Showing posts with label Bihar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bihar. Show all posts

Monday, September 23, 2019

Imran Wants To Lift 100 Million Pakistanis Out Of Poverty



So says Imran. I think he can get it done. Not only that, I don't see anyone else on the horizon who can get it done. How will he be able to get it done? Here are my ideas.
  1. Peace with India. This is the most important thing. Unless India and Pakistan can figure out a way to create lasting peace, Pakistan will have it tough. And the formula for peace is that both agree that the Line Of Control will be the final border, and both will compete with each other to bring democracy and human rights to Kashmiris on both sides. Then they have to focus on trade and gradually, over time, get the troops away from their borders. 
  2. Peace in Afghanistan. I'd say to Imran, break the rule and talk to the Taliban. There is something about this Pathan Saheb that the Pakistani Army Chief plays ball with him, and looks like the Taliban want to respectfully talk to him. Let them. The formula for peace there is like what happened in Nepal. The Maoists and the Nepal Army were at war. Peace meant the two armies got combined and became one. Incorporate the Taliban fighters into the Afghan Army even if that means a huge defense budget. Peace is worth the price. 
  3. Peace between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The status quo is unsustainable. And this is way beyond the scope of Imran's capabilities. The PMO office in Pakistan has a hard enough time dealing with internal villains. But in a 10-year timeframe I hope he does play a role here, a role there to bring about a fruitful outcome. 
  4. Law and order inside Pakistan. This means unless you are a soldier or a police officer, you don't get to carry a gun inside Pakistan. Zero tolerance for terrorist groups. He really has to lead the Pakistani army here. When Imran's hero and role model Nitish Kumar came to power in Bihar in 2005, he only said, "Law and order!" That is all he said when he ran for office, and that is all he worked on for the first few years. Nitish knew that unless he could restore law and order, nothing else he does really matters. Next thing you know, he had put 70,000 people behind bars. 
  5. Infrastructure. That road that China is building is key. It will transform Pakistan. It will unify Pakistan. I am for robust federalism in Pakistan. I am not for breaking Pakistan into smaller pieces, a fantasy of some Hindu fanatics in India. After law and order, Nitish focused on building roads. Roads, roads and more roads. When Deng Xiaoping started his reforms in China, his first mantra was, lay down train tracks everywhere. Infrastructure is important. 
  6. Health and education. This is another place where Bill and Melinda Gates are huge fans of Nitish Kumar. I believe Imran Khan is making all the right noise here and making the right moves. I wish him all the best. 
  7. 5G. This is where you want to take your bathroom trip when Donald Trump starts talking about Huawei. If the Chinese want to steal Pakistani secrets, let them. That might be a stealth way of forcing them to learn Urdu. But get 5G done. And Huawei has the best deal in the market by a wide margin. Blanket Pakistan with 5G. This is more important than train tracks and roads and bridges. 5G is the most important infrastructure today. If you blanket the land with 5G, you will be able to do in 10-15 years, what China did in 30. 
  8. Ease of Doing Business. Here, learn from Modi. The guy has helped India climb up the ranks. 



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Thursday, May 16, 2019

This Turn By Nitish Is Meaningful



This turn by Nitish Kumar is meaningful. He has not said anything new, but his party's declaration that Bihar, Andhra Pradesh and Orissa qualify for a Special Category status by the center is meaningful. There are rumors the BJP is getting less than a majority in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. If that ends up being true, that will be a sure indication the BJP might not come back to power. If those three states gang up and say we will support whoever gives us Special Category status, that would be a game changer. Because that would torpedo the BJP's chances of forming a government even if they are near 250.

Nitish surely is not worried about Bihar. The RJD would be glad to step in should the BJP walk out.

If this is the thought process then that might be an early indication that as Nitish Kumar sees it, the BJP is not getting the majority of seats in UP and Bihar. It has long been said in Indian politics that there never has been an instance when a party lost UP and still formed the government in Delhi.

If the BJP-led NDA is closer to something like 230, it is possible an expanded NDA might demand a non-BJP PM.

Declare Nitish Kumar as PM face, demands JD(U) lawmaker
Nitish Kumar Has Written His Own Sad Twist To His Tale
In Bihar, Nitish Kumar's Party Catalyst For Win: Prannoy Roy's Analysis

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Sunday, April 07, 2019

विपक्ष की अहं भुमिका कन्हैया कुमार अकेले अदा कर रहे हैं

लोकतंत्र में विपक्ष की अहं भुमिका होती है और इस चुनाव में वो रोल कन्हैया कुमार अकेले अदा कर रहे हैं। बेगुसराय तो वो जित जाएंगे। और चुँकि वो अकेले हैं तो इसका मतलब निकलता है कि मोदी फिर से सत्ता में आएंगे। लेकिन चुनाव के बाद कन्हैया देशव्यापी दौड़ाहे पर जाते है कि नहीं, संगठन विस्तार करते हैं कि नहीं, इससे बहुत फर्क पड़ सकता है। भारत में कन्हैया का चुनाव जितना अमरिका में पिछले साल अलेक्सांद्रिया ओकाजिओ कोर्टेज का चुनाव जितने जैसा हो सकता है। चुनाव मोदी जित जाएँ लेकिन मीडिया कन्हैया के वाहवाही में लग जाए, ऐसी नौबत आ सकती है।


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Monday, March 25, 2019

क्या प्रशांत किशोर नरेन्द्र मोदी के उत्तराधिकारी हैं?





