As of May 11, 2025, the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, announced on May 10, 2025, appears to be holding, though it remains fragile following mutual accusations of violations shortly after the agreement. The ceasefire was brokered through U.S.-led diplomacy, with involvement from multiple countries, to halt four days of intense cross-border strikes—the worst in decades—sparked by a terrorist attack in Pahalgam, Indian-administered Kashmir, on April 22, 2025, which killed 27 people.
- Ceasefire Agreement: On May 10, 2025, at 5:00 PM IST (11:30 GMT), India and Pakistan agreed to an immediate cessation of all military actions, including firing on land, air, and sea, following talks between their Directors General of Military Operations (DGMOs). The agreement was confirmed by Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri and Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, with further DGMOs talks scheduled for May 12, 2025.
- Initial Violations: Hours after the announcement, both sides accused each other of breaching the truce. India reported Pakistani shelling and drone activity along the Line of Control (LoC) and International Border (IB), particularly in Jammu, Akhnoor, and Srinagar, with explosions heard in these areas. Pakistan denied initiating violations, claiming India was responsible for breaches in some sectors. Both countries reported their forces responded to the alleged violations.
- Current Stability: By the night of May 10 into May 11, no further ceasefire violations were reported along the LoC in Kashmir after 11:00 PM on May 10, indicating a tentative calm. Residents in the Kashmir Valley noted a return to normalcy, with no sounds of aircraft, missiles, or drones overnight. However, displaced locals remain cautious about returning to border areas, and both nations maintain high military alertness.
- Ongoing Tensions: Despite the ceasefire, underlying tensions persist. India accuses Pakistan of supporting terrorism, particularly linked to the Pahalgam attack, while Pakistan denies involvement and calls for international inquiries. Punitive measures, such as India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty, trade bans, and visa cancellations, remain in place, signaling unresolved diplomatic friction.
- International Response: Global leaders, including U.S. President Donald Trump, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, have welcomed the ceasefire, urging both sides to ensure it endures. The U.S. claims a significant role in mediation, though India downplays external involvement, emphasizing bilateral agreement.
As a military kid, I don't speculate publicly on war. Besides a few, absolutely no one has all the information that's both correct and timely. I will however say a few things that I've learned in conversations over the last few days with some of the people who are in the know and…
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