Showing posts with label Imran Khan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Imran Khan. Show all posts

Friday, September 27, 2019

I Am Rooting For Imran To Succeed In Pakistan



इमरान ने जनरल असेम्ब्ली में छक्का मारा
Imran On Kashmir In New York
Formula For Peace: Iran-Saudi-US, Taliban-US, India-Pakistan
Howdy Modi, Says Imran
Imran Wants To Lift 100 Million Pakistanis Out Of Poverty
The Blockchain Will Make A Global Wealth Tax Possible
How Will Democracy Come To The Arab Countries?
Kashmir: Not Normal Yet
Modi's Big Political Mistake On Article 370 In Kashmir
Imran Khan: India's Last Hope For Lasting Peace
Racism
Bihar 2020: Race For Chief Minister
War With Iran: Super Bad Idea For All Parties Concerned
Imran Khan On Kashmir
Imran Is Playing A Very Difficult Game
Universal Basic Income (aka Freedom Dividend) Is Not Free Money

I am.

Kashmir should have a right to self-determination. But why only Kashmir? Why not Punjab? Why not Sindh? Why not Balochistan? Why not Bihar? Why not Assam?

Scotland has a right to self-determination. It can vote to break away. It can and has organized its own referendum.

But let's face it. The democracies of South Asia have not evolved to that stage. I hope they do someday. But that time is not now.

Imran has plenty of challenges with the Pakistani economy. Kashmir is too big a distraction. But there is no way around it. He can not ignore Kashmir. It is understandable.




इमरान ने जनरल असेम्ब्ली में छक्का मारा





धारा ३७० को हटाना अगर गलत था तो लोग भारतमें सर्वोच्च अदालत को जाएँगे। लेकिन कर्फ्यु जो अभी तक जारी है वो तो बहुत गलत है। ये तो चीन ने जो १० लाख लोगों को डिटेन कर रखा है उससे भी दो कदम आगे चला गया। आप ८० लाख लोगों को खुले जेल में रखे हुवे हैं। ये तो बहुत गलत है।

आप कहते हैं काश्मीर के हित में है ये कदम। तो कश्मीरियों को खुले में आने दिजिए। जश्न मनाने दिजिए। ५०-५० दिन तक कहीँ कर्फ्यु लगाया जाता है?

मैं चाहुँगा इमरान अपना राजनीतिक दबाब बनाए रखे। नहीं तो कर्फ्यु कभी उठेगा ही नहीं।

काश्मीर के लोगों का मानव अधिकार भारतके संविधान में सुरक्षित है। काश्मीर में जो मानव अधिकार हनन है वो भारतके संविधान के विरुद्ध है।

आप अगर अपने देशके भितर मानव अधिकार हनन अगर करते हैं तो वो आतंरिक मामला नहीं रह जाता।

The curfew in Kashmir must be lifted immediately. 




Tuesday, September 24, 2019

Videos: Imran, Salman, Sanjay, Tabu, Ajay, Nancy, Trump

Formula For Peace: Iran-Saudi-US, Taliban-US, India-Pakistan



Iran-Saudi-US

Situation: War is not an option. An all-out attack by the US on Iran and an all-out counter-attack is unthinkable. For one, there would be a global Depression. It would be like the global economy had a heart attack. A seizure. Even when you are not talking, you are essentially "talking," you are signaling.

Interesting: The Saudis, the Iranians and the Americans all are on excellent terms with both Imran Khan and Narendra Modi. Both Modi and Imran should come together and help out Saudi Arabia, Iran, and the US.

Solution: Go back to the Obama nuclear deal and while you are at it, negotiate on all other outstanding matters. Give full engagement to Iran as a conclusion step. Maximum trade, maximum tourism.

Rationale: If you want democracy in Iran, you want to engage to the maximum. Trade also prevents war. If the Chinese and American supply chains were not such a spaghetti, we would already have seen a US-China hot war by now.



Taliban-US

Situation: The Taliban and the Afghan government refuse to talk to each other, but both are willing to talk to Imran Khan.

Interesting: Both the Afghan government and the Taliban are eager to talk to Imran Khan. The Indian government is on good terms with the Afghan government.

Solution: Integrate the Afghan Army and the Taliban to create one unified army, like happened with the Maoists of Nepal and the Nepal Army in the mid 2000s.

Bottomline: The Taliban must agree to become a political party and contest elections in Afghanistan.



India-Pakistan

Situation: Indian Kashmir is under curfew for more than 50 days running now.

Interesting: Saudi Arabia, Iran, and the US are all on excellent terms with both Imran Khan and Narendra Modi.

Solution: Let Pakistan and India recognize the Line Of Control as the final border between the two countries and compete with each other to install democracy and human rights in both Kashmirs. This formula of recognizing the LOC as the final border is also the solution to the India-China border dispute. They have the longest disputed border in the world.

Bottomline: The curfew in Kashmir must be lifted immediately.