मान लो मोदी वाकइ में चीन के डेंग सिआओपिंग के भारतीय रूप हैं और वो लगातार १५-२० साल शासन करते हैं। भारत के अर्थतंत्र को सही नेतृत्व देते रह जाते हैं। जो कि आसान काम नहीं है। भारत लोकतंत्र है। मोदी चुनाव के बाद चुनाव जितते रहेंगे ऐसा कोइ गारंटी तो है नहीं।

लेकिन मान लो वैसा हुवा। वो डेलिवर करते गए। चुनाव जितते गए।

तो उसके बाद उनका उत्तराधिकारी कौन? स्वाभाविक है मोदी के ही जेनेरशन का कोइ नहीं। तो अगले जनरेशन का कौन? अखिलेश, राहुल, आदि हैं। लेकिन उस अगले जेनेरशन के सबसे प्रतिभाशाली व्यक्ति हैं प्रशांत किशोर। राजनीतिक कुशलता के हिसाब से वही दिख रहे हैं।

तो उनके लिए रास्ता क्या है? क्या हो सकता है? जिस तरह अमरिका में अलेक्सांद्रिया ओकाजिओ कोर्टेज राष्ट्रपति बनेगी वैसे ही कहा जा सकता है प्रशांत किशोर भारत के प्रधान मंत्री बनने के लायक हैं।

रास्ता ये हो सकता है कि वो अगले चुनाव में पटना पहुँचते हैं और नीतिश के नम्बर दो बनते हैं। उसके बाद के चुनाव में नीतिश स्वेच्छा से रिटायर हो जाते हैं और प्रशांत को अपना उत्तराधिकारी घोषित करते हैं। और अभी से तभी तक प्रशांत अपनी पार्टी जदयु को लगातार बिहार से बाहर विस्तार करते हैं।

तो एक बार बिहार में मंत्री, उसके बाद मुख्य मंत्री। तब तक मोदी रिटायर होने के कागार पर रहेंगे शायद।

तो NDA की नम्बर दो पार्टी के नेता होते हुवे भी वो उस गठबंधन के तरफ से देश के प्रधान मंत्री बन सकते हैं। लेकिन कमसेकम ५० सांसद तो अपनी चाहिए।

अर्नब की इतनी शालीन इंटरव्यू आपने कभी देखी है? मैंने तो नहीं देखी। फिदा हैं प्रशांत पर।

बिहार २०२५
बिहार 
बिहार २०२५

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Thursday, August 31, 2017

Modi's Remarkable Political Maneuvers Are Nobel Peace Prize Size



Of all the heads of state on the world stage right now, Modi is the most remarkable. He promises to be the economic Gandhi of India, the Deng Xiaoping, the Lee Kuan Yew. None of the three - the Mahatma, Deng, or Lee - had to contest elections like Modi has to. And it is not just every five or four years. In India a France size election is just round the corner all the time.In that sense India is not just the largest democracy. It is a perpetual democracy. 

The true test of political leadership is if you can get the people to make short term sacrifice for long term gain, and Modi seems to have managed to do it. His grand moves of demonetization and the GST ("good and simple tax" in his words) might have dragged the growth rate down from a high of 7.9% to a still impressive 5.7% but without demonetization and the GST perhaps India could not have aspired for a growth rate of 10% or more. Now it can. 

But Modi does not have the luxury of time. The growth rate has to now go past at least 8% before he has to go back to the people in 2019 to renew his personal mandate. 

Job creation is a major hurdle. It will happen or not in the so called informal sector. Making available credit to the chaiwalas (tea sellers) of India is what will do the trick. 

On the political front Modi seems to be defying gravity. He repeated his total sweep of Uttar Pradesh. Nitish Kumar, projected by many as his most likely rival in 2019, has instead switched sides and joined him again. This would be like if John McCain were to join the Democratic Party.

Modi's challenge is to remain Prime Minister for at least 15 more years and give India sustained double digit growth rates, and then give the country a successor who will continue on that double digit path. All electoral victories however impressive will not mean much unless that economic objective is met. So far he shows all signs he will deliver. 

In his very first year as PM Modi successfully concluded India's border dispute with Bangladesh. The dispute made the Israel Palestine land dispute look like a piece of cake. Just recently he got China to step back from potential war, or at least a skirmish. These are Nobel Peace Prize size political moves. A prize that he deserves, by the way. But it will be Gandhiesque if he does not get it. There is no telling he will not fall into the white blind spot. This is Time magazine Man Of The Decade if you ask me. 

The thorn in his side continues to be the extreme right wing of his own organization. Hindu pride is fine. But anti-Muslim intolerance is offensive. If ever the BJP ends up in disgrace, that social weakness is going to be the reason why. It is the same God both Hindus and Muslims pray to. Five blind men are touching the same elephant. 


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Saturday, September 17, 2016

Prohibition In Bihar


Raghuvansh Singh Asks For Repeal

Mr. Singh told The Hindu in an exclusive interview that the new law levying a communal fine on villages and the arrest of entire households where alcohol has been found goes against the “spirit of jurisprudence”.

