Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Two Possible Kashmir Fallouts

After the scrapping of Article 370, two developments can be expected.

One, the parties that used to take turns ruling Kashmir can be expected to go to the Supreme Court to challenge the decision.

Two, some of the terrorist organizations inside Pakistan, with full support from the army and the ISI, might engineer an attack inside India, the larger the better. It is for the Indian state to foil any such move. At least there is a forewarning. This is going to be politically expensive for Pakistan. It is no longer denying that it backs terrorist organizations. It is now hinting it will instigate attacks inside India through terrorist organizations.

"We will go to any extent," said Imran Khan. What is that supposed to mean?

It is highly possible the Supreme Court will side with the Modi government decision. But such a move by Abdullah and/or Mufti would be a welcome venting. Let out the steam. Media coverage of the legal move should allow for the peaceful airing of views from both sides. That would be welcome.

The possible terrorist attack has to be prevented. That is a serious intelligence and hardware challenge. The traditional war has been stalemated by nuclear weapons, but the asymmetric war goes on.

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