Monday, September 23, 2019

Howdy Modi, Says Imran

Imran Wants To Lift 100 Million Pakistanis Out Of Poverty



So says Imran. I think he can get it done. Not only that, I don't see anyone else on the horizon who can get it done. How will he be able to get it done? Here are my ideas.
  1. Peace with India. This is the most important thing. Unless India and Pakistan can figure out a way to create lasting peace, Pakistan will have it tough. And the formula for peace is that both agree that the Line Of Control will be the final border, and both will compete with each other to bring democracy and human rights to Kashmiris on both sides. Then they have to focus on trade and gradually, over time, get the troops away from their borders. 
  2. Peace in Afghanistan. I'd say to Imran, break the rule and talk to the Taliban. There is something about this Pathan Saheb that the Pakistani Army Chief plays ball with him, and looks like the Taliban want to respectfully talk to him. Let them. The formula for peace there is like what happened in Nepal. The Maoists and the Nepal Army were at war. Peace meant the two armies got combined and became one. Incorporate the Taliban fighters into the Afghan Army even if that means a huge defense budget. Peace is worth the price. 
  3. Peace between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The status quo is unsustainable. And this is way beyond the scope of Imran's capabilities. The PMO office in Pakistan has a hard enough time dealing with internal villains. But in a 10-year timeframe I hope he does play a role here, a role there to bring about a fruitful outcome. 
  4. Law and order inside Pakistan. This means unless you are a soldier or a police officer, you don't get to carry a gun inside Pakistan. Zero tolerance for terrorist groups. He really has to lead the Pakistani army here. When Imran's hero and role model Nitish Kumar came to power in Bihar in 2005, he only said, "Law and order!" That is all he said when he ran for office, and that is all he worked on for the first few years. Nitish knew that unless he could restore law and order, nothing else he does really matters. Next thing you know, he had put 70,000 people behind bars. 
  5. Infrastructure. That road that China is building is key. It will transform Pakistan. It will unify Pakistan. I am for robust federalism in Pakistan. I am not for breaking Pakistan into smaller pieces, a fantasy of some Hindu fanatics in India. After law and order, Nitish focused on building roads. Roads, roads and more roads. When Deng Xiaoping started his reforms in China, his first mantra was, lay down train tracks everywhere. Infrastructure is important. 
  6. Health and education. This is another place where Bill and Melinda Gates are huge fans of Nitish Kumar. I believe Imran Khan is making all the right noise here and making the right moves. I wish him all the best. 
  7. 5G. This is where you want to take your bathroom trip when Donald Trump starts talking about Huawei. If the Chinese want to steal Pakistani secrets, let them. That might be a stealth way of forcing them to learn Urdu. But get 5G done. And Huawei has the best deal in the market by a wide margin. Blanket Pakistan with 5G. This is more important than train tracks and roads and bridges. 5G is the most important infrastructure today. If you blanket the land with 5G, you will be able to do in 10-15 years, what China did in 30. 
  8. Ease of Doing Business. Here, learn from Modi. The guy has helped India climb up the ranks. 



Friday, September 20, 2019

Kashmir: Not Normal Yet

Modi's Big Political Mistake On Article 370 In Kashmir

The status quo was unsustainable. I grant you that much. But if the goal is lasting peace between India and Pakistan, the move just made by Modi and his Man Friday Amit Shah might not have been the best step forward.

First of all, let's start with the aspect that is black and white to me. Why do you have a curfew for so long? You have turned all of Kashmir into an open-air prison. You claim the move you just made is in the best interests of the people of Kashmir and their aspirations for peace and prosperity. Well then, let them speak. Let them come out into the streets and celebrate this wonderful move of yours. And if some want to peacefully protest, let them. Let the politicians out. Move Kashmir towards elections at the earliest.

I have long advocated that the key to permanent peace is for both countries to recognize the Line Of Control as the final border, and to boost trade and tourism across the border. That formula, applied between India and Kashmir, can then be taken also to the India China border, the longest disputed border in the world.

So you can say this abrogation of Article 370 is just a step in that direction. But a much better way would have been to take the people of Kashmir into confidence, to take the political leaders of Kashmir into confidence, to take Pakistan into confidence. Modi should have taken Imran Khan on his offer and organized summit talks, one attended not just by the Prime Ministers, but also by the two army chiefs, and the two intelligence chiefs.

And then the two could have agreed, let's leave the Pakistani Kashmir with Pakistan, and the Indian Kashmir with India, and let's pull back our troops and normalize the border. Let's now focus on trade and tourism. Let's compete to install full-fledged democracy across Kashmir. Let's compete on human rights.

After that summit and agreement with Imran Khan, Modi and team could then have taken people like Omar Abdullah and Mufti into confidence, and then the Article 370 could have been abrogated.

But now that where we are, the total focus has to be on restoring normalcy in Kashmir and heading towards elections. That is a black and white issue to me. And I will call out Delhi on that. Delhi is wrong to impose what looks like an indefinite curfew in Kashmir. That is wrong.

Wednesday, September 18, 2019

Imran Khan: India's Last Hope For Lasting Peace



Imran Khan becoming Prime Minister of Pakistan is like if Muhammad Ali had become President Of The United States. Imran Khan has been the most well known Pakistani in India for much of his adult life. That has not changed. Not only well known, but popular, loved. Give the game of cricket some credit. The game seems to do what politicians can't.

Imran Khan means well. The US would like to see democracy in Iraq, perhaps in Iran. It should start in Pakistan. Pakistan is still a democracy being built. Instead of giving tens of billions to the Pakistan Army, the US should fund the work of democracy.

Imran wants lasting peace. I don't understand why Modi could have talked to Nawaj Sharif but will not talk to Imran.

Imran is a well-educated, well-traveled man. He is East meets West. He has children who are growing up in London. He can talk as articulately about Islam as he can about democracy and economic growth, health and education.

Islam is much misunderstood. It serves the world to give Imran Khan more stages on which to speak.

I want Imran Khan to do for Pakistan what Nitish Kumar did for Bihar after he started in 2005. Bihar was a big mess in 2005 when Nitish Kumar became Chief Minister. Pakistan is a big mess today. I think Imran can get it done. He can put Pakistan on a path to double-digit growth rates. He has what it takes. Permanent peace between India and Pakistan is key to that equation.



