Showing posts with label Ohio. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ohio. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

The Redistricting Menace

In 1996, House Democrats also won the popular vote but remained in the minority (kind of)
Democratic House candidates appear to have won more of the popular vote than their Republican counterparts on Tuesday, despite what looks as though it will be a 33- or 35-seat GOP majority. .... Democrats have won roughly 49 percent of the House vote, compared to 48.2 percent for Republicans. ..... Despite losing the popular vote, Republicans are set to have their second-biggest House majority in 60 years and their third-biggest since the Great Depression. ..... Redistricting drew such a GOP-friendly map that, in a neutral environment, Republicans have an inherent advantage. ..... Republicans were clearly favored in 195 House districts, compared to Democrats being favored in 166. Some of this is because Democratic voters are more concentrated in urban areas, but it’s also because the GOP drew some very favorable redistricting maps in important states like North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania. ..... Republicans were clearly favored in 195 House districts, compared to Democrats being favored in 166. Some of this is because Democratic voters are more concentrated in urban areas, but it’s also because the GOP drew some very favorable redistricting maps in important states like North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
How redistricting leads to a more partisan Congress — in two charts
89 of 435 congressional districts performed between 46 percent and 54 percent for each major political party in recent years. In other words, those were the real swing districts. ...... under the new congressional map created by redistricting — the districts where candidates are currently campaigning for seats in the next Congress — there are just 74 districts that fit that “swing district” bill. ..... 83 percent of congressional districts now clearly favor either Republicans or Democrats..... Redistricting is handled by the state legislatures in the vast majority of states — which leads lawmakers to draw safe districts for incumbents or, at least, draw districts that their party will be able to win. ..... There is an emerging movement to put that power in the hands of nonpartisan redistricting commissions.
Republicans, beaten and angry, disagree on what to do next
For many voters in broad swaths of the country — throughout California and elsewhere along the Pacific Coast, across the Northeast and the mid-Atlantic states — the Republican brand is poison. ...... "If we're going to be anything but a regional, middle-aged white-man party, we have to do the obvious thing, which is, first, accept the reality that America is a diverse nation and we need to start selling to those people," Weaver said. "There is climate change. Accept that. There are gay people in our midst, marrying one another. Get over it.... The government isn't going to deport 15 million [illegal immigrants], and they're not going to deport themselves."
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Wednesday, November 07, 2012

What Swing States?

Official photographic portrait of US President...
Official photographic portrait of US President Barack Obama (born 4 August 1961; assumed office 20 January 2009) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Looks like Barack swept them all, almost all.

All that talk about it all boiling down to Ohio: Barack Obama won before Ohio revealed its colors.

Looks like Florida is still counting -- it is secretly hoping to again become the center of attention like in 2000. Sorry, Florida, the results are out, sorry to put it bluntly, but you don't matter, bring the results in. Hurry.

I think Florida will show up blue.

I am looking at the map, and I see only North Carolina going the other way. But then that was not a swing state in my book.

Look what I said: Romney Can Have North Carolina but I am taking every other so called swing state on behalf of Barack Obama. That is what happened.

I Told You So: 303 And Counting
First Year: Immigration Reform
Four More Years
Oh Twitter, Why Would You Do This?
Whoever Wins California Will Win
A Clean Victory
My Man Obama Is Winning
Go Vote For Mitt Romney
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Tuesday, November 06, 2012

A Clean Victory

It will be a clean victory, easily over 300 electoral votes.

My Man Obama Is Winning
Go Vote For Mitt Romney
Obama Will Cross 300 Electoral Votes
Ohio Is Solid Obama

