Barackface

Friday, June 26, 2015

Long Live The Roti?

हिन्दी: देश के उप राष्ट्रपति मोहम्मद हामिद अंसारी पटना में पूर्व मुख्यमंत्री सत्येन्द्र नारायण सिन्हा(छोटे साहब) की 94वीं जयंती पर आयोजित व्याख्यानमाला श्रंखला पर पूर्व सांसद किशोरी सिन्हा और मुख्यमंत्री नीतीश कुमार के साथ (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Bihar: BJP’s Mission 185 under threat as allies fight over seat sharing

The top leadership of the party is taken by surprise by the aggression being displayed by junior NDA allies with only marginal presence in the state. They have stopped being docile and it does not augur well for the BJP which is caught in its own low intensity conflicts over leadership. Poor handling of the situation could rip apart the umbrella alliance of caste-based outfits, rendering the NDA weak against the combined might of Lalu Prasad and Nitish Kumar........ As if offering himself as the NDA’s chief minister candidate was not enough, Upendra Kushwaha, leader of the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party (RLSP), has even come up with a formula for distribution seats among the allies. As per his formula, BJP should contest on 102 seats—the number of seats it had been spared by the JD(U) while both were parts of the NDA, 74 seats should be allotted to the LJP whereas the remaining 67 seats should go to his party. He even suggested that all the three partners should spare seats in a proportionate way in case Jitan Ram Manjhi becomes parts of the NDA. .... Kushwaha, a creation of Nitish Kumar ..... the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) headed by Union minister Ram Vilas Paswan too is trying to extract its pound of flesh from the BJP. The party with no legislator in the Bihar assembly has announced that it would oppose five candidates from Manjhi’s party ....... LJP, which corners five percent of votes on an average, is scared that Manjhi may emerge as a taller Dalit leader than him. Manjhi represents some 23 percent of Mahadalit population comprising 23 sub-castes of Dalits but he too remains to be tested as his newly-formed Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM) is yet to join any election. Manjhi formed the HAM shortly after his rebellion against Nitish in February this year. ...... Right now Manjhi and Paswan, two coalition partners of the BJP, are now engaged in bitter verbal duels on the streets much to the merriment of the grand secular alliance. While the LJP has declared to oppose HAM candidates, Manjhi has dared Paswan to do that ....... Past records show that the BJP has grown up in Bihar more due to bitter rivalries among various splinter groups of the Janata family than its own strength. The party, which enjoys its support primarily among the upper castes and the Bania community, banked on the support of either Samata Party, the Janata Dal (United) or the LJP for its success. This is the first time in 20 years that it will be facing a united Janata family comprising Nitish and Lalu with the Congress and the NCP on their side.

Infographic: Here's how much our MPs lunch is subsidised

items like 'puri sabji' being sold at 88 percent subsidised rates

India: Is The Private Sector Being A Drag?

Share of financial sector in gross domestic product 1860 to 2006 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

मोदी तो अपना काम कर रहे हैं। ढेर सारा FDI देश में ला रहे हैं। Infrastructure का काम तेजी से हो रहा है। प्राइवेट सेक्टर को क्या चाहिए?

Simplified Land Acquisition बहुत जरुरी है।
Hiring and Firing should be a simple process. Entrepreneurship is not a government job scheme.
FDI चाहिए और बहुत चाहिए।
भारत के financial markets में तो कोइ त्रुटि नहीं? मेरेको उतना knowledge नहीं। मैं सिर्फ पुछ रहा हुँ।
You need a well educated and healthy population. वो प्राइवेट सेक्टर की जिम्मेवारी नहीं।

तो लैंड acquisition के बात पर तो विपक्ष वाले टांग अड़ाए हुवे हैं। उसी तरह labor mobility पर भी तो। उसके अलावे मेरी instincts कह रही है कुछ fundamental financial sector reforms की जरुरत हो सकती है। Bad loans are a bad idea. Corrupt governments tend to accumulate a lot of them. Big banks with lots and lots of bad loans accumulated through crony capitalism tend to be a major drag on the economy overall. The policy framework should encourage the create of small, agile, numerous financial institutions. Maybe there are banks that are too big and should be broken up into smaller pieces through policy initiatives. Market competitiveness has to be maintained in the financial sector, and that is the government's responsibility.

