Showing posts with label munir. Show all posts
Showing posts with label munir. Show all posts

Sunday, May 11, 2025

India Pakistan Ceasefire Violations



As of May 11, 2025, the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, announced on May 10, 2025, appears to be holding, though it remains fragile following mutual accusations of violations shortly after the agreement. The ceasefire was brokered through U.S.-led diplomacy, with involvement from multiple countries, to halt four days of intense cross-border strikes—the worst in decades—sparked by a terrorist attack in Pahalgam, Indian-administered Kashmir, on April 22, 2025, which killed 27 people.

Key Points on the Current Status:
  • Ceasefire Agreement: On May 10, 2025, at 5:00 PM IST (11:30 GMT), India and Pakistan agreed to an immediate cessation of all military actions, including firing on land, air, and sea, following talks between their Directors General of Military Operations (DGMOs). The agreement was confirmed by Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri and Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar, with further DGMOs talks scheduled for May 12, 2025.
  • Initial Violations: Hours after the announcement, both sides accused each other of breaching the truce. India reported Pakistani shelling and drone activity along the Line of Control (LoC) and International Border (IB), particularly in Jammu, Akhnoor, and Srinagar, with explosions heard in these areas. Pakistan denied initiating violations, claiming India was responsible for breaches in some sectors. Both countries reported their forces responded to the alleged violations.
  • Current Stability: By the night of May 10 into May 11, no further ceasefire violations were reported along the LoC in Kashmir after 11:00 PM on May 10, indicating a tentative calm. Residents in the Kashmir Valley noted a return to normalcy, with no sounds of aircraft, missiles, or drones overnight. However, displaced locals remain cautious about returning to border areas, and both nations maintain high military alertness.
  • Ongoing Tensions: Despite the ceasefire, underlying tensions persist. India accuses Pakistan of supporting terrorism, particularly linked to the Pahalgam attack, while Pakistan denies involvement and calls for international inquiries. Punitive measures, such as India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty, trade bans, and visa cancellations, remain in place, signaling unresolved diplomatic friction.
  • International Response: Global leaders, including U.S. President Donald Trump, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, have welcomed the ceasefire, urging both sides to ensure it endures. The U.S. claims a significant role in mediation, though India downplays external involvement, emphasizing bilateral agreement.
Critical Perspective:
While the ceasefire has paused active hostilities, its fragility is evident from the rapid accusations of violations and the lack of progress on broader issues like Kashmir or terrorism. The involvement of external mediators, particularly the U.S., may have pressured both sides to de-escalate, but India’s reluctance to acknowledge foreign mediation and Pakistan’s call for international involvement highlight differing strategic goals. The continued suspension of critical agreements like the Indus Waters Treaty and the high state of military readiness suggest that the ceasefire is a temporary measure rather than a step toward lasting peace. Without addressing root causes, such as the Kashmir dispute or cross-border terrorism allegations, the risk of renewed escalation remains high.
For the latest developments, monitoring official statements from both governments or credible news sources is advisable, as the situation could evolve rapidly.