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Saturday, August 13, 2016

Bihar Prohibition

I don't know what to make of it.

They tried it in the US in the 1930s, and they ended up with Al Capone.

But in India this might be more of a political pendulum swing. If you are going to ban beef, I am going to ban alcohol. Is it true that beef has been banned in Maharashtra?

Hindus not eating beef is totally understandable. But how can you ban beef in an entire state? That is like imposing one religion on members of another religious group.

I have been curious about the details and the logistics. How did they do it? What happened to all the alcohol the day the ban went into effect? Were they destroyed?

Bihar (or India) is not exactly known for great, efficient law enforcement. There is much corruption. So how well has the ban been implemented?

In America Nixon launched a War On Drugs. But today it feels like a way to bring back slavery upon the blacks. There are so many blacks behind bars for small drug offenses, it does feel like slavery is back full force. It has been a racist endeavor.

Domestic violence is a valid, serious concern.

But why do people drink? Why do people smoke pot? Why do people do drugs? Not all of it can be explained as bad choices.

I think in Bihar the number one reason people drink is because there is malnutrition. People are hungry. Also, the abject poverty and the pressures of life could be causing mental health issues. And by mental health I am not suggesting Ranchi levels. Mental health is a spectrum, just like physical health. Physical health does not have to mean cancer. It can also be a cough.

After ban, in a state of low spirits
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Monday, July 11, 2016

BJP's UP Problem

ABP News Opinion Poll: BSP to win 185 seats if UP polls are held now

The BJP had the same problem in Bihar. Nobody was running for Chief Minister.

In 2014 Modi was the only one running to be Prime Minister.

If the BJP loses UP and Gujarat, it has to figure out a way to work without a majority in the upper house.

Anti-incumbency worked against Mayawati last time. This time it might work against Akhilesh.

But 2019 will be about Modi’s performance. If the growth rate has hit 10% he should see victories again in both Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, not to say Gujarat.

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Saturday, March 12, 2016

In The News (3)



India Doesn't Have To Increase Exports To Grow The Economy By 8-10%
India needs to export rapidly to grow 8-10 percent: finance adviser
The Donald and The Barack
The Republican Debate Was Civil, Respectful -- And Breathtakingly Extreme
A party moving backward.
Trump politely stuck by his position that Islam itself hates America. "I'll stick with what I told Anderson Cooper," he said. Marco Rubio, pressed on whether this universal hatred exists, said that the real problem with Trump's hate speech was that it was fueling anti-American sentiment that was putting Christian missionaries at risk. ..... a civil John Kasich suggested indefinite occupation will be the status quo in Israel for Palestinians."I don't believe there is any permanent peace solution," he said. Rubio more moderately suggested only 30 years needed to pass first. ..... Trump did say he disapproved of the attack, but spent the rest of his time explaining how angry people are about trade deals and how disruptive and unruly some protesters are. ..... "They have anger that is unbelievable. Unbelievable. They love this country," said Trump. "I see it. There is some anger. There is also some great love for the country." ...... Ted Cruz politely promised to fire some unnamed federal workers. "I know who they are," Cruz said. "I will find them and I will fire them.
PM Narendra Modi pitches for further quota reforms at IMF
"Change in quotas is not an issue of increasing the 'power' of certain countries. It is an issue of fairness and legitimacy. The belief that quotas can be changed, is essential for the fairness of the system," he said addressing a conference on Advancing Asia, co-hosted by India and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). ..... India's quota in IMF rose to 2.7 per cent from 2.44 per cent and its voting share increased to 2.6 per cent from 2.34 per cent. ...... For the first time, four emerging market countries of the BRIC bloc - Brazil, China, India, and Russia - will be among the 10 largest members of IMF. ...... Other top 10 members include the US, Japan, and the four largest European countries - France, Germany, Italy and the UK.
Canceled Trump rally in Chicago reflects nation's deep, angry political divide
sporadic skirmishes inside and outside the University of Illinois at Chicago Pavilion, reflected the two extremes of the political landscape — a disaffected right wing and a dissatisfied left wing. ..... The viral images of a largely young, ethnically and racially diverse group of protesters erasing his Chicago event could help the chances of the brash-speaking businessman and reality TV star who has eschewed political correctness along the campaign trail. ...... "I want to thank Rahm Emanuel for not endorsing me," he said. "I don't want his endorsement."
In Bihar, PM Narendra Modi slams Congress, lauds Nitish Kumar
PM Narendra Modi and Bihar CM Nitish Kumar underline the need for centre-state coordination
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Wednesday, March 09, 2016

मैडागास्कर के मुख्य मंत्री श्री नीतिश कुमार जी

Animation of the structure of a section of DNA...
Animation of the structure of a section of DNA. The bases lie horizontally between the two spiraling strands. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
नीतिश जी का मधेस आंदोलन के बारे क्या राय है? उनके काठमाण्डु भ्रमण और नेपाली काँग्रेस के प्रति की आसक्ति से मैं क्षुब्ध हुँ।

जैसे कि भारत में है GST Bill, या लैंड बिल या लॅबोर बिल, या और भी नीति। मधेस आंदोलन उस केटेगरी की बात नहीं है। कि बीजेपी कह रही दिन तो मैं कहुँ रात, बीजेपी कह रही रात तो मैं कहुँ दिन।

जब दक्षिण अफ्रीका में अपार्थाइड था ये वैसी बात है। तो उस समय मार्गरेट थैचर और डिक चेनी कहते थे नाकाबंदी मत करो। नीतिश तो मार्गरेट थैचर और डिक चेनी सरीखे हो निकले मधेसी के लिए। ये कैसी लज्जा की बात है!