Saturday, September 14, 2019

Imran Khan On Kashmir




Imran Khan go back: Massive protests humiliate Pakistan PM in POK Hundreds of people in Muzzafarabad chanted 'Imran Khan go back' as they showed just what they thought of the Pakistan PM's false claims and sympathies. ...... Instead of the cheers he had hoped for his lies, hundreds of people began chanting slogans which revealed their opinion of him. "Imran Khan go back," they yelled in unison.

Five proofs that Pakistan PM Imran Khan has 'surrendered' PoK Pakistan PM Imran Khan has launched Kashmir solidarity rallies on Friday to prove his country stands with Kashmiris. But analysing his recent remarks and moves on Kashmir indicates he is gradually losing the plot.

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Imran Is Playing A Very Difficult Game



Imran Khan is like Michael Corleone right after his father died, one hand tied. He is in a very tight spot. He is head of state in a country where Benazir Bhutto was assassinated and Pervez Musharraf almost was: two attempts in one week while he was military dictator. Those who propose he take the terrorist bull by the horns should take note.



“For teams like Pakistan, India, and the West Indies,” Khan writes in his autobiography, “a battle to right colonial wrongs and assert our equality was played out on the cricket field every time we took on England.” Into this gladiatorial arena, shirt open, eyes bedroom-y, hair long and tousled, stepped Khan. He was one of those rare figures, like Muhammad Ali, who emerge once a generation on the frontier of sport, sex, and politics. “Imran may not have been the first player to enjoy his own cult following,” writes his biographer Christopher Sandford, “but he was more or less single-handedly responsible for sexualizing what had hitherto been an austere, male-oriented activity patronized at the most devoted level by the obsessed or the disturbed.” In 1996, after years of turning down pleas from established politicians and military dictators eager to align themselves with his celebrity, Khan launched his own political party. In its first election, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party, or PTI—which translates as the Movement for Justice—won zero seats in parliament. Five years later, Khan won one seat, his own. Even by 2013, with his personal popularity at an all-time high, the PTI won only 35 seats. For 20 years, he had been telling his friends and well-wishers that “the next time you come to Pakistan, I will be prime minister.” But four elections had come and gone, two marriages had collapsed in their wake, and the quest of this aging playboy to be his country’s premier was no nearer its end. armor Pakistan against its own elites, whose “slavish” imitation of Western culture had instilled in them a “self-loathing that stemmed from an ingrained inferiority complex.” “An emotion that he feels very strongly about is that we should stop feeling enslaved to the West mentally,” said Ali Zafar, Khan’s friend and Pakistan’s biggest pop star. “He feels that since he’s gone there—he’s been there and done that—he knows the West more than anybody else over here. He’s telling them, ‘Look, you’ve got to find your own space, your own identity, your own thing, your own culture, your own roots.’ ” I first spoke with Khan at a party in London, when I was 25. At the time I was dating Ella Windsor, a minor member of the British royal family who was a family friend of the Goldsmiths. To see Khan out and about in London—the legend himself—was to understand how truly at home he was among the highest echelons of British society. The English upper classes adore cricket—it is one of the many coded ways in which their class system works—and the allure of the former captain of the Pakistani cricket team was still very real. The night we met, in late summer 2006, Khan had come to a party at a Chelsea studio overlooking the Moravian burial ground. On that balmy evening, surrounded by the silhouettes of plane trees, it was clear that Khan, five years after 9/11, was in the throes of a religious and political transformation. ...... He said he believed that suicide bombers, according to “the rules of the Geneva Convention,” had the right to blow themselves up. Here, I remember feeling, was a man who had dealt so little in ideas that every idea he had now struck him as a good one. Khan has a commanding presence. He fills a room and has a tendency to speak at people, rather than to them; never was there a greater mansplainer. What he lacks in intelligence, however, he makes up for in intensity, vigor, and what feels almost like a kind of nobility. ...... “You might say he’s a duffer; you might say he’s a buffoon,” his second wife, Reham, told me over lunch in London. “He doesn’t have intelligence of economic principles. He doesn’t have academic intelligence. But he’s very street, so he figures you out.” Like his coeval in the White House, Khan has been reading people all his life—on and off the field. This knowing quality, combined with the raw glamour of vintage fame, creates a palpable tension in his presence. The air bristles; oxygen levels crash. The line is taut, if no longer with sex appeal, then its closest substitute: massive celebrity. But to see him two years later in the old city of Lahore, doing more dips in the gym at 55 than I could do at 27, watching him fawned over by young and old men alike, was to feel myself in the company of a demigod. Alone with him, I was struck by that mixture of narcissism bordering on sociopathy that afflicts those who have been famous too long. His utter lack of emotion when it came to Bhutto—whom he had been at Oxford with, and had known most of his life—was startling. “Look at Benazir,” he told me as we drove through Lahore one morning, past knots of mourners and protesters. “I mean, God really saved her.” Then he began fulminating against Bhutto for having agreed to legitimize General Pervez Musharraf, Pakistan’s military dictator, in return for the government dropping corruption charges against her. Now it is Khan who has been appointed, presiding over a government in which there are no fewer than 10 Musharraf-era ministers. Khan, Rushdie said, was “placating the mullahs on one hand, cozying up to the army on the other, while trying to present himself to the West as the modernizing face of Pakistan.” “You know me,” he said. “I’m a liberal; I’ve got friends in India; I’ve got friends who are atheists. But you’ve got to be careful here.” My uncle—the grandson of Muhammad Iqbal, Khan’s political hero Like evangelicals in the United States, in whom a politicized faith conceals an uneasy relationship with modernity and temptation, Khan’s contradictions are not incidental; they are the key to who he is, and perhaps to what Pakistan is. His hatred of the “ruling elite,” to which he belongs, is the animating force behind his politics. He faults reformers, such as Turkey’s Kemal Ataturk and Iran’s Reza Shah Pahlavi, for falsely believing that “by imposing the outward manifestations of Westernization they could catapult their countries forward by decades.” Khan may be right to critique a modernity so thin that it has come to be synonymous with the outward trappings of Western culture. But he is himself guilty of reducing the West to little more than permissiveness and materialism. When it comes to its indisputable achievements, such as democracy and the welfare state, Khan conveniently grafts them on to the history of Islam. “Democratic principles,” he writes, “were an inherent part of Islamic society during the golden age of Islam, from the passing of the Holy Prophet (PBUH) and under the first four caliphs.” Khan is not the first Islamic leader to insist that all good things flow from Islam and that all error is the fault of the West. But to do so is to end up with a political program that is by necessity negative, deriving its energy not from what it has to offer but from its virulent critique of late-stage capitalism. “The life that had come to Islam,” V.S. Naipaul wrote almost 40 years ago in Among the Believers, for which he traveled extensively in Pakistan, “had not come from within. It had come from outside events and circumstances, the spread of the universal civilization.” Khan’s repurposing of Iqbal serves in part as an inoculation against the West, and in part as a cudgel with which to beat Pakistan’s elite. But it does not amount to a serious reckoning with the power of the West, or with the limitations of one’s own society. As such, it cannot bring about the “cultural, intellectual, and moral renaissance” that Khan yearns for. Under his version of khudi, people genuflect toward Islam but quietly continue to lead secret Western lives. “He’s a stooge of the army,” a journalist in Islamabad told me. The journalist, who has known Khan for years, once counted himself among the cricketer’s greatest fans. “I consider myself to be that unlucky person who built a dream about an individual and saw it shattered before my eyes,” he said. In 2013, after years of military rule, Pakistan finally achieved what it never had before: a peaceful transfer of power. These signs of a maturing democracy, however, posed a direct threat to the power of the military, which began, in the words of Husain Haqqani, Pakistan’s former ambassador to the United States, to develop the art of the “non-coup coup.” That, the journalist said, is “where the unholy alliance between Imran Khan and the establishment began.” The following year, Khan led what are called the dharna days—months of protest calling for the overthrow of Pakistan’s democratically elected government.