But I have been impressed with people like Adani and Ambani being able to tap into the global financial markets for some pretty large scale cheap loans. Bond markets में आप को ५% पर बिलियन के बिलियन डॉलर मिल जाते हैं। वो तो सस्ता हुवा। And unless you have a healthy company you can't get those loans. So they must be maintaining strong fundamentals inside their corporate environments.

और कुछ फैक्टर्स हैं जो काबु के बाहर होते हैं ------ जैसे कि oil prices या फिर मॉनसून।

Bankruptcy laws भी कैसे हैं? It should be easy to launch companies, it should be easy to run companies, and it should be easy to bury companies. कि मैंने प्रयास किया लेकिन नहीं हुवा। When your company goes bankrupt, after that you don't owe anyone anything. And that is fundamental to capitalism. The number one aspect of the Silicon Valley culture is that there failure is celebrated.

Private sector को किस किस्मका policy reforms चाहिए ओ तो private sector को आगे आ के कहना होगा। किस किस्मका policy framework चाहिए। Entrepreneurs create jobs, they should be part of the policy making conversation. They should have a seat at the table. They should not have the only seat at the table. But their not having a seat at the table also is a problem.

Why Economists See PM Modi's Second Year as More Challenging

Domestic companies have posted disappointing earnings for the March quarter that does not match the upbeat headline GDP figure. Industrial production is at five-month low, exports are declining for five months in a row and bank credit offtake remains at two-decade lows.

नीतिश और लालु को अनुशासन दिखानी होगी

First President of India Deshratna Dr Rajendra Prasad,Prime Minister Pandit Jawahar Lal Nehru & Bihar Deputy Chief Minister Dr Anugrah Narayan Sinha at Anugrah babu's residence in Patna(Bihar) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

(Sitting L to R)Rajendra Prasad and Anugrah Narayan Sinha during Mahatama Gandhi's 1917 Champaran Satyagraha (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

English: Bihar Districts (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

"उड़ती चिड़िया को हल्दी लगाती है बिहार का वोटर!"
---- श्री लालु प्रसाद यादव

नीतिश और लालु को अनुशासन दिखानी होगी। अभी देश में सिर्फ thoughtful Opposition के लिए जगह है। जब तक देश में गरीबी है। नहीं तो मैं चाहुँगा मोदी को राज्य सभा में भी बहुमत मिल जाए।

३०-७० पर थे दोनों जब झगड़ रहे थे। झगड़ा खत्म हुवा तो ४५-५५ पर आए। Bihar@2025 कहा तो ५५-४५ पर आए। बीजेपी कैम्प में झगड़ा शुरू हुवा तो इनका पलड़ा भारी पड़ा, ये ६५-३५ पर पहुँच गए। लेकिन अभी समय है, बीजेपी वाले वो झगड़ा सुलह कर लेते हैं और जितन और पप्पु को भी साथ ले लेते हैं तो फिर ५५-४५ पर शायद आ जाएँ।

Bihar@2025 is key. वो मैसेज जितना बुलन्द रहेगा नीतिश की स्थिति उतनी ही मजबुत है।

लेकिन ग्रोथ रेट को hurt करने वाला कोइ काम ना करें। गरीबी को कब तक कायम रखे रहिएगा?

भारतको १५% ग्रोथ रेट चाहिए

भारतको १५% ग्रोथ रेट चाहिए और ये काम है मोदीका। ये चीनके डेंग स्याउ पिंग और सिंगापुर के ली कुऑन यु टु इन वन हैं। सारे दुनिया की नजर है इन पर। सारी की सारी अफ्रिकी महादेश गौर से देख रही है। जापान देख रहा है। अमरिका देख रही है। चीन देख रहा है।