नीतिश नाम से मधेसी नहीं लेकिन cultural DNA के आधार पर तो ११०% मधेसी हैं। तो फिर कहाँ खो गया सॉलिडेरिटी?

जो काँग्रेसी मधेसी होते हैं उनका मानसिक दासता इस पराकाष्टा पर होता है कि उन्हें पता भी ना चला कि उनके ही दिए हुवे शक्ति से सत्ताधारी ने मधेसी पर दासता लाद दिया और उन्हें पता भी न चला। जिस तरह अँग्रेज भारतीय सैनिक और कर्मचारी के प्रयोग से ही भारत पर राज किया करते थे।

जैसे अब्दुल कलाम राष्ट्रपति का जुता उतरवाया गोरो ने भारत के भुमि पर। वो था रिहर्सल। उसके बाद हौसला बढ़ा तो शाहरुख़ खान का पैंट उतरवाया न्यू जर्सी में। और अभी देखो फ्लिपकार्ट में ८०% स्वामित्व है विदेशी का। ये तो ईस्ट इंडिया कंपनी का बाप फ्लिपकार्ट।

जागो बिहारियों। ये मधेस आंदोलन जितना हमारे लिए उतना ही तुम्हारे लिए। अपनी खोई गौरव वापस ले लो। तुम एक ज़माने में सुपरपावर हुवा करते थे। मधेस आंदोलन में एकाकार हो जाओ और फिर से बन जाओ सुपरपावर।

नीतिश का एक Blind Spot: FDI (2)
नीतिश का एक Blind Spot: FDI
नीतिश के दो Blind Spots
मधेसका संघर्ष भारत का अपना संघर्ष है

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Sunday, March 06, 2016

Laloo And Biju

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Saturday, March 05, 2016

Kanhaiya Kumar



I think of this speech as a celebration of free speech.

I think the Left misses out on the basics of economic growth but does a good job on issues of social liberalism, and places a good emphasis on education.

But this is one student leader, flavor of the month perhaps. The media needs food periodically.

This guy is more meaningful than the Patel agitator. But I doubt how big the impact will be.

If this is the opposition's hope that Modi rule will end, that feels like a caricature of sorts.

Bihari hai, uthapatak to karega hi.
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नीतिश का एक Blind Spot: FDI (2)

English: Fixed Capital Formation and FDI in th...
English: Fixed Capital Formation and FDI in the Philippines (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
English: Foreign direct investment incoming in...
English: Foreign direct investment incoming in Jordan (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
नीतिश का एक Blind Spot: FDI

मोदी खुद कटोरा ले के सारे दुनिया घुम रहे हैं डेढ़ साल से कि FDI दे दो। स्वाभाविक है केंद्र सरकार के पास पैसा नहीं है। तो बिहार सरकार पैसे क्यों माग रही है? मुख्य मंत्री थे मोदी गुजरात में तो सालाना एक समिट करवाते थे। घर बैठे FDI आ जाती थी। विशेष राज्य का दर्जा मिलने से कितना पैसा आना है? जितना भी आना है उसकी सीमा होगी। लेकिन FDI का कोई सीमा ही नहीं है। सिर्फ लेनेवाले पर निर्भर होता है कि लेने का क्षमता कितना है? एक लाख करोड़ चाहिए कि दो लाख कि पांच लाख? क्षमता कितना है? जितना है उतना लेते जाओ।

समाजवाद में शायद FDI नहीं होता। समस्या शायद वो है।

Related articles

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नीतिश का एक Blind Spot: FDI

काठमाण्डु मीडिया को पढ़ो तो लगता है नीतिश को मधेसको बारे में न कुछ मालुम है न मतलब है।

लेकिन मधेसी मीडिया को पढ़ो तो मालुम पड़ता है कि नीतिश जितना बिहार समझते हैं उतना ही मधेस और नेपाल समझते हैं। सबसे जो सटिक प्रश्न है वो उन्होंने किया। कि जो काँग्रेस और कम्निष्ट पार्टी में मधेसी हैं उन्होंने इस संविधान पर हस्ताक्षर क्यों किया?  जाहिर है उन सांसदों के मतदाता इस संविधान से तीव्र असंतुष्ट हैं।

नीतिश के दो Blind Spots

लोकतंत्र में वैसा नहीं होता है। सांसद और उसके मतदाता के बीच इतनी दुरी लोकतंत्र में संभव नहीं। ये दुरी उस बात की प्रमाण है कि नेपाल में वास्तव में लोकतंत्र है ही नहीं। चुनाव में भारी धाँधली हुवी। उसके बाद भी विजेता पार्टी ने अपना मैनिफेस्टो ही फेंक दिया। संविधान सभा में व्हिप जारी नहीं किया जा सकता। वो एक विश्वव्यापी मान्यता है। नेपाल में व्हिप जारी की गयी। जभी जयशंकर आए उस समय में संविधान सभा के पास कमसेकम ६ महिना समय बाँकी था अगर प्रक्रिया को पुरा किया जाता तो। तो उसको शार्ट सर्किट कर दिया गया। अभी भी ये लोग कह रहे हैं चलो चुनाव की ओर। यानि की फिर से जम के धाँधली करने की काबिलियत रखते हैं। इतना सब कुछ हो जाने के बाद भी। ये लोकतंत्र नहीं फासिज्म है।