Whatever else can be said about Khan, he inspires hope the likes of which Pakistan has not known for a long time.

...... “Up until that point,” Noon said, “we had no hope in the system. We all felt that this guy means well, but he’s not going to get anywhere.” “From the generals’ point of view, things could not be better,” observed Haqqani, the former ambassador. “They have an ostensibly civilian government in place, which can get the blame for Pakistan’s myriad problems, while the generals run the government.” Khan has called out the army on its support of terrorist groups and was nothing short of statesmanlike earlier this year in calming tensions between India and Pakistan. In late July, Khan scored another coup during a White House meeting with Trump. The dynamic between the two philandering narcissists was positively electric.

The greatest challenge of Khan’s tenure, however, is whether he can find a way to get his debt-ridden country out of the doldrums of economic despair.

“The pattern we see again and again,” Hamid said, “is the rise of the charismatic leader who thinks he knows best—even better than the military—and then is undone by the military.” In 1981, Naipaul wrote of Pakistan, “The state withered. But faith didn’t. Failure only led back to the faith.” Now, almost 40 years later, Imran Khan is once again making the case for a society founded on the principles of the Koran. But religion, far from being the solution to Pakistan’s problems, appears to be an impediment to a society struggling to make its peace with modern realities. The country that banned pornography in the name of faith also happens to be among its most voracious consumers; gay dating apps like Grindr flourish, but homosexuality is on paper punishable by death; Pakistan is dry, but behind closed doors its elite consume great quantities of alcohol and cocaine. In such a place, it is but a short step from distorted individual realities to a distorted collective one. To visit Pakistan is to inhabit an alternate reality; the great majority of people I spoke with, from Lahore drawing rooms to the street, believe that 9/11 was an American conspiracy.

Saturday, August 31, 2019

Delhi Must Restore Normalcy In Kashmir



Pakistan brought to a standstill for 'Kashmir hour' demonstrations
'Normalcy' vs reality: Conflicting narratives about Kashmir
Kashmir Live Updates: Pak ready for conditional bilateral talks with India, says Qureshi
Restrictions on movement of people lifted in most parts of Kashmir normal life remained affected across the valley for the 27th consecutive day on Saturday...... The markets continued to remain shut, while public transport was off the roads, the officials said, adding schools also remained closed. ..... landline telephone services have been restored in most places across the valley in view of the improving situation

Meet Kashmiri girl whose video is creating sensation she lives in Mumbai and works for a Hong Kong-based company..... According to Mirchandani, her ancestors migrated to Kashmir from Sindh a decade before partition. She claims that she comes from a Muslim family, but later embraced Sanatana Dharma.