The Obama landslide scenario
This creates the possibility of a sizable victory for Obama. Currently, he’s favored in all of Romney’s phase two states. If he wins all of these states – Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania – he will have 281 electoral votes. The more he then eats into Romney’s phase one states, the higher that number will climb. Win Colorado, and Obama would be at 290. Add Virginia and he’ll be at 303. Throw in Florida and he’s at 332. And if he could somehow grab North Carolina too, he’d be at 347 – not far off the 365 he secured four years ago...... the term “landslide” is relative; if Obama were to win, say, 332 electoral votes and beat Romney by 2 points nationally, it wouldn’t exactly measure up to the Reagan ’84, Nixon ’72 and Johnson ’64 triumphs. ...... a 2- or 3-point national win with well over 300 electoral votes would feel a lot like a landslide – the kind of unexpectedly strong performance that the political world might even regard as a mandate.
Prediction: Obama 347
Gallup Poll: Obama’s gaining
According to the poll, Romney is leading Obama 49-48 percent among national likely voters, within the margin of error. In the last poll, before Hurricane Sandy, Romney was leading 51 -46 percent.
Romney 49%, Obama 48% in Gallup's Final Election Survey
Romney holds a 10-percentage point lead among men, 53% to 43%, while Obama is winning by nearly the same margin, 52% to 44%, among women. The two are roughly tied among independents -- 46% favor Obama and 45% Romney. Each candidate has the strong support of his own party, with 96% of Republicans backing Romney and 93% of Democrats supporting Obama........ Current voting preferences mark a return to the status of the race from Oct. 1-7, when Obama and Romney were tied at 48% among likely voters. After that, Romney moved ahead in mid-October during the presidential debate period, holding a three- to five-point lead in Gallup Daily tracking shortly before superstorm Sandy devastated many areas on the East Coast Oct. 29-30. Romney's and Obama's current close positioning in the Nov. 1-4 poll was measured as the Northeast continued to recover from superstorm Sandy, and after Obama's highly visible visit to the region. ....... Between Oct. 22-28 and Nov. 1-4, voter support for Obama increased by six points in the East, to 58% from 52%, while it held largely steady in the three other regions. This provides further support for the possibility that Obama's support grew as a result of his response to the storm. ..... Obama's overall job approval rating is 49% among likely voters, and 52% among all national adults in the Nov. 1-4 poll. Historically, presidents with a job approval rating above 50% in Gallup polling prior to an election have won their bids for a second term
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Saturday, November 03, 2012

Obama Will Cross 300 Electoral Votes

Romnesia Added To Medical Dictionaries
Bill Clinton Has Been Super
Mitt Romney Is A Pathological Liar

That is my prediction. O is crossing 300.

Des Moines Register poll: Obama up 47-42
he bests Romney considerably in four of five character traits tested .... An NBC/Marist poll found Obama beating Romney 50-44. There are some interesting numbers deeper in the Des Moines poll. ...... the percentage of likely voters who cast their ballots early this year was 42 percent, including more than half of seniors who plan to vote ..... among the early voters, Obama is up 22 points, the poll found
Ohioans line up for early voting in the battleground state
Cleveland - Democrats fought all the way to the U.S. Supreme Court and won to keep Ohio polls open to all voters this weekend, and they were making the most of it in this Democratic stronghold Saturday. ...... And then there was Stevie Wonder, who showed up for an unannounced concert for about 100 spectators a few blocks away at Cleveland State University, before stopping by the polling place in a black SUV to the gasps of waiting voters. ....... Public polls in Ohio show President Obama holds a wide lead over Mitt Romney among voters who have voted since polls opened to early voters Oct. 2. ...... particularly Sunday when buses will roll straight from church services to the polls. ...... black voters — who overwhelmingly favor Obama — used early in-person voting at approximately 26 times the rate of white voters. ..... a steady stream of celebrities who were to discreetly visit the early-voting center this weekend, including Will.I.Am, Vivica A. Fox and John Legend ...... In 2008, Obama won Ohio in part by driving up Democratic turnout in counties that were still won by Sen. John McCain. In Allen, for instance, Obama got 3,000 more votes than Sen. John F. Kerry did four years earlier, in a county where 50,000 people voted
In final weekend before Election Day, Bill Clinton barnstorms Va. to get out vote for Obama
AP analysis of current electoral map in presidential race
Obama fires up Wisconsin crowd with help from Katy Perry
Nevada moves to “lean Obama”
With Nevada now leaning toward Obama, the President has 243 electoral votes leaning or solidly on his side while Romney has 206 electoral votes solid or leaning his way. Seven states — with 89 electoral votes — are in the “tossup” category.
Rupert Murdoch: Chris Christie Must 'Re-Declare' For Mitt Romney 'Or Take Blame'
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Thursday, November 01, 2012

Final Push

Dick Morris: Romney will win in a 'landslide'
Analysis: Why Both Romney and Obama Campaigns Say They're Winning
Axelrod characterized the momentum the Romney campaign has been projecting as "faux-mentum" and said there was a "growing recognition on the other side that Ohio is fading away." ..... Even so, both sides can agree on this: Ohio is where this race will be won or lost. And, because the race is likely to be so close, the loser will be able to argue that difference between the ultimate result and their own polling was within the margin of error.
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