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Friday, March 04, 2016

लैंड बिल और आरक्षण

पटेल तो गुजरात के रूलिंग क्लास हुवे, नहीं? तो फिर रूलिंग क्लास को आरक्षण क्यों चाहिए? जाट जमीन जायदाद वाले लोग। वो भी कह रहे हैं आरक्षण।

लेकिन वो आरक्षण नहीं कह रहे हैं। वो कह रहे हैं नौकरी दो। नौकरी यानि की job ---- white collar job. तो क्या होता है कि समाजवाद में नौकरी कौन देता है? गवर्नमेंट। तो इस लिए लोग आरक्षण आरक्षण कर रहे हैं।

पटेल भी जाट भी कह रहे हैं अब खेतीपाती में दम नहीं रह गया। कोई छोटी बड़ी नौकरी ही दे दो।

तो यार वही तो है लैंड बिल। कि खेतीपाती में अब दम नहीं रह गया। अब industrialization करो ताकि लोगों को नौकरी मिल सके। लैंड बिल भी और लेबर बिल भी।

समाजवाद में होता है कि एक बार नौकरी मिल गयी बस बैठे रहो वहाँ पर रिटायर होने तक। तो लोग कहते हैं, नौकरी दो, या सरकारी नौकरी या प्राइवेट मतलब नहीं, लेकिन जॉब गारंटी होनी चाहिए। प्राइवेट सेक्टर में तो वैसा नहीं होता। एक इंटरप्रेन्योर को अगर आप के रखने से फायदा नहीं तो वो रखेगा क्युं। उसके पैसे न भगवान से आ रहे ना सरकार से। सिर्फ कंपनी के revenue के पैसे हैं। तो जॉब गारंटी तो होता ही नहीं। प्राइवेट में होता है hire and fire at whim. लेकिन ये होता है कि आप के विरुद्ध discriminate नहीं कर सकते। ये नहीं कह सकते कि मुसलमान हो इस लिए नहीं लेंगे। तब तो वो जेल जायेंगे। या फाइन होगा।

तो कहते हैं समाजवाद में वैसा नहीं होता। नौकरी की गारंटी करो। यहाँ तक कि प्राइवेट में भी आरक्षण!

तो ये एक War Of Words है जो बीजेपी वाले लड़ नहीं रहे। लैंड बिल के समय किसी ने अमित शाह को कह दिया कि हल्ला है आप गरीब किसानों की जमीन उद्योगपतियों को देना चाहते हैं। तो अमित शाह ने कह दिया एक इंच भी जमीन किसी उद्योगपति को नहीं मिलेगा।

उद्योगपति को नहीं मिलेगा तो फिर किसको मिलेगा? उसी उद्योगपति को देने के लिए तो हो रही थी रस्साकस्सी। उद्योगपति को नहीं मिलेगा तो फिर औद्योगीकरण कौन करेगा? Jobs कैसे create होंगे? किसको दहेज़ में देनी थी जमीन?

जाट भाइयों ने बस उड़ा ही दिया। ये देखो लैंड बिल। नहर बिल।

एक War Of Words है जो बीजेपी को लड़ना होगा। कि आप जो नौकरी नौकरी किये हो वो सरकार से आने वाली नहीं। वो जहाँ से आएगी उसके लिए लैंड बिल भी और लेबर बिल भी चाहिए। फैक्ट्री  लगाने के लिए जमीन की जरुरत होती है। और नौकरी आप की कब लगेगी कब चली जाएगी वो सिर्फ उस कंपनी के मालिक को निर्णय लेना होता है। उसमें और किसी की या सरकार की दाल नहीं गलती।

RSS वाले बहुत उर्जा दिखाते रहते हैं। तो उन्हें प्रोजेक्ट दो। एक बिलियन हिन्दु को एक casteless Hinduism में कन्वर्ट करो। उससे भी उर्जा बच जाए तो उसके बाद जाओ दुनिया घुमो और प्रत्येक महादेश पर हिन्दु का संख्या बढ़ाओ। सुबह सुबह दंड बैठकी करने का कुछ तो फायदा होना चाहिए कि नहीं?

और एक बात है इंफ्रास्ट्रक्चर की। बिजली सड़क को कहते हैं इंफ्रास्ट्रक्चर। लेकिन access to credit भी तो इंफ्रास्ट्रक्चर है और सबसे नंबर एक है महत्व के हिसाब से। बायोमेट्रिक आईडी भी है और अब बैंक अकाउंट भी। तो बगैर कोलैटरल का लोन दो। ताकि लोग छोटी मोटी बिजनेस शुरू कर सके। अमरिका में भी सबसे ज्यादा जॉब क्रिएशन होता है स्मॉल बिजनेस द्वारा ही। १०-२० लोग को खटाने वाले बिजनेस ही सबसे  ज्यादा लोगों को नौकरी देते हैं। तो अभी उस small business sector को भारत में informal sector कह के डिसमिस कर देते हैं। वो सोचीसमझी साजिश है बड़े उद्योगपतियों की ताकि बैंक लोन सिर्फ उन्हें मिले। जब कि सबसे ज्यादा फोकस होना चाहिए उसी small business sector पर। Access to credit नंबर वन बात है।