The Road to 'Naya Kashmir' more than half the police stations in the Valley have relaxed curbs on day-time movement. People have withdrawn over Rs 800 crore from ATMs over the past fortnight, indicating that "the wheels of the economy continue to grind" for the common man ...... Article 370 permitted J&K to have its own constitution, its own flag and full autonomy in its internal administration, except for defence, foreign policy and communications, which were left for the Union government to control. ..... Once these leaders emerge from the silence of arrest, they may be reduced to pleading for the restoration of statehood at the earliest, which the central government has said it will consider. ...... Modi has signalled that he will render the current lot of political leaders irrelevant in the state by handing over the reins of the new Union territory to a new crop of grassroots leaders to build a 'Naya Kashmir'. ....... The BJP and the RSS have for decades made their intention clear on the abrogation of Articles 370 and 35A (according to which non-permanent residents of J&K could not purchase or own land in the state). But the gameplan to achieve this was set in motion only in the final year of the first term of the Modi government....... "The problem in Kashmir is largely due to 50-odd political families there. They have been milking the issue. They don't want any benefit to be given to ordinary Kashmiris. People want freedom from such political families who have been preying on their emotions for 50 years. ..... "It was a corrupt edifice built on patronage-there were scams in recruitment for government posts, separatists were being bankrolled by many of those who had earlier run the government and there were only a few institutions where the rule of law prevailed. It was a sham democracy and the state was on the verge of collapse." ...... There was also deep concern over the growing radicalisation of the Kashmiri youth, especially after mosques and madrassas funded by more extreme sects had doubled in the past 15 years. ..... "The game in the past decade was an unethical compact between Delhi and the state that allowed the system to flourish as long as each got what they wanted. Delhi's approach was to manage Kashmir and ally with mainstream parties like the NC and PDP to run the government as long as they made the right noises about swearing allegiance to India. Never mind if only a few leaders and their families flourished, to the detriment of the state." ..... a five-pronged strategy: speed up development, hold panchayat elections, curb corruption, crack down on militants and prevent infiltration. ...... panchayat elections in October 2018 ..... unlike in the past, the sarpanches could disburse funds varying fromRs 50 lakh to Rs 1 crore each for local projects. While both the NC and PDP boycotted the elections, voter turnout in the Valley was a decent 40 per cent. What shook these parties after the elections was that people started flocking to the newly elected sarpanches for development assistance, bypassing the local MLAs who had so far held sway. ...... we eliminated close to 250 terrorists last year ...... went after prominent Kashmiri businessman Zahoor Ahmad Shah Watali and attached his property for allegedly being involved in terror financing and money-laundering for Hurriyat leaders...... a masterful legal strategy had been worked out in secret to dilute the provisions of Article 370 without having to get the state assembly's consent..... if there was an Afghan settlement, it would enable Pakistan to push all the Afghan radicals freed from civil strife towards the Indian border, as in the late '90s when the Taliban captured power in Afghanistan. ...... Top officials in J&K sensed something big was about to happen but were not sure exactly what. ...... In the past year, we mapped areas that needed more attention and forces, areas that were hard-core zones for stone-pelters and who the biggest trouble-makers were. ..... We also knew a communication lockdown would become necessary, which is why we equipped the entire police force with an alternative wireless system." ....... "Trying to pre-empt large-scale violence is not immoral; rather, it is the duty of a responsible government. There is inconvenience, but it is better than having body bags pile up if violence breaks out. The restrictions in place are quite sensitive to ground realities. As and when the situation improves, they will be eased." ....... All senior leaders of political parties were either put under house arrest or taken into custody and housed in hotels in the Valley or elsewhere in the state. All those listed as potential trouble-makers were also arrested. Meanwhile, the government cut off all telecommunications-landlines, cell phones and internet-ensuring a complete communication blackout. ...... Section 144 of the CrPC, which prohibits the assembly of five or more people in an area and also restricts carrying any sort of weapon, was imposed. ...... As also curfews, wherever necessary. The government claimed it had made provisions to keep hospitals running as well as ensure supply of food and other essentials. ...... NSA Doval spent 10 days in the state, chairing meetings on many occasions and also meeting people to fine-tune government strategy. ...... Among the big challenges is to ensure that the upcoming apple-plucking season, which is in September and October, is not disrupted. In Shopian, apple capital of the state, Sandeep Chaudhary, the superintendent of police, said that in his recent meeting with growers, rather than anger over Article 370, the bigger concern was to get the plucking and packing of apples going and have trucks move them out of the district for distribution and sale across the country. ..... the administration has announced that it will hold elections for block development councils in October. Along with panchayat leaders, these elections would throw up another rung of leadership invested in development. ...... 50,000 vacancies for government posts will be filled up soon ..... for the long term, the government is drawing up massive plans to build tourism infrastructure and develop Kashmir as an international destination that can compete with the best. ...... plans to set up sufficient processing and cold storage units for apples, peaches, pears as well as dry fruits to make the state an export hub. ...... a major investment summit it is planning in November gets the country's top industrialists to commit to setting up employment-generating projects in the state. ....... The Modi government is keen to bring in a whole new leadership from the grassroots while simultaneously correcting the institutional maladies that have afflicted the state in the past. This means the central government is in no hurry to restore statehood to J&K, and the process may take years. Having discredited the existing state leaders and their parties, the BJP would ideally like J&K to be ruled by a national party like itself rather than a regional satrap. ........ "After the abrogation of Article 370, all launch pads in PoK are full of terrorists and we have to thwart attempts to infiltrate practically every day. On the conventional front, Pakistan has made certain movement of forces of which we are aware and taking corrective action. If Pakistan indulges in any misadventure, I can assure you, it will get a befitting reply." Till winter sets in and makes crossing the border from the mountains difficult, the Indian armed forces have to be on their guard...... If Pakistan instigates a terror strike against India, it will further turn international opinion against it. ....... Pakistan can hardly complain. It has integrated PoK and the Northern Areas as two provinces leaving them with little independence to operate. ......