मान लो ये हमारे मोदीजी योग करते रहते हैं और सेहत बनाए रखते हैं और २० साल राज करते हैं। १०% तक पहुँचने में इनको अभी शायद दो साल और लगे। १०% पर पहुँचे तो re-election की गारण्टी हो गयी। १० से १५ तक पहुँचने में अगर ५ साल लग जाए तो वो कम है, यानि की magical है। १५% से ज्यादा जाना बहुत कठिन है। असंभव नहीं लेकिन बहुत ही कठिन है। लेकिन १५ तक ले गए और उसके बाद १५ पर मेन्टेन किए रहे, वही एक वर्ल्ड रेकॉर्ड हो जाएगा।

२०१४ में ६%
२०१५ में ७.५%
२०१७ में १०%
२०२२ में १५%
२०३४ तक १५%

अभी अमरिका है १७ ट्रिलियन पर। अगर वो ३% के रेट पर आगे बढ़ता है तो उसको ३४ ट्रिलियन तक पहुँचने में २५ साल लगभग लग जाएंगे। भारत है २ ट्रिलियन पर। २०२१ तक औसत १०% से आगे बढ़ा तो २०२१ में ४ ट्रिलियन। उसके बाद १५% पर आगे बढ़ा तो २०२६ में ८ ट्रिलियन, २०३१ में १६ ट्रिलियन। २०३६ में ३२ ट्रिलियन। हो गयी अमरिका के साथ parity ----- लेकिन वो तो सिर्फ GDP parity हुइ --- बात उसकी नहीं बात प्रति व्यक्ति आय की है।

भारतको २०५० तक नॉन स्टॉप १५% कायम रखना होगा। संभव है। मोदी को एक राजनीतिक धर्म पुत्र की जरुरत पड़ेगी। २०३४ के बाद बागडोर सम्हाल्ने के लिए।

India Agenda: 100 World Class Universities
१५% Growth Rake कैसे Achieve करें
मोदी और सौर्य उर्जा
A Genuine World Government
मोदी, नीतिश, नेपाल, नेपालके मधेसी और मैं
दिल्लीमा सम्मेलन गरेको भए ६ बिलियन आउँथ्यो
४% १०% १५%
१५% और १०% में फर्क
All Of Bihar Is One Big City
Bihar@2025
India: A 15% Growth Rate Is Possible

६ से ७.५% तक पहुँचे creative accounting से
जेटली जी का जो GST Bill है वो लागु कर दो तो २% add हो जाता है -- हुवा ९.५%
सौर्य ऊर्जा से १०० गीगावाट बिजली पैदा करो तो १% add हो जाता है --- हुवा १०.५%
सौर्य ऊर्जा से और ५०० गीगावाट बिजली पैदा करो तो ३% add हो जाता है --- हुवा १३.५%
बिहार को २०% पर आगे बढ़ने के लिए बोलो तो १% और आ जाता है ---- हुवा १४.५%

बाँकी का ०.५% का व्यवस्था खुद कर लो। मेरा क्युँ दिमाग खाए जा रहे हो?

प्रत्येक १००,००० किलोमीटर सड़क बनाने से १% add हो जाती है।
भारत और पाकिस्तान के बीच सम्बन्ध normalization हो जाए तो उससे १% add हो जाती है।
सौर्य ऊर्जा से बिजली का उत्पादन बढ़ा के १००० गीगावाट पर ले जाओ तो ३% और add हो जाती है।
प्रत्येक भारतीय टॉयलेट का प्रयोग करे तो बीमारियाँ कम फैलेंगे और पैसे की बचत होगी, इस कदम से १% add हो जाती है।
देश को १००% high school graduates और ५०% college graduates का देश बना दो तो उससे ३ से ५% का फायदा है।
भारतीयों के पास जितना सोना है सबको बैंकिंग सिस्टम में लाओ तो उससे २ से ३% add हो जाती है। काला धन की बात करो, लेकिन देश के भितर'रहे सुनहरा धन की बात ज्यादा करो।
अफ्रिका के साथ trade बढ़ाओ, अमरिका, युरोप, चीन, सब जगह। २-३% तो वहाँ भी है।
प्रत्येक भारतीय को ब्रॉडबैंड से कनेक्ट कर दो ----- २% तो उसी से आ जाएगा।

हम तो माँग रहे थे १५ लेकिन लगता है मिलेगा २०!

