapid, large scale mobilization of security personnel could douse the fire. And once the emotions are contained in a few hours or a day or two, then you have done your job. This national alert system would be key. It is possible for India to go riot-free.

The underlying political, social, economic, religious, ideological undercurrents need to be tackled during normal times on an ongoing basis. But when a riot is about to happen, it ought be tackled as strictly a law and order problem that can be resolved.

Israelis proved you can actually nab suicide bombers before they strike. You can infiltrate their organizations. Similarly, riots are like the flu hitting a population. It is said Google can predict flu outbreaks before anyone else. People start searching for flu symptoms.

Telltale signs of riots should be collected. There should be a mechanism to do that. And security personnel should move in in large numbers before the storm has had a chance to break into showers.

A third problem is Maoist violence. Measured in proportion, that problem was much, much bigger in Nepal. At their peak the Maoists of Nepal controlled 80% of Nepal's territory. But Nepal has proven the Maoist problem can be solved. The trick is to think of it as primarily a political problem.

The thing about riots is, do we think of pickpockets and burglars as people who will only respond to change of heart, or do we train the police to nab them? We train the police to nab them. Similarly, riots are escalated by some anti-social elements who have to be thought of as pickpockets and burglars. Rioters don't speak for this and that religion any more than terrorists do. They are simply negative forces that need to be countered. Localized and countered, apprehended and put away.

Rioting is a crime like burglary, and the security forces need to step in.

Bihar Leads Nation