The only thing India should watch out for is violation of human rights, particularly if major violence breaks out in the state and the security forces use an iron fist to put it down.

In Jammu, which has a Hindu majority, there is already concern that those from Punjab will buy up their lands and dominate them. ..... Some now call for restrictions on land ownership as in Himachal.




Khan: Pakistan Will Stand With Kashmir Traffic around the country stopped for several minutes as the anthems of Pakistan and Kashmir were played on state media at noon....... India's Kashmir-related moves have prompted Khan to repeatedly describe the government of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi as fascist and supremacist. Khan has also compared the Modi government with Nazi Germany and has alleged that Modi's actions pose a threat to both Pakistan and religious minorities in India.
Kashmir situation contrary to Centre’s claims: Yechury The ground situation in Kashmir is “completely contrary” to what the Narendra Modi government has been saying, CPI(M) general secretary Sitaram Yechury said after returning from Srinagar where he met his ailing party colleague Yusuf Tarigami.

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Two Possible Kashmir Fallouts

After the scrapping of Article 370, two developments can be expected.

One, the parties that used to take turns ruling Kashmir can be expected to go to the Supreme Court to challenge the decision.

Two, some of the terrorist organizations inside Pakistan, with full support from the army and the ISI, might engineer an attack inside India, the larger the better. It is for the Indian state to foil any such move. At least there is a forewarning. This is going to be politically expensive for Pakistan. It is no longer denying that it backs terrorist organizations. It is now hinting it will instigate attacks inside India through terrorist organizations.

"We will go to any extent," said Imran Khan. What is that supposed to mean?

It is highly possible the Supreme Court will side with the Modi government decision. But such a move by Abdullah and/or Mufti would be a welcome venting. Let out the steam. Media coverage of the legal move should allow for the peaceful airing of views from both sides. That would be welcome.

The possible terrorist attack has to be prevented. That is a serious intelligence and hardware challenge. The traditional war has been stalemated by nuclear weapons, but the asymmetric war goes on.

इमरान का काश्मीर समस्या पाकिस्तान की आतंरिक राजनीति जैसी लगने लगी है



पाकिस्तान के प्रधान मंत्री इमरान खान साहब काश्मीर मसले को चीन के सहयोग से संयुक्त राष्ट्र संघ को ले गए। धारा ३७० को सेक्युरिटी कॉउन्सिल ने भारतका आतंरिक मामला घोषित कर दिया। उन्होंने गुजारिश की कि दुनिया भर के मुसलमान कश्मीर के मुद्दे पर एक हो जाओ। तो गल्फ देश एक के बाद एक मोदी को अवार्ड बगैरह दिए जा रहे हैं।

भारत लाइन ऑफ़ कण्ट्रोल के पार कोइ बदमाशी न कर सकता है न करने दे सकता है। मीडिया में सारा काश्मीर हमारा है कहना अलग बात है। दोनों कह रहे हैं। मसला ये है कि भारत के काश्मीर के अंदर स्थिति सामान्य होते हैं कि नहीं। कर्फ्यू बगैरह सब हटाने के बाद और फ़ोन इंटरनेट सब चालु होने के बाद स्थिति सामान्य होती है कि नहीं। लोकतंत्र बहाल होती है कि नहीं। चुनाव होती है कि नहीं। तीव्र गति से विकास होती है कि नहीं। मसला ये है। स्थिति सामान्य हो गयी। चुनाव हो गयी तो बात रफा दफा हो जाएगा।

इमरान जब से प्रधान मंत्री बने पाकिस्तान के तभी से कहे पर कहे जा रहे थे, बात करो, बात करो। बिल्ली की मुँह गर्म दुध से पक गयी थी। मोदी नवाज से बात ही तो कर रहे थे। जितनी बार बात करते पाकिस्तानी फौजी और ख़ुफ़िया एजेंसी कोई न कोई अटैक फरमा बैठते। ताकि बातचीत ख़तम हो जाए। तो मोदी को लगा होगा पाकिस्तानी फौजी और ख़ुफ़िया एजेंसी इमरान खान के पकड़ में है तो नहीं। वो पैरेलल स्टेट चलाते हैं। तो इमरान से बात करो और वो फिर से कहीं न कहीं अटैक कर देंगे। अटैक छोटी ही हो पुरे देश गर्मा जाती है। तो कौन पंगा लेगा भाइ?

मोदी वार्ता नहीं युद्ध चाहते हैं ऐसी बात नहीं है। युद्ध तो चाह कर भी संभव नहीं है। युद्ध यानि कि आत्महत्या। सुसाइड। दोनों के लिए।

मैंने धारा ३७० सुनी थी लेकिन मेरे को मालुम नहीं था कि बाँकी भारत के लोग काश्मीर में जमीन खरीद नहीं सकते हैं। संघीयता का कोइ एक फोर्मुला शायद नहीं होता। धारा ३७० का हटना गलत या सही ये मेरे को नहीं कहना है। मैं सुनना चाहता हुँ कि काश्मीर के लोग इस बारे में क्या कहते हैं। अगर वो सामान्य स्थिति और चुनाव की ओर जाते हैं तो मैं कहुँगा निर्णय गलत नहीं रहा। जल्द से जल्द चुनाव कराओ।