मोहन भागवत कहना चाह रहे थे कि जातपात खत्म करो लेकिन मुँह से धोखे से निकल गया आरक्षण ख़त्म करो।


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नीतिश के दो Blind Spots

पहला FDI, और हाल ही में मेरे को दिखा दुसरा मधेस।

मोदी के उदय से पहले मेरे को लगता था मधेस और मधेसी शब्द दिल्ली के डिक्शनरी में है ही नहीं। ये नहीं की केयर नहीं करते या बुरे लोग हैं। उनको मालुम ही नहीं कि इस दुनिया में मधेसी हैं भी। जैसे कि मेरे को लगता है मैडागास्कर में मालुम नहीं होगा कि मधेसी भी हैं कहीं। इसका मतलब वो बुरे लोग हैं ऐसी बात नहीं। 

नीतिश काठमाण्डु आए। बातचीत से लगता है मैडागास्कर से आए हैं। बिलकुल अनभिज्ञ हैं। पुछ रहे हैं रावणों से, मधेस आंदोलन के बारे में बताइए। तो प्रचंड ने नीतिश से मिलने के बाद वक्तव्य निकलवाया कि नीतिश ने कहा अब तक नेपाल में जो हुवा आप ही के नेतृत्व में हुवा और आगे भी आप ही के नेतृत्व में होगा। नीतिश ऐसा बोले होंगे मेरे को नहीं लगता। लेकिन प्रचंड ने one party dictatorship का थिंकिंग कभी छोड़ा ही नहीं। देश में कोई प्रधान मंत्री आ जाए उन्हें लगता रहता है देश मेरे ही नेतृत्व में आगे बढ़ रहा है।

प्रचंड ने नीतिश को मधेसी समझ के हेप के बात किया। Patronizing tone में। राडार पर उतना को दिखना चाहिए कि नहीं कि इस आदमी ने मेरे से किस टोन में बात किया? 

समाजवाद में होता है पैसा केंद्र सरकार से माँगो। देगा तो नहीं। तो फिर रैलियां निकालो। प्रेस में जा के हल्ला करो। मोदी के सरदार पटेलवाद में होता है कि FDI से लाओ पैसा। गारंटी आएगा। तो जिस तरह मोदी मुख्य मंत्री थे तो सालाना गुजरात समिट करते थे। बिहार में भी करना चाहिए। पैसा आने का वही एक तरिका है। और वो फॉरेन ऐड से बेहतर होता है। 

पड़ोस में रहते हैं लेकिन नीतिश मधेसी से इतने अनभिज्ञ! 

और इनकी ग्रैंड अलायन्स की गाडी बिहार में अटक गयी। राहुल क्रेडिट ले रहे हैं। कि हम ने बिहार में कर दिखाया। अब असम और उत्तर प्रदेश में भी कर दिखाएंगे। असम तो मेरे को मालुम नहीं लेकिन उत्तर प्रदेश में तो आपका दुकान भी नहीं। 

मधेसको पहचानना ज्यादा जरुरी नहीं। लेकिन नीतिश FDI को ना पहचाने तो या तो अलायन्स टुट जाएगी या तो अगला चुनाव हार जायेंगे बिहारमें।

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Saturday, January 30, 2016

How To Turn Patna Into A Smart City For Free

Satya Nadella, the CEO of Microsoft, was in India last year wanting to help spread internet access through the TV spectrum. You broadcast the internet like you broadcast TV waves. Nitish could talk to Satya and offer Patna as an experimental space for the initiative. If the entire city of Patna can be blanketed with internet broadcast over the TV spectrum, paid for by Microsoft, Patna will end up the smartest city in India. Nitish already has a great personal relationship with Bill Gates. Time to cash on it, maybe?

Nitish laments absence of Bihar on smart cities’ list



Bihar CM Nitish Kumar attacks Centre for 'ignoring' Bihar in Smart City list
Chief Minister Nitish Kumar today hit out at the Centre for not selecting any city from Bihar in the the list of 20 smart cities and said the BJP-led Union government has no consideration to maintain regional balance. ...... "There is no rule or law before them...something other is going in the country these days," he said........ "There is no 'maryada' (decency), 'niyam' (rules), neither they have any consideration to maintain regional balance," Kumar, who is senior leader of JD(U) said. ....... "This is example of 'andher nagri' (misrule)," the Bihar CM said.
Microsoft wants to bring cheap broadband to 500,000 Indian villages
Last November, the company began experimenting with the unused spectrum between TV channels, known as ‘white space‘, to provide internet services to a school in the Srikakulam district in the state of Andhra Pradesh. ...... It’s now extended its pilot testing to the city of Varanasi in Uttar Pradesh. Nadella said Microsoft plans to work with the central and state governments to bring connectivity using this technology to 500,000 villages across the country. ...... That could be huge for India, where roughly 70 percent of the population inhabits nearly 640,000 villages. ...... Between Nadella’s announcement and Google CEO Sundar Pichai’s plan to bring public Wi-Fi to 400 train stations in India, it looks like Narendra Modi’s visit to Silicon Valley is proving to be rather fruitful for the millions of citizens who are yet to log on to the Web for the first time.
Report: Google testing 5G drones that deliver internet 40 times faster than 4G
Google is testing solar-powered drones at Spaceport America, a New Mexico facility that formerly played host to Virgin Galactic. ....... The project, codenamed SkyBender, aims to test several prototype transcievers and drones using millimeter wave radio transmissions. ...... Millimeter transmissions occupy the 28GHz frequency and although the range is shorter than that of current 4G technologies, the speeds are incredible. ..... Theoretically milimeter wave technology can transfer multiple gigabits of data per second, up to 40 times more than current 4G LTE systems.
Microsoft plans to provide free Internet across India using ‘white space’ TV spectrum
Microsoft has announced its plans to bring Internet connectivity across the country completely free of cost. ...... Microsoft has proposed to make use of