Clean/Green Energy अहं महत्त्व रखती है --- ये न कि १०% पार किए लेकिन फेंफड़े सुख गए।

Ye Racism Hai

Children from a village in Bihar, India. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The Economist's Coverage Of Modi Anniversary: Poor

Look at this article in The Washington Post, a respectable, mainstream, top circulation newspaper in America.

The title itself is a put down. It is not a choice between water/power and 100 smart cities. Indians deserve both and will get both. These are people who can't India achieving First World status.

The Washington Post: India wants to build 100 ‘smart cities.’ Residents just want water and power.

१५% Growth Rake कैसे Achieve करें
मोदी और सौर्य उर्जा
A Genuine World Government
Bihar@2025 = $240 Billion
४% १०% १५%
१५% और १०% में फर्क

Lalit Modi Who?

English: Image of Narendra Modi at the World Economic Forum in India (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

My first thought was, if you are attacking both Sushma Swaraj and Vijayaraje Scindia at the same time, it has got to be a sexist attack. And if the attacks are coming from both inside the party and outside, then confirmed, this is a sexist attack.

Then they drag Narendra Modi in. That is how media gathers eyeballs. You build someone up. Then you break them down. You get eyeballs both ways.

I don't have time to be reading sludge. This is going to be the first article I read on the topic.

Return of the scandals: Where does PM Narendra Modi go from here?

No one quite expected the country to transform suddenly and shake off the legacy of the past. But there was a widespread expectation that since Modi was 'clean' and 'strong' - as opposed to Manmohan Singh who was 'clean' but 'weak', the government would remain clean. This is what the PM capitalised on when he said the absence of scams was a sign 'ache din' had arrived during the first anniversary celebrations. ....... Irrespective of the rhetoric, both Congress and BJP have been closely enmeshed with capital. Democratic politics as we practice, needs money. Elections are expensive business. Politicians accumulate wealth which they invest in businesses, or outsource to certain businessmen to manage. Businessmen hope they have backed the right horses and when the time comes, they can reap rewards for their investment. This is not specific to India, but has been an established fact across the world. Quid pro quo exists. ......... The question is if political systems are able to institute a degree of transparency (for instance, make public all the funding that is received or have state funding for parties in elections); regulation (for instance, restrict the amount of funding; keep close track of transactions; legalise lobbying); reduce the extent of discretionary decision making in government; and have strong avoidance of conflict of interest laws..........To give credit where its due, the Modi sarkar has recognised that it is in natural resource allocation that discretion and crony capitalism is most acute - they have made an effort to correct this partly through cleaner spectrum and coal allocations. But there are a range of other sectors where discretion is rampant. Cricket is an obvious example where a deeply unhealthy relationship exists between politics as money and glamour - the PM himself is a part of this nexus as a former president of the Gujarat Cricket Association. The line between encouraging a business friendly environment (a stated goal of this government) and between encouraging select, friendly businessmen is a thin one. And BJP, like its predecessors, under the garb of the former, does not shy away from doing the latter.

Narendra Modi goes from 7.5% to 10% --- that is where.

So I read the article. I still don't know what the accusation is. Time waste kar diya.

America Is Now Gay Marriage Country

Crowd in support of Gay Marriage (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Nepal became a gay marriage country years ago.

As in earlier civil rights cases, the Supreme Court had moved cautiously and methodically, laying careful judicial groundwork for a transformative decision.

This is the biggest civil rights victory I have seen in America in my lifetime. This is truly historic.

The U.S. just joined a league of 21 countries in which gay marriage is legal

Gay marriage was approved by the legislature in The Netherlands in 2000, making it the first country in the world to do so.

The Supreme Court just did Republicans a huge favor on gay marriage

"Marriage between a man and a woman was established by God, and no earthly court can alter that," said Bobby Jindal -- and the careful line-walking -- "I believe in traditional marriage. ... I also believe that we should love our neighbor and respect others, including those making lifetime commitments," said Jeb Bush..... The I disagree but it's the law of the land line is difficult to argue against; it's the line most establishment Republican candidates now use when abortion is brought up as an issue in a Republican primary.

Next stop: Guns. You need a mirror image organization to the NRA. A regimented organization, perhaps of moms who lost sons to guns. Getting organized is key.

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Friday, June 26, 2015

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