मैं इस ब्लॉग पर महिनों सालों से कहता आया हुँ काश्मीर समस्या का समाधान यही है कि भारत भी और पाकिस्तान भी पुरे काश्मीर पर अपना अपना क्लेम बंद करो और लाइन ऑफ़ कण्ट्रोल को परमानेंट बॉर्डर घोषित करो। और व्यापार पर फोकस करो। अभी जो धरा ३७० हटी है वो उसी फोर्मुला के भितर जैसी दिखती है। लेकिन पाकिस्तान शासित काश्मीर और अक्साइ चीन पर क्लेम करना बंद करो।

तो अब कर्फ्यू बगैरह हटाओ ताकि जनजीवन सामान्य बन सके। लोग चलफिर सके। बच्चे स्कुल जा सके। लोग बाजार जा सके। काम पर जा सके। चुनाव की तयारी करो। तीव्र गति से विकास कर के दिखाओ। लोगों को नौकरिया मिले ऐसी वातावरण बनाओ। ये सब होमवर्क है।

इमरान खान मॉनिटरिंग करें। कि धारा ३७० हटाने के बाद वहाँ तानाशाही नहीं लाद दी गयी हो। कर्फ्यू बगैरह हटाओ। जनजीवन सामान्य बनाओ। लोगो को बोलने दो।

इमरान भारत शासित काश्मीर पर क्लेम करना छोड़ दें। वो पाकिस्तान शासित कश्मीर पर फोकस करें। वहाँ स्थिति सामान्य है कि नहीं। वहाँ स्थानीय बगैरह चुनाव हो रहे हैं कि नहीं। विकास हो रहा है कि नहीं। चीन जो रोड बना रहा है पाकिस्तानी कश्मीर होते हुवे अरेबियन सागर तक वो तो अच्छी बात है। सिर्फ लोन किस दर पर है वो विचार कर लेनी चाहिए। ज्यादा है तो इमरान फिर से निगोशिएट करें और लोन रेट कम करवा लें जैसे मलेशिया के प्रधना मंत्री ने करवाया। वो रोड बन जाती है तो फिर पाकिस्तानी अर्थतंत्र का कायापलट हो जाएगा।

पाकिस्तान में लोकतंत्र है नहीं। सिर्फ चुनाव होने से लोकतंत्र नहीं होता। पाकिस्तानी सेना पर ख़ुफ़िया एजेंसी पर पाकिस्तान के प्रधान मंत्री का पुर्ण नियंत्रण हो जाए तब जा के पाकिस्तान को लोकतंत्र माना जाएगा। अभी तो पाकिस्तान एक वैसा तांगा है जिनके तीन घोड़े तीन ओर घींच रहे हो।

इमरान का काश्मीर समस्या पाकिस्तान की आतंरिक राजनीति जैसी लगने लगी है। पाकिस्तान की अर्थतंत्र ऐसी नाजुक अवस्था से गुजर रही है। काफी कमजोर पड़ी है। इमरान को सख्त से सख्त निर्णय लेने हैं। कुछ ठोस कदम उठाने हैं। टैक्स का दायरा बढ़ाना है। पाकिस्तान के जो आमिर हैं वो टैक्स भरते ही नहीं। देशको कमजोर कर के रखे हुवे हैं।

पाकिस्तान की आतंरिक राजनीति से जुझना कठिन काम है और वो इमरान खान को करना है। भारत से जुझना तो आसान काम है। मोदी को खरी खोटी सुना दो। लोग तालियाँ पिटते हैं। इमरान को चाहिए अपने अर्थतंत्र पर फोकस करें।



پاکستان کے وزیر اعظم عمران خان صاحب چین کی حمایت سے مسئلہ کشمیر کو اقوام متحدہ میں لے گئے۔ سیکشن 360 نے داخلی کونسل کو ہندوستان کا داخلی معاملہ قرار دیا۔ انہوں نے گذارش کی کہ پوری دنیا کے مسلمان مسئلہ کشمیر پر متحد ہوجائیں۔ تو خلیجی ممالک کو ایک کے بعد ایک مودی سے نوازا جارہا ہے۔

بھارت لائن آف کنٹرول کے پار کسی قسم کی غنڈہ گردی کی اجازت نہیں دے سکتا ہے اور نہیں دے گا۔ یہ کہنا الگ بات ہے کہ میڈیا میں پورا کشمیر ہمارا ہے۔ دونوں کہہ رہے ہیں۔ مسئلہ یہ ہے کہ ہندوستان کے کشمیر کے اندر صورتحال نارمل ہے یا نہیں۔ چاہے کرفیو کو ہٹانے کے بعد اور فون انٹرنیٹ کے بعد بھی سب کچھ چل رہا ہے۔ جمہوریت بحال ہوتی ہے یا نہیں۔ چاہے انتخاب کیا جائے یا نہیں۔ چاہے تیز رفتار ترقی ہو یا نہ ہو۔ یہ مسئلہ ہے۔ صورتحال معمول بن گئی۔ اگر انتخابات ہوتے ہیں تو معاملہ ختم ہوجائے گا۔

جب سے عمران پاکستان کے وزیر اعظم بنے ہیں تب سے وہ کہتے رہے ہیں ، بات کریں ، بات کریں۔ بلی کا منہ گرم دودھ کے ساتھ پکڑا گیا تھا۔ مودی صرف نواز سے گفتگو کر رہے تھے۔ جب بھی پاکستانی فوج اور خفیہ ایجنسی بات کرتی ، وہ ایک ہی حملہ پر بیٹھ جاتے۔ تاکہ گفتگو ختم ہوجائے۔ تو مودی کو یہ محسوس ہوگا کہ پاکستانی فوج اور خفیہ ایجنسی عمران خان کی گرفت میں ہے یا نہیں۔ وہ متوازی ریاست چلاتا ہے۔ تو عمران سے بات کریں اور وہ پھر کہیں حملہ کرے گا۔ جب حملہ چھوٹا ہوتا ہے تو ، پورا ملک گرم ہوتا ہے۔ تو بھائی کون گڑبڑ کرے گا؟

