Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Obama's Victory Speech Reminded Me Of 2007


It was an emotional moment for me.

An Argument For Direct Elections

Get rid of the electoral vote.

I Was Going To Say 330

November 4: Barack Obama elected President
November 4: Barack Obama elected President (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
For real.

When I said over 300 I really wanted to say 330. But I ended up saying over 300.

332 it is.

Phew.

I Told You So: 303 And Counting
Obama Will Cross 300 Electoral Votes

The 330 figure was based on this assertion: Romney Can Have North Carolina. I was not buying that this was a close election.



Barack Obama has won the American presidential election, gaining an expected 332 electoral-college votes to Mitt Romney’s 206, and taking about 50% of the popular vote to the Republican’s 48%.
Almost two million more votes is not close. Not in my book.

Looks like Barack Obama lost Indiana and North Carolina. Damn you, Mr. President!
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What Swing States?

Official photographic portrait of US President...
Official photographic portrait of US President Barack Obama (born 4 August 1961; assumed office 20 January 2009) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Looks like Barack swept them all, almost all.

All that talk about it all boiling down to Ohio: Barack Obama won before Ohio revealed its colors.

Looks like Florida is still counting -- it is secretly hoping to again become the center of attention like in 2000. Sorry, Florida, the results are out, sorry to put it bluntly, but you don't matter, bring the results in. Hurry.

I think Florida will show up blue.

I am looking at the map, and I see only North Carolina going the other way. But then that was not a swing state in my book.

Look what I said: Romney Can Have North Carolina but I am taking every other so called swing state on behalf of Barack Obama. That is what happened.


I Told You So: 303 And Counting
First Year: Immigration Reform
Four More Years
Oh Twitter, Why Would You Do This?
Whoever Wins California Will Win
A Clean Victory
My Man Obama Is Winning
Go Vote For Mitt Romney
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I Told You So: 303 And Counting

I wasn't the only one, but I told you so: Obama Will Cross 300 Electoral Votes.

Obama’s second term: Not hope, but lots of change
The Affordable Care Act — the single most significant bill of Obama’s first term .... The Dodd-Frank financial reforms .... Tax increases are law. The Bush tax cuts are expiring at the end of the year ...... On their own, passing and implementing any of these laws would be a huge achievement for a presidency. The three of them together are a record and pace of domestic change unmatched by any recent administration. But they were an odd sort of change: Change that wouldn’t happen until — and arguably unless — Obama secured a second term. Tonight, he did that. ...... Obama, whose inspiring oratory launched him to the White House and whose grind-it-out, insider-game approach to working with Congress disappointed his fans. But it worked. .... while in 2008, his election was a vote for hope, in 2012, his reelection carries a guarantee of change.

First Year: Immigration Reform

On par with health care reform and Wall Street reform. It has to happen in 2013.

This is important.

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Four More Years



The most retweeted tweet of all time.

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Oh Twitter, Why Would You Do This?


Whoever Wins California Will Win

Image representing YouTube as depicted in Crun...
Image via CrunchBase
That is the funniest tweet I read so far tonight. And I am retweeting it as a blog post title. Blogger says I misspelt retweeting.

That is also my prediction. That is how confident I am that my man Obama will win.

https://twitter.com/hashtag/election2012 is better than anything you can watch on TV, although I am doing both. http://www.youtube.com/politics is awesome. I skipped a party for YouTube Politics and Twitter.
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A Clean Victory


It will be a clean victory, easily over 300 electoral votes.

My Man Obama Is Winning
Go Vote For Mitt Romney
Obama Will Cross 300 Electoral Votes
Ohio Is Solid Obama

The Obama landslide scenario
This creates the possibility of a sizable victory for Obama. Currently, he’s favored in all of Romney’s phase two states. If he wins all of these states – Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania – he will have 281 electoral votes. The more he then eats into Romney’s phase one states, the higher that number will climb. Win Colorado, and Obama would be at 290. Add Virginia and he’ll be at 303. Throw in Florida and he’s at 332. And if he could somehow grab North Carolina too, he’d be at 347 – not far off the 365 he secured four years ago...... the term “landslide” is relative; if Obama were to win, say, 332 electoral votes and beat Romney by 2 points nationally, it wouldn’t exactly measure up to the Reagan ’84, Nixon ’72 and Johnson ’64 triumphs. ...... a 2- or 3-point national win with well over 300 electoral votes would feel a lot like a landslide – the kind of unexpectedly strong performance that the political world might even regard as a mandate.
Prediction: Obama 347
Gallup Poll: Obama’s gaining
According to the poll, Romney is leading Obama 49-48 percent among national likely voters, within the margin of error. In the last poll, before Hurricane Sandy, Romney was leading 51 -46 percent.
Romney 49%, Obama 48% in Gallup's Final Election Survey
Romney holds a 10-percentage point lead among men, 53% to 43%, while Obama is winning by nearly the same margin, 52% to 44%, among women. The two are roughly tied among independents -- 46% favor Obama and 45% Romney. Each candidate has the strong support of his own party, with 96% of Republicans backing Romney and 93% of Democrats supporting Obama........ Current voting preferences mark a return to the status of the race from Oct. 1-7, when Obama and Romney were tied at 48% among likely voters. After that, Romney moved ahead in mid-October during the presidential debate period, holding a three- to five-point lead in Gallup Daily tracking shortly before superstorm Sandy devastated many areas on the East Coast Oct. 29-30. Romney's and Obama's current close positioning in the Nov. 1-4 poll was measured as the Northeast continued to recover from superstorm Sandy, and after Obama's highly visible visit to the region. ....... Between Oct. 22-28 and Nov. 1-4, voter support for Obama increased by six points in the East, to 58% from 52%, while it held largely steady in the three other regions. This provides further support for the possibility that Obama's support grew as a result of his response to the storm. ..... Obama's overall job approval rating is 49% among likely voters, and 52% among all national adults in the Nov. 1-4 poll. Historically, presidents with a job approval rating above 50% in Gallup polling prior to an election have won their bids for a second term
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