the “white space” or the unused spectrum between two TV channels

, to make Internet connectivity to a vast population an economically-viable solution. .......

Unlike Wi-Fi, which has a range of only about 100 metres, the 200-300 MHz spectrum in the white space can reach up to 10 km. This spectrum currently belongs to the government-owned Doordarshan TV channel and is not used at all.

....... The initiative seems to have come right in time when PM Narendra Modi has announced his Digital India project. The project that would cost $1.2 billion aims to connect 250,000 gram panchayats in order to make Internet connectivity accessible to every part of the country. The project has garnered the interest of several tech giants, including Facebook and Microsoft, who have shown their willingness to offer support to make it a reality.
White spaces (radio)
National and international bodies assign different frequencies for specific uses, and in most cases license the rights to broadcast over these frequencies. This frequency allocation process creates a bandplan, which for technical reasons assigns white space between used radio bands or channels to avoid interference. In this case, while the frequencies are unused, they have been specifically assigned for a purpose, such as a guard band. Most commonly however, these white spaces exist naturally between used channels, since assigning nearby transmissions to immediately adjacent channels will cause destructive interference to both. In addition to white space assigned for technical reasons, there is also unused radio spectrum which has either never been used, or is becoming free as a result of technical changes. In particular, the switchover to digital television frees up large areas between about 50 MHz and 700 MHz. This is because digital transmissions can be packed into adjacent channels, while analog ones cannot. This means that the band can be "compressed" into fewer channels, while still allowing for more transmissions. ...... In the United States, the abandoned television frequencies are primarily in the upper UHF "700-megahertz" band, covering TV channels 52 to 69 (698 to 806 MHz). U.S. television and its white spaces will continue to exist in UHF frequencies, as well as VHF frequencies for which mobile users and white-space devices require larger antennas. In the rest of the world, the abandoned television channels are VHF, and the resulting large VHF white spaces are being reallocated for the worldwide (except the U.S.) digital radio standard DAB and DAB+, and DMB.
White Space, the next internet disruption: 10 things to know
White Space has started spreading internet access to unconnected areas. Here's what you need to know about this confusing, widely-hyped, emerging technology.
In even the most developed countries, there are huge gaps in internet access. Fixed broadband access is unaffordable for 3.9 billion people around the world. In the U.S., about 72 percent of people have home broadband internet access, but 60 million people are still living without it. ....... White Space stands to transform the way we purchase and use wireless internet. It isn't yet widely adopted, but this unlicensed, free form of broadband is gaining traction. ........... Typical home Wi-Fi can travel through two walls.

White Space broadband can travel up to 10 kilometers, through vegetation, buildings, and other obstacles.

Tablets, phones, and computers can all access this wireless internet using White Space through fixed or portable power stations. The actual amounts of spectrum vary by region, but White Space spectrum ranges from 470 MHz to 790 Mhz........ In 2011, Wilmington, North Carolina implemented White Space technology to connect the city's infrastructure, allowing public officials to remotely turn lights on and off in parks, provide public wireless broadband to certain areas of the city, and monitor water levels. At West Virginia University, White Space technology is used to power a "super Wi-Fi network". It started in 2013 with wireless internet on the campus public transit platform, which transports about 15,000 students a day. WVU is the first campus to utilize White Space broadband internet. ....... "The Gigabit Libraries program is using TVWS devices to deliver Internet service to local libraries and a number of operators in rural areas are using these devices to provide service to homes and businesses in rural areas" .........

Google and Microsoft are already chasing the emerging White Space market in Africa, where only 16 percent of the population is online. Because the waves can travel up to 10 kilometers in radius, it is great for remote, off-the-grid villages.

...... Microsoft's 4Afrika initiative is focusing on White Space technology throughout the continent, hoping to bring millions of people online, and has projects in place in Tanzania and South Africa. ...... Rural areas, both in the U.S. and abroad, are often inhibited from wireless access because they are inaccessible and off the local power grid. Cell towers are difficult to install and can't connect, either. Fortunately, White Space power stations can be charged with solar panels, and the excess electricity generated can also power other institutions in the area such as schools....... With a cell tower or other device, the White Space technology can travel 10 kilometers and service many more customers at one time. ....... Microsoft has implemented White Space projects throughout Asia, including a recent deployment in Singapore through partnerships with Singapore government research agencies and a UK wireless service provider in areas where vegetation makes wireless access difficult. In conjunction with its projects in Europe, Microsoft is also creating a database for White Space in the U.S., much like Google's. ........