مودی بات چیت نہیں چاہتے لیکن جنگ ایسا نہیں ہے۔ جنگ چاہے بغیر ممکن نہیں۔ جنگ کا مطلب ہے خود کشی۔ خودکشی۔ دونوں کے لئے۔

میں نے دفعہ heard 360. سنا تھا لیکن میں نہیں جانتا تھا کہ ہندوستان کے لوگ کشمیر میں زمین نہیں خرید سکتے ہیں۔ شاید فیڈرل ازم کا کوئی فارمولا موجود نہیں ہے۔ مجھے یہ کہنے کی ضرورت نہیں ہے کہ دفعہ 370 کو ختم کرنا غلط ہے یا صحیح ہے۔ میں یہ سننا چاہتا ہوں کہ کشمیری عوام اس بارے میں کیا کہتے ہیں۔ اگر وہ عام صورتحال اور انتخابات میں جاتے ہیں تو میں یہ کہوں گا کہ فیصلہ غلط نہیں تھا۔ جتنی جلدی ممکن ہو انتخابات کروائیں۔

میں اس بلاگ پر کئی مہینوں سے کہہ رہا ہوں کہ مسئلہ کشمیر کا حل یہ ہے کہ بھارت اور پاکستان کو بھی پورے کشمیر پر اپنا دعوی بند کرنا چاہئے اور لائن آف کنٹرول کو مستقل بارڈر قرار دینا چاہئے۔ اور کاروبار پر توجہ دیں۔ اب جو زمین ہٹا دی گئی ہے وہی اسی فارمولے کے خچروں کی طرح دکھائی دیتی ہے۔ لیکن پاکستان کے زیر اقتدار کشمیر اور اکیس Kashmir چین کا دعوی کرنا چھوڑ دیتے ہیں۔

لہذا اب کرفیو کو ہٹا دیں تاکہ زندگی معمول بن سکے۔ لوگ چل سکتے تھے۔ بچے اسکول جاسکتے ہیں۔ لوگ بازار جاسکتے تھے۔ کام پر جانا الیکشن کی تیاری کرو۔ تیز اور ترقی دکھائیں۔ ایسا ماحول پیدا کریں جس میں لوگوں کو روزگار ملے۔ یہ سب ہوم ورک ہے۔

عمران خان مانیٹرنگ۔ یہ کہ دفعہ 0 370 کو ختم کرنے کے بعد وہاں بھی آمریت مسلط نہیں کی گئی۔ کرفیو کو ہٹا دیں۔ زندگی کو معمول بنائیں۔ لوگوں کو بولنے دو۔

عمران کو بھارت کے زیر اقتدار کشمیر کا دعوی کرنا چھوڑ دینا چاہئے۔ انہیں پاکستان کے زیر اقتدار کشمیر پر توجہ دینی چاہئے۔ وہاں صورتحال عام ہے یا نہیں۔ انتخابات کے بغیر بلدیاتی انتخابات ہوتے ہیں یا نہیں۔ ترقی ہو رہی ہے یا نہیں۔ چین پاکستان کے بحیرہ عرب تک جو سڑک بنا رہا ہے وہ اچھی چیز ہے۔ صرف اس شرح پر ہی غور کیا جانا چاہئے جس پر قرض لیا گیا ہے۔ اگر زیادہ ہے تو ، عمران دوبارہ بات چیت کریں اور ملائشیا کے وزیر اعظم کی طرح قرض کی شرح کم کریں۔ اگر یہ سڑک بن جاتی ہے تو پھر پاکستانی معیشت بدل جائے گی۔

پاکستان میں جمہوریت نہیں ہے۔ جمہوریت صرف انتخابات کرانے سے نہیں ہوتی۔ اگر پاکستانی فوج کا خفیہ ایجنسی پر وزیر اعظم پاکستان کا مکمل کنٹرول ہے تو پاکستان کو جمہوریت سمجھا جائے گا۔ ابھی پاکستان ایک ٹنگا ہے جس کے تین گھوڑے تین طرف سے سونگ رہے ہیں۔

عمران کا مسئلہ پاکستان کی داخلی سیاست کی طرح نظر آنے لگا ہے۔ پاکستان کی معیشت اس قدر نازک صورتحال سے گذر رہی ہے۔ وہ بہت کمزور ہے۔ عمران کو سخت ترین فیصلے لینے ہیں۔ کچھ ٹھوس اقدامات کرنے ہیں۔ ٹیکس کے دائرہ کار میں اضافہ کرنا ہوگا۔ پاکستان کا امیر ٹیکس ادا نہیں کرتا ہے۔ ہم نے ملک کو کمزور رکھا ہے۔

پاکستان کی داخلی سیاست کا مقابلہ کرنا مشکل ہے اور یہی کام عمران خان کو کرنا ہے۔ بھارت سے نمٹنا آسان ہے۔ مودی سے کہو کہ وہ بہت ایماندار ہو۔ لوگوں نے تالیاں بجا دیں۔ عمران کو اپنی معیشت پر توجہ دینے کی ضرورت ہے۔

(Translated from Hindi to Urdu with Google Translate)