Internet service providers were ranked the lowest customer service satisfaction of any industry in America, according to American Customer Satisfaction Index's most recent survey. The two largest providers, Comcast and Time Warner, were ranked the lowest out of all internet service providers.

...... So far, the FCC has allowed very few internet service providers to license the White Space spectrum. Hopefully, they will continue to be cautious about who they allow to purchase the spectrum so that it can be a disruptive force in connecting more people to the internet.


How new 'white space' rules could lead to an urban super-Wi-Fi
White space, or buffer channels, refers to the unused channels between the VHF and UHF spectrum. In the pre-cable era, when over-the-air broadcasts ruled the day, these buffers were used to prevent broadcasters from interfering with one another. We all know how prevalent over-the-air broadcasting is now; today this spectrum is largely unused. ...... a super Wi-Fi network knitted together with next-generation TV or smart remotes. ...... wireless data could be transmitted over UHF channels during active TV broadcasts without interference. ......

The UHF spectrum, which ranges from 400 to 700 MHz, is superior to the higher-frequency signals used for existing Wi-Fi hotspots

...... as these signals carry for miles and are not blocked by walls or trees.
TV white space will connect the internet of things
White spaces in the radio spectrum can now be used for anything from wireless flood defences to city-wide Wi-Fi. Services using the technology could appear before the end of the year with surplus spectrum filling in gaps where Wi-Fi and Bluetooth fail. ........ The spare spectrum comes from bands currently shared by digital TV and wireless microphones. ..... Broadly the technology will allow internet of things devices to communicate with one another and the internet. White space spectrum could also improve broadband coverage in rural areas and boost Wi-Fi signals in crowded cities. ...... King's College London is currently researching how white space spectrum could be used to improve broadband coverage by linking white space connections between buildings. The technology could also be used to add extra capacity to crowded networks.

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Monday, January 11, 2016

Nitish Kumar, Narendra Modi, And FDI



Narendra Modi
FDI Aur Opposition
Modi: NRI Prime Minister नहीं, FDI Prime Minister
मोदी का विदेश भ्रमण और FDI
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Friday, December 25, 2015

India: Holding Two Elections Every Five Years

Indian general election, 2009
Indian general election, 2009 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
I think that would be a great idea. The entire country has only two election dates every five years. The national elections and half the state elections are held on one day. State elections for the rest of the states are held on the other day. And all local elections are also held on one of the two days.

For the state elections it would be a good idea to get half the country (by population) vote on one day, and the other half on the other day. If you put together the North-East, West Bengal, Sikkim, Bihar, and Uttar Pradesh in one basket, would that be half the country? If not add a few more adjacent states. 

Basically you get rid of the idea of mid-term elections. Parliaments do full terms. Why not? 

With the current system, you can get a decisive mandate for the Lok Sabha and still feel like you never really got a mandate. Elections are never over. There's always a major election just round the corner. Bihar is over, Uttar Pradesh is on. That is democratic chaos. 

This would also boost local bodies. You can't have a robust democracy if you don't have robust local bodies. The local bodies are the most exciting part of the democracy. The people get to actively participate. 

Because local elections can be held on either of the two days, both dates will feel like national election days. Maybe the rule should be you can't hold the state and the local election on the same day. That way states will use one date for the state level and the other for the local level election.

And the two dates should be a Sunday. 

Abhi to jo hai chaos hai. 


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Wednesday, December 23, 2015

यादव और कृष्ण, हरिजन और राम: हरे राम हरे कृष्ण



जब हरे राम हरे कृष्ण वाले किसी गोरा को कन्वर्ट करते हैं तो नहीं कहते अब तुम ब्राह्मण हुवे, या वैश्य। कास्ट की बात ही नहीं होती। हिन्दु भी नहीं कहते। Krishna Consciousness.

यादव कृष्ण के संतति। हरिजन राम के भक्त। यादव का कोइ कास्ट नहीं। हरिजन का भी कोइ कास्ट नहीं। उन पर उपर से थोपा गया है। जिस तरह भारत पर विक्टोरिया ने थोप दिया। सनातनी ने हरिजन को दलित बना दिया। Colonized, Oppressed.

तो इस Oppression को ख़त्म करना होगा।

हरे राम हरे कृष्ण एक राजनीतिक कोएलिशन का भी नाम हो सकता है। लेकिन उसके बाद काम ठोस होना चाहिए। सिर्फ दलित नेता या पार्टी को वोट दे के ये Oppression खत्म नहीं होगा। उसके लिए lawmaking, law enforcement, और पाँच स पर जाना होगा। कोइ किसी को मंदिर जाने से रोकता है तो वो जुर्म नहीं है तो जुर्म बनाओ।

सनातनी अपना standalone identity बनाओ और रहो। ब्रिटेन भी एक टापु है।

कास्ट सिस्टम से बड़ा डिवाइड एंड रुल का हथियार विश्व इतिहास में दुसरा कोई बनाया ही नहीं गया। सनातनी सुरज अंग्रेज दीपक।

शायद दलित को ये कहना होगा हम हिन्दु नहीं हरिजन हैं। हमारा अलग धर्म है। हम रामभक्त हैं।


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